在新流感疫情升高之際，葉金川選擇辭官參選花蓮縣長，招致「落跑署長」之譏。對於國民黨而言，花蓮選情的第一考慮是絕對不能提名已被判刑的傅崐萁；至於葉金川是不是一個適合的人選，則又與他的參選時機與程序爭議是兩個不同的議題。

從在地政治的角度看，花蓮人選縣長，是要一個有能力、有熱誠的人，不是非葉金川不可。然而，看藍軍的初選名單，呼聲最高卻是有案在身的傅崐萁，所以不能讓傅崐萁當選成了國民黨的第一目標。

傅崐萁能在民調上遙遙領先，足見其長年經營地方有成，人脈厚實。他橫跨政商、跨國親兩黨、跨中央和地方的資歷，都形塑了相當的全國知名度。問題在他因違反證交法判刑四年，成了參選最大的致命傷。以他的實力，如果他未來選擇脫黨參選到底，倘若即以地方上露臉的幾名參選者與他對抗，傅仍有打敗藍綠兩營的對手當選縣長的可能。接著，如果他當選縣長，未來若被判有罪定讞，縣長勢必又要改選，恐怕又將上演「代Ｘ出征」的戲碼，花蓮人要忍受這樣的折騰嗎？

何況，改選並不只是重新投票的折騰而已。去年初的立委選舉，今年來已歷經三次補選，主要都是當選人涉案喪失資格；不僅徒然耗費人力物力，也使地方政治一再陷於鬥爭的風暴中。對國民黨而言，這已夠灰頭土臉，如果再讓同樣的戲碼在花蓮重演，如何對得起人民？從這個角度看，僅以防備傅崐萁脫黨參選這個目標而論，葉金川出馬角逐花蓮縣長，代表了國民黨推動黨內改革的一點誠意和努力，其實可予肯定。

試想，以台東縣長改選的爭議多端，乃至雲林立委補選的混沌未明，如果國民黨中央今天仍被已被判刑的傅崐萁挾持了選情，如何彰顯改革理想？輿論又將如何批評？

葉金川是不是一個能夠顯示改革理念的候選人，與他在此時參選的程序爭議，則是兩個不同的問題。葉在疫情擴大之際辭職參選，的確不容易取得社會的諒解；但記得他在ＳＡＲＳ期間隻身進入和平醫院抗煞的民眾，應該也不會輕易認定他是畏怯的「逃兵」。尤其，葉金川在民調遠遠落後的情況下，仍不退縮，可見他願意接受民意的考驗。花蓮選民究竟是根本否定葉金川這個人選，或只是對他參選的程序不以為然，應可反映在初選的民調中。

馬英九不能接受傅崐萁選花蓮縣長，其實有如當時蔡英文不能接受陳唐山選台南縣長。其中涉及原則，沒有退讓餘地。問題是，這類的操作必然是捉襟見肘，不易面面周到。至於說，到底是抗疫重要，還是澄清政風重要，這確實是見仁見智；但就馬政府的政治號召言，如果讓傅崐萁當選花蓮縣長，必將成為改革的重大創傷。所以，即使花蓮縣長一役國民黨仍會輸給可能脫黨競選的傅崐萁，也應當用葉金川這樣的牌教國人感受到國民黨的決心與誠意。

葉金川原本是張不差的牌，卻出現這麼狼狽的情狀，應怪國民黨的操作手法太過拙劣。首先，國民黨在花蓮執政了這麼久，到頭來卻還在用「空降」的老招，顯示中央未曾好好在地方培養人才，才會臨渴掘井。其次，澄清政風的目標是正確的，但因操作上不能把握快、狠、準的原則，遭到對方反咬，反顯得自己理虧，這是手段與目標不對稱。第三，如今回顧，葉金川參選花蓮縣長早在規劃之中，但為評估選情遲遲不願公開，一直拖到疫情緊張再辭官，不免喪失機先，落人口實。

一件目標正確的事，卻無法用流利的手法來達成，這是國民黨的笨拙。至於「葉金川」是不是一個好選項，就留待花蓮選民決定吧。花蓮選民可以不選葉金川，但國民黨卻難有其他的選擇！

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