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http://news.chinatimes.com/2007Cti/2007Cti-News/2007Cti-News-Content/0,4521,110504+112008022100528,00.html
中國時報 2008.02.21 
摧毀失控衛星 美今晨將發射攔截飛彈
尹德瀚/綜合報導


 根據美國官方機構發布的訊息,美國海軍計畫於21日凌晨在夏威夷以西的太平洋水域發射艦載攔截飛彈,試圖摧毀一枚代號「US193」的美國偵察人造衛星,以避免該衛星攜帶的有毒燃料墜落地球後造成危害。

 美國「國家地理空間情報局」已向夏威夷以西太平洋水域的船隻發出通報,警告該區在格林威治時間21日0230至0500﹝即台灣時間1030至1300﹞會有「危險任務」,美國「聯邦航空管理局」也發布同樣訊息。

 而美國國防部發言人摩洛說,摧毀US193衛星的時間尚未決定,但會等「亞特蘭提斯號」太空梭降落後才進行,太空梭目前已安全降落在佛羅里達州。

 不過華盛頓國防部官員表示,由於天氣惡劣,軍方原本準備在今天執行的擊落衛星計劃可能會延後。他說:「我們預料氣象不佳」。

 這項任務由美國海軍「伊利湖號」神盾級巡洋艦負責執行,該艦現已在夏威夷附近海域待命,艦上攜帶兩枚特別改裝的「標準三型」(SM-3)艦載攔截飛彈,準備摧毀US193,如果這兩枚飛彈都失敗,配備第三枚改裝標準三型飛彈的「狄卡托號」驅逐艦將接手任務。

 US193係於2006年12月發射升空,隨即因喪失電力和中央電腦故障而失去控制,預計會在3月初重新進入地球大氣層並墜毀,由於US193攜帶的453公斤推進燃料聯氨(hydrazine)係有毒物質,人體吸入後肺部會產生灼熱感,甚至死亡,為恐衛星墜毀地球造成危害,美國決定用標準三型飛彈將其摧毀。

 但俄羅斯與中國都強烈批評,美國此舉是在測試大氣層外摧毀衛星的能力,過去衛星墜毀地球的例子甚多,但從來沒用這種方法因應。

 標準三型飛彈原本的設計是要攔截彈道飛彈,標準三型飛彈本身有三節,攜帶無爆炸物彈頭(即「動能擊殺載具」),發射初期由地面控制,到達一定高度後啟動自身的紅外線尋標器尋找目標,預計在US193降落到150海里上空時與其發生碰撞。

 一名海軍官員說,標準三型曾進行攔截彈道飛彈的測試,但用來摧毀人造衛星是更艱鉅的挑戰,一來是US193沒有會產生熱的推進系統,使飛彈以熱氣為目標的尋標器無從發生作用,二來是US193的飛行速度極快,增加標準三型擊中目標的困難度。

 更困難的是,標準三型飛彈不但要擊中US193,而且一定要擊中燃料槽,才算成功完成任務。一位海軍官員說,只有這樣才能完全摧毀有毒燃料,避免墜落地球造成危害。


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美國擬研製新太空戰機 想法緣於抓捕拉登失敗
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http://mil.news.sina.com.cn/2008-10-20/0744526123.html
美國擬研製新太空戰機 想法緣於抓捕拉登失敗
http://www.sina.com.cn  2008年10月20日 07:44  東方早報


  美國軍方正在考慮與NASA合作,研製新型軍用“宇宙戰機”。這種戰機的飛行速度幾乎可以與太空梭相媲美,可利用火箭動力推動抵達雷達無法探測的高空,能在4小時之內將10餘名全副武裝的美國海軍陸戰隊士兵運抵世界任何一個角落。

  而研製這種戰機的想法竟緣於“基地”組織頭目本•拉丹抓捕行動失敗。

  最初研製目的為抓拉丹

  就在上周,美國空軍發言人馬克•布朗中校公開證實,美國國防部已經與NASA就研發“宇宙戰機”舉行了一次長達2小時的秘密會議,這種戰機被命名為“熱鷹”(Hot Eagle)。五角大樓希望,到2019年時,“熱鷹”能正式升空。

  “熱鷹”強大的推動力能飛行至距地球50英里(約合80公里)的太空,按照國際法準則,距離地面80公里以內的空域均屬於一國領空範圍。

  美國海軍陸戰隊2002年最早提出了研發“熱鷹”飛行器的建議,這主要是因為他們當時在阿富汗山區追捕拉丹屢屢遭遇失敗。建議者稱,由於阿富汗山區的地形比較特殊,當發現拉丹的可疑形蹤時,如果美軍士兵步行前往可能藏有拉丹的山洞,則需要耗費過長的時間。而如果使用直升機前往執行任務,則目標又過於明顯而無法達成效果。軍方於是提出“小部隊太空運輸和突襲”計畫,簡稱“Sustain”。

  時任海軍陸戰隊“中央司令部”負責人詹姆斯•馬蒂斯提出2019年“宇宙戰機”上天的目標。他不久前升入軍方高層,Sustain計畫隨之成為重點工作之一。

  以“白騎士”飛船為範本

  “熱鷹”將會以維珍銀河集團的“白騎士”系列太空飛船作為模版。“白騎士”的主要設計者、現年65歲的布特•魯坦博士上周曾對“熱鷹”的研發表示了祝福。在2004年設計製造的“白騎士”是魯坦的成名之作,這也是人類歷史上第一架抵達太空的私人載人航天器。魯坦預言,基於“白騎士”技術研發的軍用太空梭雖然代價不菲,但“是可行的,是能夠完成的”。這更讓五角大樓的決策者們看到了希望。

  維珍銀河集團主席維爾•懷特霍恩則預言,“熱鷹”“可能像雷鳥那樣,成為國際援助飛機”。

  但也有專家對此表示質疑,他們認為將區區13個人空投到衝突地區並不能扭轉局勢。而且,關於“熱鷹”本身的設計原則仍未確定,有人傾向於把它製造成一次性飛行器,突擊隊到達目的地後立即將其摧毀,完成任務後乘直升機返回。也有人贊成研製更複雜的飛行器,可以帶士兵回家。(周晶璐 )

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Pentagon plans ‘spaceplane’ to reach hotspots fast
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http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/us_and_americas/article4969025.ece
From The Sunday Times
October 19, 2008

Pentagon plans ‘spaceplane’ to reach hotspots fast

John Harlow in Los Angeles

The American military is planning a “spaceplane” designed to fly a crack squad of heavily armed marines to trouble spots anywhere in the world within four hours.

At a recent secret meeting at the Pentagon, engineers working on the craft, codenamed Hot Eagle, were told to draw up blueprints for a prototype which generals want to have in the air within 11 years.

Pentagon planners have been encouraged by technical breakthroughs from Burt Rutan, chief designer on Sir Richard Branson’s White Knight spaceship, which is due to begin test flights next year and to carry tourists on suborbital journeys from 2010.

Last week Rutan, 65, who built the first privately funded craft to reach space and won the $10m X prize for his achievement in 2004, gave his blessing to Hot Eagle, which could be based on White Knight’s technology. Rutan said it would be an expensive way to transport troops “but it could be done. It is feasible”.

Will Whitehorn, president of Virgin Galactic, which is funding White Knight, recently predicted that it could be used to airlift emergency supplies into disaster zones.

“It could be like Thunderbirds, like International Rescue,” he said. A passenger version would be capable of flying from London to Sydney in four hours.

The two-stage Hot Eagle would be launched from an aircraft carrier. A large booster rocket would carry a smaller spacecraft containing 13 “space troopers” 50 miles into space, far above hostile radar, before landing in enemy territory.

The marines first called for a spaceplane in 2002 after the US military failed to capture Osama Bin Laden in the mountains of Afghanistan. The project was known as the Small Unit Space Transport and Insertion programme (Sustain). Its advocates said it took too long on foot to reach the caves where Bin Laden was said to be hiding and helicopters were too visible.

General James Mattis, leading the marines’ Central Command at the time, said he wanted the spaceplane in the air by 2019. He was recently promoted to be one of the most senior officers in the US military establishment and Sustain has since become a priority.

Last week Lieutenant Colonel Mark Brown, a US air force spokesman, confirmed that Nasa and Pentagon officers had met for two days of talks to draw up plans for Hot Eagle.

Invitations to the meeting said participants would be discussing a “potential revolutionary step in getting combat power to any point in the world in a time frame unbelievable today”.

Although aided by Rutan’s breakthroughs in ever-lighter composite materials, there are many technological hurdles ahead for Hot Eagle.

Designers have not yet decided whether to build a relatively simple disposable craft, which the space troopers would destroy before being picked up by helicopter, or a vastly more complex vehicle which could fly them home.

Some critics dismiss Hot Eagle as Hollywood-inspired science fiction or an expensive toy. Others question how effective a fighting force of just 13 soldiers could be on the ground.

“That is, if they get there,” said Ivan Oelrich, of the Federation of American Scientists. “It would be wildly vulnerable as you cannot armoura rocket ship.”

Roosevelt Lafontrant, a former marine colonel now employed by the Schafer Corporation, a technology company, said the technology was advancing rapidly. “If we had had the Sustain programme in operation in 2002, Bin Laden would have been captured and history fundamentally changed,” he said recently.

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美軍研發快速太空運輸機
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http://news.chinatimes.com/2007Cti/2007Cti-News/2007Cti-News-Content/0,4521,110504+112008102000220,00.html
美軍研發快速太空運輸機
2008-10-20 中國時報 【潘勛/綜合報導】


 美國計畫研發於地球次軌道飛行的「太空飛機」,以便把編制一班的重武裝陸戰隊員,在四個小時內便運送到地球任何爆發衝突的「熱點」;而美軍希望到二○一九年能落實這項構想。

 構思中的太空飛機代號為「熱鷹」(Hot Eagle)。美國空軍發言人布朗證實,「國家航空暨太空總署」及五角大廈十月中旬曾召開兩天的閉門會議,工程師奉令勾勒出「熱鷹」的藍圖。

 美國航太工業設計師魯坦設計出「白騎士二號」全碳纖複合材質飛機,打算自二○一○年起進行載送旅客到地球次軌道的商業太空旅行;這項材質科技的突破令五角大廈相關官員大為振奮,認為以此為基礎可研發出「熱鷹」。

 而魯坦雖然認為,要用那種科技運輸部隊成本昂貴,但能夠做到。按構想,兩節式的「熱鷹」將由運載母機發射,再藉由大型助升火箭把較小、載有十三名「太空部隊」的太空戰機推升到地球軌道約八十公里上空,如此可避開敵方雷達的偵測,再降落於目標區。

 英國《周日泰晤士報》十九日報導,雖然有魯坦的新科技相助,但想研發出「熱鷹」,未來還有許多障礙必須突破。設計人員尚未決定應該把「熱鷹」造成操作相對較簡易單而可拋棄的戰機,太空部隊抵達目的地後馬上摧毀,不讓敵人直升機找到,還是製造成較大型、複雜的載具,可讓太空部隊在達成任務後駕返。

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太空飛機 4小時到全球各地
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http://udn.com/NEWS/WORLD/WOR4/4564930.shtml
太空飛機 4小時到全球各地

【聯合報╱編譯高國珍/報導】 2008.10.20 02:37 am


美國軍方正在設計一種太空飛機,可在4小時內抵達全球任何一個發生戰事的地點。

泰晤士報19日報導,美國國防部最近舉行的一次秘密會議上,美國軍方工程師透露,此代號為「熱鷹」的飛行工具,其藍圖正在規畫中,軍方希望能在11年內正式啟用。

現年65歲、主持製造維京集團總裁布蘭森的白騎士太空船的魯坦博士,看好「熱鷹」的研發。白騎士將在明年測試飛行,預計2010年起載人。魯坦2004年曾因此項首架私人太空船的研發,獲得100萬美元的獎勵。魯坦表示,「要載送一隊軍隊比較難,但還是有可能執行。」

熱鷹的科技,與白騎士相似。將火箭置入航空母艦,火箭內裝有13名士兵,可由航空母艦發射至距地球約80公里的高空中,到達戰事衝突地區再突然降落。

由於80公里的高空超過任何敵國的雷達監控範圍,因此可發揮突襲效果。

美軍最早是在2002年發想出「熱鷹」,主因當時在阿富汗山區追捕賓拉丹時屢嘗敗跡。建議者稱,由於阿富汗山區地形特殊,當發現賓拉登可疑形蹤時,美軍若步行前往則耗時過長,若用直升機前往,目標又過於明顯。於是美軍制定了此「小型太空運輸工具及載人計畫」。

【2008/10/20 聯合報】

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論中共太空戰略發展與企圖
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http://news.gpwb.gov.tw/newpage_grey/news.php?css=2&nid=58018&projid=
2008/10/17   論中共太空戰略發展與企圖
 
◎陳炳炫
 中共太空發展戰略的動機是多元的,在軍事應用上達到「超俄趕美」是中共的終極目標,也是中共自始至終一貫奉守的教條,更是促使中共持續鑽研太空科技的動力,期藉太空發展激起大陸民眾民族優越感,進而轉移大陸人民對共產黨的不滿,凝聚大陸人民的情感,以作為鞏固其千瘡百孔領導地位的重要工具。至於其他的動機則包含培養尖端科技人才、以太空技術搶進國際衛星市場,藉太空科技的實力擴展其外交空間等。儘管現階段中共在太空科技的研發及於軍事、政治、經濟上的應用都取得了不錯的成就,但後續太空計畫發展的進程中,中共會採取什麼措施來維持現在的技術地位及水準,並朝「超俄趕美」的目標前進?又可能會遭遇什麼問題?是分析中共未來走向的重要參考依據。
 發展計畫朝「超俄趕美」目標前進
 一、經濟的崛起有利太空發展
 太空科技是一項相當耗費資金的產業,故中共太空發展一直是由國家政府資助及規劃,並由共軍主導執行,以解決資金的支應問題。中共自改革開放以來,持續維持的高經濟成長率,是中共政權得以推動太空計畫的保證。另一方面,太空工業的發展是應用所有相關工業技術的基礎,故也連帶提升大陸境內工業產值及技術層次,活絡了大陸經濟的成長及繁榮,也回饋了中共政權推動太空科技的資金需求。
 二、展開國際合作增進發展技術
 太空科技的技術水準在當今的工業層次中,是屬於相當高層次且受到各國積極保密的項目。中共的太空科技已達世界第三大的技術國,雖距離美國及俄羅斯仍有相當的差距,然而,其科技的成熟及推出從製造到人員訓練不假外人的「在軌交付」服務,已吸引包含俄羅斯、法國、德國等先進國家及第三世界的國家與中共進行國際性的合作,此種國際合作除可分擔中共研究的經費及風險外,更可為中共輸入高科技的技術內容及帶動管理科學的精進,有利於促進中共後續的太空發展計畫。
 三、培育科技專家及團隊進軍太空
 早期中共的太空科技發展受到美國及歐盟國家的抵制,有關太空活動的零附件及技術均禁止輸入給中共,美國甚至拒絕中共人員赴美參與任何有關的太空科技的學術研討會。因此,中共在無法取得外援下,以建立自主的太空科研能量為前提,積極的進行太空科技的鑽研。歷經五十年,中共除自主地創造了質與量兼具的成就外,最重要的是中共在這研發的過程,培育了一批太空的科技專家及團隊。從中共近期的「神舟七號」發射的報導發現,這批為數眾多的科研人員不但年輕且管理經驗豐富,可見中共已完成新老交替的任務,不但是中共未來發展太空科技潛力的希望及寄託,而中共後續的發展則是最令美國擔憂的癥結。
 以軍事用途著眼引發負面評價
 一、社會發展不對稱造成質疑
 中共每年都挹注鉅額資金進行太空科技的活動及研發,但相對地,對於大陸境內仍有數千萬人民生活於貧窮之中,中共當局卻顯得無動於衷,此呈現中共對社會發展及太空推動極為不對稱的認知,近日發生的「毒奶事件」就是中共忽視社會民生問題所造成的一個風暴。事實上,從中共改革開放以及拜網際網路無遠弗屆的資訊傳播特性,使得中國大陸人民民智開化,對國家人民應有的權利也日漸著重,故人民對中共政權的批評及要求如雨後春筍般的蔓延開來。面對越來越多的社會問題及人民的不滿,都會迫使中共正視社會問題的嚴重性,並投入資金加以改善,也相對會擠壓到中共發展太空科技的額度,對中共的太空計畫的推動造成阻礙。
 二、「中國威脅論」的聲浪影響發展
 中共的軍備發展一直都受到世界各國關注及疑慮,雖然中共在所有的太空計畫及活動中,都避免提到國防、安全、軍事等字眼,並將之定位在和平用途的氛圍中,但仍脫離不了各國對「中國威脅論」的質疑。究其原因,乃在於中共的太空發展計畫都是由共軍負責籌劃、管制及執行,而且中共研發之各項太空科技裝備也都朝具備軍事功能的目標研發。換言之,中共的各項太空計畫作為及內容幾乎都是以軍事用途及目的為著眼,自然造成各國對中共的太空企圖產生防衛心,並禁止對中共輸入太空技術,連帶也影響中共發展太空科技的進程,造成中共太空戰略發展思維及行動上的兩難。
 三、恐造成國際太空軍備競賽
 冷戰的結束,一般的專家看法是將之歸咎於前蘇聯的窮兵黷武,將軍備發展的目標定位在以超越美國科技及軍事能力為主的競爭中,因而形成軍備競賽,讓國家的經濟陷入於疲軟乏力的泥淖,促使前蘇聯共產政權的瓦解,也結束美蘇間長達數十年的冷戰。中共現在逐年加強對太空科技的投入,並規劃各項太空新的活動及計畫,如此次「神舟七號」的發射,就安排太空人出艙、小衛星伴飛等科技任務,引起各國的關注及疑慮。在中共發展太空的明顯軍事企圖下,可能造成各國競相投入太空科技的發展,以免在未來的資訊作戰中,喪失了掌握制天權的優勢。因此未來是否造成國際太空軍備競賽,將是值得後續注意觀察的重要課題。
(國防大學戰略研究所助理教授)
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US urged to bolster missile, space defenses against China: paper
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http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20081001/pl_afp/usmilitarychinaspace_081001151051
US urged to bolster missile, space defenses against China: paper

Wed Oct 1, 11:10 AM ET

WASHINGTON, (AFP) - A draft report recommends that the United States build new missile, sea-based and space-based defenses to deal with China's growing nuclear and conventional forces, a newspaper said Tuesday.
 
The draft by a State Department advisory board said China aims to build forces that are not just capable of retaking Taiwan but also of projecting power beyond east Asia, The Washington Times reported.

China's "major objective is to counter US presence and US military capabilities in East Asia through the acquisition of offensive capacities in critical functional areas that systematically exploit US vulnerabilities," it quoted the report as saying.

China is developing capabilities for "asymmetric warfare," such as space and computer weapons, that could help it defeat stronger US armed forces, according to a copy of the draft the daily said it had obtained.

The report warned of gaps in US missile defenses, dependence on space for communications, reliance on aircraft carriers to project power to China's shores, and "fragile electronics and the Internet," the newspaper said.

The draft recommends that the United States obtain new offensive space and cyber warfare capabilities and missile defenses as well as "more robust sea- and space-based capabilities" to deter any crisis over Taiwan, the daily said.

The ISAB report said China was headed for expansion after centuries as a regional power.

"In China's view, Taiwan is the key to breakout: If China is to become a global power, the first step must include control of this island," the report was quoted as saying.

Once it controls the island of Taiwan, China would then be able to control the neighboring seas and to project power eastward, according to the report.

The draft by the Secretary of State's International Security Advisory Board (ISAB) is significant, it added, because US government and private-sector analyses have until now not seen China as a US security challenge.

The Washington Times said the report has not been officially released, but could be released in a few weeks.

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China report urges missile shield
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http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2008/oct/01/new-us-defenses-sought-to-counter-beijing-buildup/
China report urges missile shield
Urges development of counterweapons
Bill Gertz (Contact)
Wednesday, October 1, 2008

EXCLUSIVE:

The United States needs new weapon systems, including missile defenses and other advanced military capabilities, to deter and counter China's steady buildup of nuclear and conventional arms, according to a draft internal report by a State Department advisory board.

U.S. defense policy has stressed missile defenses against Iran and North Korea. The report, by the Secretary of State's International Security Advisory Board (ISAB), is the first to recommend such defenses against China, including technology in space.

The draft, a copy of which was obtained by The Washington Times, said Chinese strategy goes beyond building forces capable of retaking the island of Taiwan. China seeks to "break out" by projecting power beyond its region including sea lanes that carry energy resources for its modernization, the document said.

"Using superior U.S. military technical capacities, the United States should undertake the development of new weapons, sensors, communications, and other programs and tactics to convince China that it will not be able to overcome the U.S. militarily," the report said.

The draft report presents a tough assessment of Chinese strategic modernization that goes beyond many current government and private-sector analyses that say that China's military modernization does not pose a major challenge to U.S. security interests.

For example, in an interview with The Washington Times in March, CIA Director Michael V. Hayden expressed professional "admiration" for China's rapid and sophisticated buildup and said it is "not inevitable that they will be an enemy." The report said that to reduce the chance of a miscalculation by China that could lead to a crisis or conflict, the United States "must take seriously China's challenge to U.S. military superiority in the Asia-Pacific region. ... China's military modernization is proceeding at a rate ... to be of concern even with the most benign interpretation of China's motivation."

Chinese Embassy spokesman Wang Baodong said in a statement that China is "naturally becoming stronger and more influential in world affairs" after 30 years of reform, but remains committed to peaceful development and a "foreign policy of peace."

"China will not harm anyone or pose a threat to anyone. China's development is opportunity, not threat. Any versions of China threat will continue to be proved fallacious," he said.

Mr. Wang also said his government is "committed to the peaceful settlement of the Taiwan question and the peaceful reunification" of the island with the mainland.

The draft by the 17-member advisory board has not been officially released. A State Department official familiar with the report said it is in the late stages and could be completed in the next several weeks.

The official said the report's stark assessment of China's strategy and forces was in line with the board's mandate to provide frank advice to the secretary of state from analysts outside government.

Brandon A. Buttrick, the ISAB executive director, said his office did not know when members would complete their review. "If the report is an unclassified report, it will be made available for public distribution as we have done with the previous ISAB reports when they are approved by the ISAB," he said.

 
Chinese police march in Tiananmen Square. Associated Press

The board is headed by former Deputy Defense Secretary Paul Wolfowitz. The task force that produced the report was led by Robert Joseph, a former undersecretary of state and specialist on nonproliferation. The task force included former Sen. Charles S. Robb, Virginia Democrat; Allison B. Fortier, a vice president for missile defense at Lockheed Martin; and William Van Cleave, emeritus professor for defense and security studies at Missouri State University.

Mr. Robb said he initially took part but dropped out because of time constraints "notwithstanding my interest in the topic." He declined to comment further.

Mr. Wolfowitz declined to be interviewed. Once the Bush administration's chief theorist on the war on terror and a major policymaker on the invasion of Iraq, Mr. Wolfowitz previously held numerous senior posts dealing with Asian affairs at both the State Department and Pentagon. He stepped down as World Bank president amid ethics inquiries in June.

The draft report said China's "major objective is to counter U.S. presence and U.S. military capabilities in East Asia through the acquisition of offensive capacities in critical functional areas that systematically exploit U.S. vulnerabilities." It said the buildup involves capabilities for "asymmetric warfare," such as space and computer weapons, that could help Chinese forces defeat a stronger U.S. military.

Among the areas of U.S. strategic vulnerability identified in the report are gaps in U.S. missile defenses; dependence on space for communications; the U.S. inability to use force against China except through aircraft carrier groups; and "fragile electronics and the Internet." The report recommends that the United States acquire new offensive space and cyber warfare capabilities and missile defenses as well as "more robust sea- and space-based capabilities" to deter any crisis over Taiwan.

China currently has about 20 missiles capable of reaching the United States but is projected to have more than 100 nuclear missiles, some likely with multiple warheads, by 2015, the report said.

Among the key findings:

• Continued rapid economic growth of 10 percent a year is "vital" for China to continue to compete with the United States and achieve its main goals of regime survival and regional dominance.

• China's industrial and defense espionage is aimed at obtaining advanced technology for economic and military modernization.

• The scale, scope and speed of China's rise fundamentally impacts U.S. national security, yet the U.S. "possesses only a limited understanding of Chinese intentions, and how Beijing's economic and military expansion affects these interests."

• China's military and civilian leaders are not always on the same page and that separation is a potential "focal point" for mitigating hostility. China's civilian leaders understand Americans but the Chinese military suffers from "clear paranoia and misperceptions" about U.S. intentions.

• To avoid an "emerging creep" by China toward strategic nuclear coercion, "the United States will need to pursue new missile defense capabilities, including taking full advantage of space," the report said.

On China's expansion after centuries as a regional power, the ISAB report stated that: "In China's view, Taiwan is the key to breakout: If China is to become a global power, the first step must include control of this island." Taking over the island would allow China to control the seas near its coasts and to project power eastward, the report said.

China views Taiwan, where nationalist forces fled from the mainland in 1949, as central to "the legitimacy of the regime and key to power projection," the report said. Taiwan also is seen by China as a way to deny the United States a key ally in "a highly strategic location" of the western Pacific, the report said.

Chinese authorities have said they desire peaceful reunification with Taiwan but will not allow it to declare formal independence and have not ruled out the use of force.

The advisory panel report also recommended that the U.S. increase sales of advanced conventional forces to allies in Asia and improve counterintelligence efforts.

Larry M. Wortzel, chairman of the congressional U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission, said he has not seen the report but that blocking Taiwan independence and gaining control of the island "is one of the highest priorities set for the People's Liberation Army by the Communist Party Politburo Standing Committee and the Central Military Commission." "If China accomplishes this, its military can concentrate on missions to expand China's presence, influence, and even control, in wider areas of the Asia-Pacific region," he said.

Mr. Wang, the Chinese Embassy spokesman, said China's budget for 2007 was $45 billion, or 1.4 percent of gross domestic product. He said this year's defense budget is $57.2 billion, an increase of 17.6 percent.

The United States spends about 4 percent of GDP on defense, according to the CIA World Factbook.

However, the Pentagon's latest annual report on China's military stated that China's military spending figures do not include spending on China's space program, strategic forces, foreign acquisitions, military-related research and development and paramilitary forces.

• Read the report by the ISAB Task Force on China's Strategic Modernization (downloads PDF)
http://video1.washingtontimes.com/video/ChinaStrategicPlan.pdf

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美國機構建議研制新武器遏制中國軍事力量
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http://big5.xinhuanet.com/gate/big5/news.xinhuanet.com/mil/2008-10/02/content_10141488.htm
美國機構建議研制新武器遏制中國軍事力量 
2008年10月02日 11:31:37  來源:環球時報 


    美國國務院國際安全顧問委員會(ISAB)近日向美國政府提交了一份新的報告草案,該草案大肆渲染中國軍力威脅,建議美國研發包括導彈防禦係統在內的新型武器係統,以遏制和應對中國穩步發展的核力量和常規軍事力量。

    美國《華盛頓時報》網站10月1日文章稱,該報獲得了ISAB的這份報告草案。報道援引該草案的內容稱,中國不止要統一臺灣,而且還要“突破”這一戰略,構築超出海上能源運輸線等地域范圍的力量。因此,該報告建議,“美國應依托自身超強的軍事技術能力研發新型武器、探測係統、通訊係統及其它項目和戰術,以此來告誡中國,它沒有實力同美軍抗衡。”

    《華盛頓時報》稱,美國以往的防禦政策是著重將反導係統對準伊朗和朝鮮,該報告草案是首次建議將這類武器係統對準中國。

    報道說,這項報告具有重要意義,因為美國政府和私營部門進行的分析迄今還沒有把中國視為對美國安全的威脅。

    《華盛頓時報》稱這項報告還沒有正式發表,有可能在幾周後發表。

    國務院國際安全顧問委員會負責向美國國務卿匯報,其職責包括就美國政府面臨的許多棘手問題發表看法,包括朝核問題、與伊朗談判等。

    《華盛頓時報》還提到了該報今年3月對美國中央情報局(CIA)局長邁克爾·海登的採訪。海登在採訪中對中國軍隊取得的成就表達了“職業性的稱讚”,他同時表示,中國將“不可避免地成為美國的敵人”。該報告說,為了避免中國誤判,美國“必須認真對待中國對美軍在亞太地區地位的挑戰”,“中國正在加緊進行軍事現代化,對此,即使是對中國動機的最友好的詮釋,美國也應予以警惕”。

    海登所言“對中國動機的最友好的詮釋”是指中國政府對自身政策的解讀。《華盛頓時報》援引中國使館發言人王保東的話說,中國在進行完30年的改革之後,“自然而然地變得更為強大,在世界上也更有影響力”,但是中國仍將信守和平發展的承諾,並繼續採取“和平的外交政策”。王保東說,“中國不會傷害和威脅任何人。中國的發展是機遇不是挑戰。任何中國威脅論的說法都將被證明是錯誤的”。

    《華盛頓時報》是美國著名的右翼報紙。該報曾屢次炮制“中國軍事威脅論”等右翼言論及有關中國的假新聞,並得到了美國五角大樓和一些國會人士的支持。

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抗中擴軍 美應強化太空、飛彈防禦
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http://www.libertytimes.com.tw/2008/new/oct/2/today-int4.htm
自由時報2008年10月2日

抗中擴軍 美應強化太空、飛彈防禦
〔編譯胡立宗/綜合報導〕華盛頓時報一日刊出獨家報導,指美國國務院「國際安全顧問委員會」(ISAB)在一份內部報告初稿中指出,鑒於中國企圖建立區域外軍事投射能力,美國應發展包括飛彈防禦系統、太空防禦在內的新型武器、偵測裝置、通訊系統及其他計畫與戰術,以建立制衡中國的能力。這是迄今第一份建議以飛彈防禦系統,甚至太空技術反制中國的官方報告。

國務院內部報告曝光

報告指出,中國近年來發展軍備的企圖,已遠超過奪取台灣的需要,而更著眼於建立超越亞太區域的戰力投射能力,其中一項目標即在確保能源運輸的海上航路。華時的報導也強調,這份報告與其他官方或民間報告的最大不同就在於,明確指出中國的軍備發展可能威脅美國利益。

報告指出,為避免中國誤判情勢引發危機或衝突,美國必須正視中國對美國軍事優勢的挑戰;而且中國軍事發展的速度,「就算是以最善意的角度評估其背後目的,(這樣的速度)都值得擔憂」。

ISAB是由前國防部副部長、前世界銀行總裁沃佛維茲負責。熟知報告提出程序的國務院官員表示,報告的撰寫已到最後階段,但還需要數週才能完稿。官員指出,報告對於中國戰略及軍力的評估,只是基於對國務卿坦白建言的職責。ISAB認為美國的弱點在於飛彈防禦網出現漏洞、過於依賴太空通訊、必須藉航空母艦戰鬥群才能對中國動武,以及脆弱的電子及網路設施。報告建議,美國必須提升太空及網路攻擊能力,以對抗中國的「不對稱作戰」。

中國要成強權 勢必拿下台灣

報告還指出,台灣是中國在西太平洋擴張軍力的關鍵,除非拿下台灣,否則中國無法真正成為全球強權。中國的二砲戰力與日俱增,現在已有至少二十顆射程涵蓋美國本土的長程飛彈,在二○一五年前可能增加到一百枚以上,某些還可能裝載多個核彈頭,美國必須強化飛彈防禦及海空軍,才能避免台海出現危機。

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析論中共天軍發展趨勢
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http://news.gpwb.gov.tw/newpage_grey/news.php?css=2&rtype=&nid=51867
2008/08/20   析論中共天軍發展趨勢
◎ 杜仲平
近年來,隨著太空科技的日益成熟,世界軍事強國競相將軍事觸角伸向太空,使太空空間繼陸、海、空立體戰場後的另一個嶄新的戰場。太空戰場的開闢和建立,特別是中共天軍的作戰平臺和武器系統的不斷發展與完善,催生一支嶄新的軍種│「天軍」。二十世紀初期,美國將主要對付遠程戰略轟炸機的北美防空司令部,擴展成為針對洲際彈道導彈、潛射彈道導彈為主的防空防天系統,其作戰區域由大氣層擴展到外層空間,使太空監視、戰略預警和攻擊設定成為其主要任務。這些組織機構的出現,可看出中共發展「天軍」的雛形。  從中共「天軍」發展趨勢上看,未來太空戰場的主力部隊│「天軍」,在制「太空權」的戰爭中可發揮以下作用:
一、實施太空偵察、預警任務:軍用衛星在太空執行偵察、預警等軍事活動,因受自然因素影響較大,所以只能執行規定的程序。而利用太空部隊遂行偵察、探測等任務,則可依據太空戰場的實際景況,隨機分析判斷,並適時進行處置。顯然,利用太空部隊執行太空偵察、探測、預警等作戰任務,有著更大的優勢。
二、反制敵方衛星、太空基地:衛星作為軍隊在太空中的「眼」、「耳」,對部隊的軍事行動有著巨大的支援作用。特別是以空間和武器系統組成的作戰平臺,是太空作戰賴以生存的「法則」。奪取太空戰場的主動權,必須首先著眼於摧毀對方的軍用衛星和太空基地。
三、攻擊敵地面重要軍事目標:太空戰場的重要任務是為地面作戰創造更有利的條件。由於太空部隊能居高臨下掌握地面戰場,特別是能精確打擊敵地面戰場重要的軍事目標,對於取得作戰勝利具有重要的關鍵作用。為此,未來太空戰場,太空部隊將成為運用太空武器裝備對地面、海上和空中軍事目標進行直接打擊和破壞。此外,太空部隊還將擔負指揮、管制、通信、資訊、情報、監視、偵察、導航以及蒐集氣象資料等多種軍事任務。因此,太空部隊將成為一支不容忽視的作戰主力。
  軍用衛星除為己方創造軍事行動有利條件外,也迫使敵方感到潛藏威脅。因此,美、蘇等軍事強國為控制太空、奪取制天權,一直致力於研發反衛星武器與裝備。但從其殺傷程度,研判已研制和正在研製的反衛星武器主要分為四種類型:
一、核導彈反衛星武器:利用核彈頭在航天器目標附近爆炸產生強烈的熱輻射、核輻射和電磁脈衝效應,將航天器結構與電子設備毀壞,或使其喪失工作能力。它的作用距離遠,殺傷半徑大,在武器本身的精度較差的情況下仍可以破壞目標。但核導彈反衛星武器的缺點是準確度低,附加破壞效應大,容易給己方衛星造成威脅,而且一旦使用,有引發核子戰的危險。
二、動能反衛星武器:動能反衛星武器靠高速運動物體的動量破壞目標,通常利用火箭推進的方式使彈頭產生高速,並使它與目標航天器直接碰撞擊毀。同時,也可以攜帶高效能炸藥彈頭在目標附近爆炸,產生金屬碎片擊毀目標。採用這種殺傷手段的反衛星武器要求精密的技術。
三、定向能反衛星武器:定向能反衛星武器通過發射高能激光束、粒子束、微波束,直接照射與破壞目標。通常把採用這幾種射束的武器分別稱為高能激光武器、粒子束武器與微波武器。利用定向能殺傷手段摧毀空間目標具有重複使用、速度快、攻擊區域廣等優點,但技術難度較大,易受天候影響,摧毀目標的效果有限。
四、殺手衛星:殺手衛星是一種帶爆破裝置的衛星,它在與目標衛星相同的軌道上,利用自身攜帶的雷達紅外線探測與跟蹤目標,然後靠近到目標衛星數十公尺範圍之內,將載有高效能炸藥的衛星引爆,產生大量碎片,將目標擊毀。
  由於太空戰場上的軍事活動不受空間因素的影響,作戰的雙方可以在太空軌道的範圍內採取全方位的作戰行動,這就使作戰達到真正意義上的靈活性與協調性。特別是在未來的高科技戰爭中,太空戰場上的各種偵察、預警、通信衛星,將成為軍隊指揮自動化系統的核心,亦是作戰雙方首先攻擊的目標。作戰雙方為獲得陸、海、空立體戰場上的主動權,必將首先搶佔太空戰場的控制權。
  世界上的軍事大國,尤以中共為滿足其政治、經濟和軍事利益的需要,絕不會放棄對太空戰場的爭奪。特別是隨著高科技廣泛運用於軍事領域,爭奪太空的能力的提高,實施太空作戰已非難事。
(作者為國防大學海軍學院中校教官)
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