http://news.yam.com/afp/international/200804/20080426071873.html
糧農組織：糧食危機將使某些國家爆發內戰
法新社╱張佑之 2008-04-26 00:20
（法新社巴黎二十五日電）聯合國糧農組織負責人狄伍夫今天警告，全球糧食短缺將使某些國家爆發內戰，他主張改革國際糧食制度。
狄伍夫在法國第二十四電視頻道說，國際社會領導人未能因應糧農組織的警告而採取行動，結果導致他所稱「可以預測的災難」。
他說，各國「民選政府」必須在人民面前承擔起「主要責任」。
在因稻米和玉米等主食價格不斷上揚而發生的示威和暴動衝擊到海地政府的情況下，狄伍夫說，他認為，非洲下撒哈拉地區各國可能有爆發「內戰」的危險，而亞洲和拉丁美洲國家亦然。
他說：「某些國家如果再次未能採取一切必要措施，就可能出現衝突。據我們所知，有些國家已有人死亡。」
狄伍夫接著說：「不幸我們總是等到世界出現災難時，才會有反應。」
喀麥隆、象牙海岸、茅利塔尼亞、衣索比亞、馬達加斯加、菲律賓和印尼已因糧食價格上揚而出現動亂。
http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20080425/wl_afp/unfaoinflationpovertyfood_080425152351;_ylt=AlVXoLT.hwQw26t5gguWZH.QOrgF
UN agency chief warns of food crisis 'civil war'
by Roderick Thomson
1 hour, 26 minutes ago
PARIS (AFP) - UN food agency chief Jacques Diouf on Friday warned of civil war in some countries because of global food shortages and called for a revamp of the international food system.
The head of the Food and Agriculture Organization said on France 24 television that international leaders had failed to act on warnings from his agency leading to what he called a "predictable catastrophe".
Diouf said that "elected governments" must take "primary responsibility" before their people.
While demonstrations and riots over rising prices of staples such as rice and corn have the government in Haiti, Diouf said he sees "civil war" as a potential danger for countries in sub-Saharan Africa but also in Asia and Latin America.
Asked if he agreed with International Monetary Fund head Dominique Strauss-Kahn's assessment that "those kind of questions sometimes end in war," Diouf said "with the qualification, civil war".
"Within countries, if, once again, all the necessary measures are not taken, there risks being clashes. We know there have already been deaths in some countries."
Diouf went on: "Unfortunately, we always wait until there is a catastrophe in this world before we react."
Unrest tied to the food inflation has already erupted in Cameroon, Ivory Coast, Mauritania, Ethiopia, Madagascar, the Philippines and Indonesia.
Diouf bemoaned the competing politics of different international organisations, sometimes under the same UN umbrella, and said this had often made the implementation of FAO policies fall foul to those of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank.
"It's true that the World Bank and the (IMF) have, over the past two decades, policies which have dismantled systems put in place to protect farmers in Third World countries, notably in Africa," he said.
"(But) I should say that the World Bank has done a mea culpa, because it has recognised its policies in Africa were not good and that it has to change them."
However, he denied that price rises of up to 120 percent in rice's case would prove beneficial to developing world farmers.
"There has to be investment in the management of water," he said. "In Africa, on 96 percent of land, production is dependent upon rainfall.
"When you factor in poor rural transport networks ... and inadequate storage facilities, (these countries) lose between 40 and 60 percent of production each year.
The FAO director-general welcomed an idea for global institutions to establish a food security fund, in the way the international community rallied to battle AIDS from the 1980s.
"I think that this proposition merits serious examination," Diouf said. "But how do we make sure that funds are in addition to resources mobilised by the World Bank, regional development banks, the EU and its bilateral aid programmes?
Diouf stopped short of calling for a moratorium on biofuel development -- which the UN's Special Rapporteur for the Right to Food, Jean Ziegler, recently called a "crime against humanity".
He called instead for a conference on food security in Rome on June 3-5, -- which will be attended by French President Nicolas Sarkozy and Brazil's Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva -- to trigger informed research.
Diouf also pulled back from developing world calls to lower agriculture subsidies and open up access to markets in the United States and Europe -- instead pressing for similar subsidies for farmers in Africa, Asia and Latin America.
"There are two solutions: end subsidies everywhere, or give them to everyone. I prefer the latter," he said.
Diouf said the the international credit crunch and faults in global financial markets could not be blamed for food price rises.
"Obviously, there are always interactions, but the real problem of the food crisis is insufficient global supply due to climactic phenomenons, already low stocks and growing demand among emerging countries such as China and India.
"To that you can add the demand for biofuels which has diverted food towards energy.
"The growth in world population is 78.5 million people each year, and by 2050, the global population will have risen from six to nine billion," Diouf said.
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