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麥芽糖

事實勝於雄辯﹕秋天紅楓落﹐聖誕白雪飄瀏覽0|回應0|推薦0
2008/10/12 01:45:58

引用文章碰上雞鴨﹐也成逆流海嘯﹐天下不公﹐又何來太平﹖

太公觀察﹐不到兩年﹐至少加州一州﹐就有房跌個七十趴﹐甚至像昨天通用汔車股票跌至六十年前的價位一樣﹐比二十年前的房價還更低。不信乎﹖

******

仍不相信乎﹖提供二個月前﹐八月二十三日﹐太公在老美網站的貼文﹐驗証上述加州某些地區﹐房地產下跌七十趴﹐實在是相當保守的說法。

這是我一向在聯網﹐真誠待人﹐不說無根無據的假話﹐最具体的實証。唉﹗四大皆空的純白紙﹐卻仍然有人天天無根無據﹐白布非要抹到黑﹐士人君子非成小人不可。

按此一例﹐則該房慘跌九十趴﹐太公卻只言七十趴﹐這至少多少顯示﹕太公在某些方面﹐不會窮寇猛追﹐仍彬彬君子﹐能饒人且饒人﹐心境寬廣﹐不記仇的素行吧﹖我生性雖堅持﹐卻溫和不偏激﹐不會怪異符思歪想﹐不說極端滿話。

至於引用文所提三萬元左右﹐可購得的二零零五年房屋﹐有問在何方﹖這連蓋屋建材成本都太不夠﹐太離譜﹐根本不會在洛杉磯附近吧﹖太公答曰﹕位於加州﹐離洛城約八十英里﹐開車約九十分鐘。

類似此房的當地市場租金﹐據說約在一千至一千二﹐不用大腦加以粗觀﹐每月粗回報率約略有四趴(年利為五十趴﹐換言之﹐在理論上﹐約一年半還本﹐二年後﹐是買空賣空的無本生意)﹐這為投資金律所言的每月一趴比(請看地產名嘴"Nothing Down"羅伯。亞倫的智言)﹐高出有三﹑四倍﹐比現在銀行定存息高出十倍﹔若以長期持有策略言﹐是相當好的『收入股』投資。

 

註﹕好啦﹗再多說也無益﹔近日向濟老佛爺懇請『鎖屁丸』﹐已開始服用﹐期盼能一藥全癒﹐學華爾街大老『有定性』﹐專心搞自己的私人享受﹔不再如黑雨﹑gail 『關切眾生』舊病復發﹐又在聯網放『不響』屁喔﹗God bless all of us to rest in peace.

****  ****

Wow, what a surprise today I encountered!  One thousand dollars for this California city house?  Is this a joke?  Is this a reckoning day?  Am I kidding? 

No, there is no typo.   This house is absolutely not in Michigan or Ohio where a house sold for $1,000 is no surprise; it is indeed in a big city of California.

This house surprises me:

1**1 ******t Ave ***** CA  9****  

2 beds, 2.0 baths, 894 sq ft

For Sale: $71,859

See listing websit

  • Zestimate: $132,000
  • 30-day change: -$10,000
  • Value Range: $75,240 - $134,640
  • Last updated: 08/22/2008

    Market Value Change  

    Sale History
    12/13/2007:$184,417 *
    11/08/2005:$272,000
    01/25/2005:$140,000

     

    From the above info, 10 years ago this house is valued at $70,000.  Its Peak sold price was $272K in November 2005.  9 months ago, a bank took it back for $184K.

    Recently the listing price was $71K (Note: the above listing in Zillow.com as of August 22) and reduced to $54K (see the bellow).  It is reducing, reducing, and finally falling apart...  

    $54,000
    1**1 ********* Ave
    ******** California, 9****
    MLS #: 40*****5
    Beds: 2 Baths: 2 Sq Ft: 894


    Try harder and harder, please (Note: as an investor, I have ample time to wait).  Now, everybody almost finished their hard works and tired (satisfied?).  A realistic price tag is finally on the auction table.  How much they would get for?

    Down to ask for $1,000.  After all the hard works done by the banker, asset manager, and agents in the past 9 month, do you expect all of them possibly get just a thousand dollar out of it?   See, how good our traditional marketing channels can do the job? 

    Don't say it is a waste time!  Look at a bright and broader view, it is a job-creating so that everyone can be busy and earn some money to put bread on the table.  So it is a MacroEconomics.  Who cares about national productivity, right?   

    I am very disappointed at some fellow agents who refuse to write a low ball offer, say 20% off, since they are trying to act as a principal, not an agent.  However, if I make you an offer asking 90% off your listing price, I don't blame you if you kick my butt.   How much do you think you "will" buy this house?   You are not serious to expect a final price omitting the two "0" at the end of its previous sold price, aren't you?  

    But just for this case.  If you're not, you are too kind to be greedy, for I know you may be wrong.  Look at stock market, as of August 22, our two big GSE Fannie and Freddie lost their stock value more than 90-96 percent in a year.  Don't you think it could happen in real estate?  Why not?

    Yesterday I watched PBS TV on Californian Education Review.  It was said that California education, particularly the infrastructure, has been deteriorating to follow Michigan and Ohio.  But it is still incredible for me to think the housing market will follow the shoe.  Gee, I shouldn't watch the TV program.

    I know this auction site very well and have been with it for more than 3 years.  It is a serious auction with no tricks, not like others, such as R**** or other W**** that play buyers at their fingertips.  

    One thing I am 100 percent sure is this house will be sold a lot less than the price it held 10 years ago.   It would not surprise me if it could be sold for less than $5K (Note: I have my reasons).  

    Let see the result in a few days. 

    ****  ****

    The subject property is sold for $28,500.  That's almost 90% off its peak price of $272,000 and 60% off its price 10 year ago.  Great deal!

    09/08/2008 07:45 PM by E T  Edit Delete

     

    What a steal!  I don't live in Cali but my guess is someone got a bargain.

     

    Charles Jarvis

    09/08/2008 09:23 PM by C J (Keller Williams Realty) Delete Report as Spam


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