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我賭台海無戰事
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曾太公
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台海無戰事瀏覽20|回應0|推薦0
2007/02/19 14:31:01

引用文章杜鵑窩證明(正名) 

Bravo!

This article delivers two points that speak exactly what I believe:

(1)

Y市大貼台海戰爭不可避免一類的東西,紅紅火火,亢奮不已.雖說老Y對國際政治預測以不準加不認帳出名(例:以色列進攻黎巴嫩將引起中東大戰),但有事在眉睫者,台灣居民不可不關心,因此該文之論點必得釐清之.大伙不妨前往一觀.

My point was presented as follows:

I know the international reality and framwork better than you do. I am not one of the blinds touching just a part of an elephant as YST.

14 months ago, DDP's 外交部長陳唐山 released his "serious" concern over the Vatican diplomatic relationship.  He sounds like Vatican would be the immediate next sovereign to cut tie with Taiwan.  I immediately posted an article to express my objection by saying "Vatican will be the last one to sever diplomatic relationship with ROC in the world," not the first one in line.引用文章小丑不自重﹐當然斷交啦﹗ Now how serious is it? I am right or 陳唐山 is right?

there is not going to have a "war" broke out between ROC and Red China in the futureNo chance at all unless there is someone stupid and crazy as YST, a Y-type Taiwanese parasite.  Peiod. 

Please take a note that I used "in the future," not a more conservative term "in the near future."  Why? The chance is getting even more slim later than the year 2007.  Now you know why YST keeps bluffing for some reason behind the scence.

引用文章Typical chicken-duck talk.

(2)

在下筆拙,要直接跳到結論:正名運動不會引起任何波瀾.

You did catch the vital points that why I dare to say there is not going to have a full-scale war (in traditional meaning) between ROC and Red China. 

At the present situation, I doubt Red China would trigger a war against Taiwan even if Taiwan announced her independence.  But I am not 100% sure about it yet (so, to play safe, I make it as a possible exception to my NO WAR warranty), based on my understandings on psychological effects of "soft science" (referred to "human science" as opposed to "Solid Science"). 

However, there would be absolutely no gain for Taiwan as a whole (only backfires to make Taiwan even more isolated) from the international community if ROC was changed into ROT .

p.s. Let me remind you that my extreme "conclusion" is not based on what YST's theory of the growing military powers.  I admited that Red China is able to millitarily attack ROC and I firmly believe that USA is NOT going to send her military forces to involved it and defend Taiwan. 

Then, what are my bases to make such an incredible (or "crazy") statement?  Think it over!  You have your good and functional brain.


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曾太公
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中共的外交﹐太笨了﹗
刪除 2007/02/27 08:43

是這樣的嗎﹖

當年﹐一江山之役﹐八二三砲戰﹐死傷無數﹐那時的中華民國﹐可是絕對對台獨趕盡殺絕﹔甚至連國之大臣﹐如駐美大使葉公超﹐說點兩國論(那並非今日的調調﹐而是兩個中國論)﹐也要派員押解回京軟禁的。

這麼堅持一中的中華民國﹐中共說打﹐可是二話不吭﹐立刻就下彈哦﹗自己人不打自己人﹐說得很好﹐也很冠冕堂皇﹐只是要看實際的情況﹐如何架構制度和關鏈﹐讓大家不打﹐才實際。

坦白說﹐太公看中共的策略﹐實在還是要重述一九九三年﹐太公坐在中南海為上賓時﹐對鄒副總家譁的話﹕『你們中共的外交﹐太笨了﹗』

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小帽
台灣無戰爭?
刪除 2007/02/26 18:00
如果台灣堅持一個中國就不會打丈了,誰希望打丈呢
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曾太公
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葉愚這篇文﹐功力非凡﹗
刪除 2007/02/20 01:42

葉愚這篇文﹐愈看愈有後勁﹐誠非肥皂文﹔有的一語雙關﹐功力非凡﹗下言讓太公沈思久久。

, 關在精神病院裏稱帝,在病人心中還是個皇帝啊. 

當然



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