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新聞對照:太陽風暴來襲 電訊航運受擾
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Solar Bursts Spray Earth, With More to Come
By KENNETH CHANG

 

Solar storms like the one that buffeted the Earth’s magnetic field on Thursday will soon become a common occurrence.

Magnetic eruptions on the Sun on Tuesday and Wednesday released two huge bursts of lights — two of the largest solar flares over the last five years — and accelerated a blob of high-speed particles headed toward us. As the charged particles slam the Earth’s magnetic field at more than a million miles per hour and are funneled toward the north and south poles, they generate the nighttime light now known as auroras or northern and southern lights.

Giant solar storms can wreak havoc on satellites and power grids. One storm knocked out power in a large area in Quebec in 1989. The current storm, which started Thursday morning, is not nearly large enough to cause that much trouble.

“At this point it’s a minor storm,” said C. Alex Young, a senior solar physicist at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Md. “It’s not going to be that big even if the levels increase a bit. This is really not something to be concerned about.”

Nevertheless, concern did ensue after NASA issued a statement on Wednesday saying that two large solar flares could send “a severe geomagnetic storm” toward Earth that could cause “possible disruption to high frequency radio communication, global positioning systems and power grids.”

That announcement caused a storm of its own, sparking numerous hyperbolic news reports about possible dangers to air travel and communications systems from large clouds of charged particles rushing at the Earth.

The storm particles started shaking the Earth’s magnetic field Thursday morning, the disturbance was rated only “minor,” a 1 on the 1-to-5 scale used to describe the intensity of such storms. The intensity did not crescendo to the “strong” threshold as had been predicted. A similar-size storm also hit Earth in late January.

Elsewhere, closer to the Sun, the storm was felt more acutely. The splash of intense radiation temporarily blinded the European Space Agency’s Venus Express spacecraft.

There has been a five-year lull in strong solar storms because the ferocity and pace of the Sun’s flares and magnetic eruptions rise and fall on an 11-year cycle, and the Sun has only recently emerged from its slumber and started generating new solar flares.

“We’re getting the first few snowfalls of the year, so to speak,” said Robert Rutledge, lead of the forecast office at the Space Weather Prediction Center in Boulder, Colo., part of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

During the course of a typical cycle, some 200 solar storms as strong as Thursday’s will hit Earth. Even though the current cycle appears quieter than usual, such storms could strike Earth a few times a week when the cycle peaks in the next year or so.

If the cycle matches the usual pattern, about a tenth as many of the solar storms — 10 to 20 — would reach the stronger, “severe” level and one or two would be described as “extreme.”

It is the most powerful storms that generate real worry. In addition to knocking out power grids, the larger solar storms can also damage satellites or pose a health hazard to astronauts on the International Space Station.

“I don’t think people should really be concerned” unless an extreme solar storm is headed toward Earth, Dr. Young said. “We want the general public to be aware of it and know what’s going on, but at the same time not lose sleep over it.”

太陽風暴來襲電訊航運受擾

來自太陽的地磁風暴於台灣時間8日晚間衝擊地球,不過,地球的磁場似乎吸收了風暴的衝擊,應不致於達到最嚴重的等級。

這場太陽風暴可能是5年來最強烈的一次,且可能造成高頻的無線電通信、全球定位系統、電力、航空航班中斷,以及絢爛的極光可能出現在較遠的地方如中亞。這場太空風暴已讓部分航空公司改變極地的飛行路線。

美國國家海洋暨大氣總署(NOAA)表示,一個大規模的太陽閃焰7日上午從太陽表面噴出,閃焰造成的電磁粒子以每小時640萬公里的速度朝地球前進,並在台北時間8日晚間645分衝擊地球。

他們估計,這場地磁風暴,在太陽輻射與地磁風暴強度的5個等級中,應屬於第三級「強大」的一級,但不屬於「激烈」的第四級。地磁風暴影響預估將持續至9日。

NOAA太空天氣專家昆契斯7日說:「這可能是2006年來最強大的一場。」

太陽風暴不會傷害人類,但會中斷科技。上一次的風暴高峰期發生於2002年,專家發現衛星定位系統特別易受太陽風暴打擊。

地磁與輻射風暴未來將更頻繁,原因是太陽已離開極小期,於未來數年進入最大期。

原文參照:
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/03/09/science/space/solar-storm-reaches-earth-and-experts-say-to-expect-more.html

2012-03-09.聯合報.A25.國際.編譯王麗娟


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