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羅馬尼亞總統選舉結果 2025 – M. McCluskey/S. Tanno
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波蘭、葡萄亞、和羅馬尼亞都在05/18舉行大選。這些歐洲三、四流國家本來無足輕重；但在三年俄、烏血戰愈打愈烈的當下，其地緣政治地位有牽一髮而動全身之勢。政壇走向自有關注的必要。
Romania’s pro-EU candidate unexpectedly beats hard-right rival to win presidential election
Mitchell McCluskey/Sophie Tanno, CNN, 05/19/25
CNN — Romania’s pro-European Union, centrist presidential candidate Nicușor Dan won the country’s election Sunday, defeating his ultranationalist rival in a shocking upset.
With 100% of the votes counted, the centrist candidate won nearly 54% of the ballots cast, a clear win over hard-right candidate George Simion, who is a fan of US President Donald Trump.
Simion, who opposes providing military aid to Ukraine and is critical of the EU, looked on track to win the election after he swept the first round on May 4. But Dan gained ground after trouncing Simion in a televised debate.
While addressing a crowd of his jubilant supporters on Sunday, Dan said that the vote proved the “incredible power of the Romanian society,” according to Reuters. “Elections are about community. In today’s elections, a community of Romanians who want a profound change in Romania won,” the 55-year-old mayor said.
He also encouraged his supporters to “have patience,” saying a “difficult period lies ahead, but necessary in order to balance the economy of this country, to build the foundations of a healthy society.”
Dan, who is currently the mayor of the capital Bucharest, is a strong supporter of Romania’s NATO membership and has pledged to continue providing aid to Ukraine, which he sees as key to Romania’s own security against the threat from Russia. He also campaigned on a promise to crack down on corruption.
“I feel relieved. I am happy. I feel hopeful,” voter Alina Enache, 42, told Reuters. “I’m happy that we’re not heading towards the extremist way.”
Simion conceded defeat in a video posted to X on Sunday night, despite calling himself the “new president” earlier in the day. But he also vowed to continue to fight alongside the “sovereigntist patriots and conservatives around the world.”
He still captured the support of Romania’s diaspora, one of the largest of any country in the world. About 60% of the diaspora voted for Simion in the first round. Since then, he spent a lot of time outside Romania, traveling to Austria, Italy, Poland, Belgium, France and the United Kingdom, in an effort to win over voters abroad.
“It was an honor for me to represent our movement in this battle. We lost this battle, but we didn’t and will never lose our war,” Simion said.
The election comes five months after the result of the original vote, which saw former far-right outsider Calin Georgescu surge in popularity, was annulled over allegations of Russian interference.
Georgescu was later banned from this month’s rerun after being charged with various crimes, including founding a fascist group.
More than 10 million Romanians cast their vote in Sunday’s election, which was widely seen as a choice between East and West and a litmus test for the rise of Trump-style nationalism in Europe.
An array of European leaders congratulated Dan on his victory, including France’s Emmanuel Macron, Poland’s Donald Tusk and Moldova’s Maia Sandu.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky also applauded Dan’s “historic victory” and Romania’s role as a “reliable partner” to Ukraine.
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen expressed her eagerness to work with Dan as he becomes the country’s new leader.
“The Romanian people have turned out massively to the polls. They have chosen the promise of an open, prosperous Romania in a strong Europe. Together let’s deliver on that promise,” von der Leyen said on X.
On Sunday, Romanian Ministry of Foreign Affairs spokesperson Andrei Tarnea said that the “hallmarks of Russian interference” were seen in the election.
“A viral campaign of fake news on Telegram and other social media platforms is aimed to influence the electoral process. This was expected and authorities debunked the fake news,” Tarnea said.
Russia’s Foreign Ministry spokesperson Maria Zakharova responded by questioning the integrity of the election. “It’s impossible to interfere in something like that — only to get smeared in it. So don’t smear anyone else with your electoral mess,” she asserted.
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov added on Monday that “the elections were strange, to say the least” and criticized the earlier removal of far-right candidate Georgescu.
CNN’s Lauren Kent contributed to this report.
Related article German spy agency labels far-right AfD ‘extremist’
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波蘭總統大選右派候選人獲勝 - Wojciech Kość
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Nationalist Nawrocki wins Polish presidential election
Populist Karol Nawrocki, backed by the Law and Justice party and U.S. President Donald Trump’s administration, beat liberal Warsaw Mayor Rafał Trzaskowski by 50.89 percent to 49.11 percent.
Wojciech Kość, 06/01/25
WARSAW — Right-wing candidate Karol Nawrocki narrowly beat centrist Rafał Trzaskowski in Poland’s presidential election runoff, winning 50.89 percent of the vote to 49.11 percent, according to the electoral commission.
The result was a dramatic shift from an initial exit poll released immediately after voting ended at 9 p.m. In that survey, which had a 2 percentage point margin of error, Trzaskowski had 50.3 percent compared to 49.7 percent for Nawrocki. Turnout was 71.6 percent.
Despite the early uncertainty Nawrocki insisted that he would prevail. “We will win tonight,” he said as his supporters chanted: “Karol Nawrocki, the president of Poland.”
Nawrocki, backed by the nationalist Law and Justice (PiS) party and also by U.S. President Donald Trump’s administration, aims to pull Poland away from the European mainstream in a more populist direction.
A Nawrocki victory deals a significant blow to the Tusk government. Many of its legislative efforts had been blocked by PiS-aligned incumbent President Andrzej Duda and that is likely to continue under Nawrocki.
In his speech immediately after the polls closed, when the result was still in doubt, Nawrocki said: “We will save Poland, we will not allow the power of Donald Tusk to be complete.”
“Nawrocki’s presidency means a high-level conflict between the president and Tusk,” said Joanna Sawicka, a political analyst with Polityka Insight, a Warsaw-based think tank. “But it’s clear that it will be difficult for the government to implement key reforms because the president can veto most of them.”
The Polish presidency is a largely ceremonial function, and the government is in charge of foreign policy, but the president can veto legislation or send it off for judicial review. The Tusk-led coalition doesn’t have the votes in parliament to override that, so a President Nawrocki will make it very difficult for the prime minister to govern.
“The opposition camp, now led by Nawrocki, may also strive for early parliamentary elections, although it is not clear if this strategy could succeed. If not, a change in power is likely in 2027 anyway,” Sawicka added.
Nawrocki battled a cascade of revelations about his past including accusations that he helped arrange prostitutes for guests of a luxury hotel while working as a security guard, that he took part in fights as a football hooligan and that he acquired an apartment from a pensioner under questionable circumstances.
Conservative voters strongly backed Nawrocki, worried about Trzaskowski’s liberal record as mayor of Warsaw, where he supported LGBTQ+ rights and was out of step with the powerful Roman Catholic Church hierarchy.
Nawrocki ran on the ticket of making Poland “normal,” hinting strongly he would fight the EU’s federalist tendencies, oppose climate policy, torpedo attempts to give more rights to LGBTQ+ people or relax Poland’s strict abortion rights.
He also promised he would block Ukraine’s bid to join NATO.
The tight result of the election shows Poland’s deep political divisions — riven between the more liberal cities and conservative smaller towns and villages, between those who back the EU and those favoring a strong nationalist country, and between liberals and people hewing to traditional values and a strong role for the Roman Catholic Church.
Those splits are nothing new.
In 2020, Duda defeated Trzaskowski for the presidency by 51 percent to 49 percent.
This article has been updated.
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葡萄亞大選2025–A. Robert
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Portugal PM's party wins snap election but falls short of majority
Alison Robert. BBC correspondent, 05/19/25
Portugal's governing right-of-centre Democratic Alliance has won snap parliamentary elections - the third in as many years - again falling short of a majority.
Its leader Luís Montenegro promised supporters to "stimulate investment" and to "guarantee prosperity and social justice".
Socialist leader Pedro Nuno Santos announced his resignation after his party finished in second, and lost so many seats it ended up neck-and-neck with far-right Chega - a relatively newcomer.
The Socialists could even slip behind Chega if results from voters abroad, which take a few days to come in, mirror those in last year's election, when two out of the four seats went to Chega, and one to the Socialists.
Chega leader André Ventura said the "historic" result marked the end of two-party dominance in Portugal.
His campaign had focussed on the issues of immigration and corruption, and Chega was probably helped by the fact that this election and the previous one were both triggered by scandals involving the prime minister of the day.
Montenegro, in his remarks to supporters, thanked both his family and the "political family" that defended him from attacks relating to deals done by a company he set up before he became party leader, and which is now owned by his sons.
This was the controversy that triggered the election, after the government lost a vote of confidence.
Meanwhile, Santos, in his own parting comments, reiterated his view that Montenegro was not fit to be prime minister, suggesting that the Socialist Party should not let the matter drop.
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波蘭總統選舉第一輪結果2025 -- Adam Easton
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需要06/01舉行的第二輪選舉來決定最終勝出者。
Warsaw's liberal mayor narrowly wins Polish presidential vote
Adam Easton, BBC Warsaw correspondent, 05/19/25
Warsaw's liberal mayor Rafal Trzaskowski won a narrow victory in Poland's presidential election, but a second-round run-off with conservative historian Karol Nawrocki will be required to decide the country's next president.
The state electoral commission (PKW) said Trzaskowski, a deputy leader of prime minister Donald Tusk's centrist Civic Platform (PO) party, won 31.3% of the vote.
Nawrocki came second with 29.5% of the vote.
Final official results are not expected until later on Monday. Turnout was over 67%.
Trzaskowski and Nawrocki are now set to compete in a second-round on 1 June as none of the 13 candidates won more than 50% of the vote.
Trzaskowski told his supporters at a rally in Sandomierz, southern Poland: "We're going to win." But he said a lot of work and "great determination" would be needed.
"I'm convinced that all Poland will win," he said.
He pledged to cooperate with prime minister Tusk's coalition to liberalise the country's strict abortion law and accelerate reform of the Polish judiciary, which was widely seen to have been politicised by the previous PiS-led government.
Trzaskowski performed worse than opinion polls predicted before the vote, which had him between 4%-6% ahead of Nawrocki.
Poland's president has largely ceremonial powers but he or she is able to veto government legislation. Tusk's coalition does not have a big enough parliamentary majority to overturn a presidential veto.
Tusk has failed to deliver many of his campaign promises, partly because the incumbent conservative president Andrzej Duda has vetoed his government's legislation, but also due to divisions within the coalition over issues like abortion and civil partnerships.
A victory for Trzaskowski would remove the president's veto, but Nawrocki would likely be an even tougher obstacle than Duda.
Nawrocki told his supporters in Gdansk that Tusk must be stopped from winning total power in Poland.
He called on supporters of two far-right candidates, Slawomir Mentzen, who came third and won 14.8%, and of Grzegorz Braun, who came fourth and won 6.3%, to "save Poland" from Tusk.
A lot will depend on which candidate can mobilise their electorate in the second round.
Nawrocki was unknown on a national scale before Law and Justice (PiS) chose him as its candidate. But he has improved on the job, and PiS is traditionally good at getting their vote out.
Trzaskowski will need to win the votes of supporters of his centrist party, but also those supporting the candidates of the junior coalition partners, the Left (Magdalena Biejat) and conservative Third Way (Szymon Holownia).
Another worry for Trzaskowski is the better than expected result of far-right candidates because many of their supporters will not vote for him.
Mentzen's result was a strong showing and continued the improvement of his far-right Confederation party since it entered parliament in 2019.
Who will his, mainly young voters, back in the run-off?
Many would support Nawrocki for his Catholic, family-oriented views, but they dislike PiS's left-wing economic policy of generous state benefits.
Mentzen is an anti-establishment candidate, and some of his supporters may not want to vote for either Nawrocki or Trzaskowski, who represent the two parties that have dominated Polish politics for two decades.
Far-right MEP Grzegorz Braun's result was a nasty surprise for Poland's liberal voters.
Braun made headlines in 2023 when he put out the candles on a Jewish menorah in the Polish parliament with a fire extinguisher following a ceremony for the festival of Hanukkah.
Braun called the festival "satanic". During a presidential debate last month he said: "Jews have far too much say in Polish affairs."
LIVE: Follow the latest from elections in Romania, Portugal and Poland
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