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中東風雲錄--開欄文：埃及的加薩重建方案 -- Al Jazeera
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下文為本欄開欄文。
埃及的加薩重建方案 -- Al Jazeera
What is Egypt’s plan for the reconstruction of Gaza?
Arab League endorses Egyptian proposal that provides alternative to US President Trump’s plan to take over Gaza.
Al Jazeera Staff, 03/04/25
Arab states have adopted Egypt’s Gaza reconstruction plan, providing a potential path forward after Israel’s devastating war on the Palestinian enclave.
Egypt unveiled its plan on Tuesday while hosting an Arab League Summit in its capital Cairo.
The plan offers an alternative to United States President Donald Trump’s suggestion that the Gaza Strip be depopulated to “develop” the enclave, under US control, in what critics have called ethnic cleansing. Under the Egyptian plan, Gaza’s Palestinian population would not be forced to leave the territory.
Trump had insisted that Egypt and Jordan take Palestinians forced out of Gaza by his plan, but that was quickly rejected, and the US has signalled that it is open to hearing what an Arab plan for Gaza’s post-war reconstruction would be.
Speaking at the start of the summit, Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi said that Trump would be able to achieve peace in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
Here’s everything you need to know about the plan, based on Al Jazeera’s own reporting, as well as drafts of the plan reported on by the Reuters news agency and the Egyptian newspaper Al-Ahram.
Play Video 請至原網頁觀看視頻
What does the Egyptian plan call for?
The plan consists of three major stages: Interim measures, reconstruction and governance.
The first stage would last about six months, while the next two phases would take place over a combined four to five years.
The aim is to reconstruct Gaza – which Israel has almost completely destroyed – maintain peace and security and reassert the governance of the Palestinian Authority (PA) in the territory, 17 years after it was kicked out following fighting between Fatah, which dominates the PA, and Hamas.
How does the plan aim to rebuild Gaza?
A six-month interim period would require a committee of Palestinian technocrats – operating under the management of the PA – to clear the rubble from Salah al-Din Street, which is the main north-south highway in the Gaza Strip.
Once the roads are clear, 200,000 temporary housing units would be built to accommodate 1.2 million people and about 60,000 damaged buildings restored.
According to the blueprint, longer-term reconstruction requires an additional four to five years after the interim measures are completed. Over that span, the plan aims to build at least 400,000 permanent homes, as well as rebuilding Gaza’s seaport and international airport.
Gradually, basic provisions such as water, a waste system, telecommunication services and electricity would also be restored.
The plan further calls for the establishment of a Steering and Management Council, which would be a financial fund supporting the interim governing body in Gaza.
In addition, conferences will be held for international donors to provide the necessary funding for reconstruction and long-term development in the Strip.
Who would be in charge of Gaza?
The plan calls for a group of “independent Palestinian technocrats” to manage affairs in Gaza, in effect replacing Hamas.
The technocratic government would be responsible for overseeing humanitarian aid and would pave the way for the PA to administer Gaza, according to el-Sisi.
Speaking at Tuesday’s summit, PA President Mahmoud Abbas said that an election could take place next year if circumstances allowed.
On the security front, Egypt and Jordan have both pledged to train Palestinian police officers and deploy them to Gaza. The two countries have also called on the United Nations Security Council to consider authorising a peacekeeping mission to oversee governance in Gaza until reconstruction is complete.
How much is this going to cost?
Egypt is calling for $53 bn to fund the reconstruction of Gaza, with the money distributed over three phases.
In the first six-month phase it would cost $3bn to clear rubble from Salah al-Din Street, construct temporary housing and restore partially damaged homes.
The second phase would take two years and cost $20bn. The work of rubble removal would continue in this phase, as well as the establishment of utility networks and the building of more housing units.
Phase three would cost $30bn and take two and a half years. It would include completing housing for Gaza’s whole population, establishing the first phase of an industrial zone, building fishing and commercial ports, and building an airport, among other services.
According to the plan, the money will be sourced from a variety of international sources including the UN and international financial organisations as well as foreign and private sector investments.
Is the plan going to work?
There are still a number of variables that could complicate the plan. Perhaps most importantly, it is unclear whether Hamas, Israel or the US will agree to it.
Hamas welcomed the reconstruction plan, and has previously agreed to a technocratic government. But it is less clear if it will accept the return of the PA, which itself would face the perception from its critics that it has returned to Gaza on the back of Israel’s tanks.
Hamas may be willing to discuss its removal from governance, but is adamantly against its disarmament – something the Egyptian plan adopted by the Arab League did not discuss.
Israel has made it clear that this is a red line, and that Hamas will not be allowed to keep its weapons. But Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has also said that he will not allow the PA to return to Gaza.
There is also the question of whether Trump will abandon his idea of a US-controlled “Middle East Riviera” for the Egyptian plan. It is difficult to predict what Trump’s position will be, particularly if Israel signals its opposition to the Egyptian plan.
What has the response been so far?
In response to Egypt’s plan, Israel said that Arab states needed to “break free from past constraints and collaborate to create a future of stability and security in the region”.
Instead, Israel continues to back Trump’s Gaza displacement plan – which echoes a longstanding call from the Israeli far-right to depopulate Gaza.
Egypt called Israel’s response “unacceptable”, with Minister of Foreign Affairs Badr Abdelatty describing the Netanyahu government’s position as “stubborn and extremist”.
Abdelatty said it would be impossible to see peace in the region without an independent Palestinian state. “No single state should be allowed to impose its will on the international community,” he added.
The White House continues to stand by Trump’s plan for Gaza, but said it would welcome collaboration with regional partners – except Hamas.
“While the President stands by his bold vision for a post-war Gaza, he welcomes input from our Arab partners in the region. It’s clear his proposals have driven the region to come to the table rather than allow this issue to devolve into further crisis,” White House National Security Council spokesman Brian Hughes said.
“President Trump has been clear that Hamas cannot continue to govern Gaza,” he added.
相關閱讀：
Arab leaders endorse Egypt’s Gaza reconstruction plan
European leaders back 'realistic' Arab plan for Gaza
For Israel, ceasefire is a continuation of war by other means
The Egyptian Gaza plan: A deadly trap for Israel and the US
The Egyptian plan for postwar Gaza is a good starting point—but it needs changes
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伊朗戰爭：雙方同意停火兩週 – BBC
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請參考：
* US and Iran agree to 2-week ceasefire as Trump pulls back on threats
* Iran ceasefire deal a partial win for Trump - but at a high cost
* Political analyst reacts to Trump's Iran threat: 'This is the way the monsters of history speak'
Iran and US agree to conditional two-week ceasefire and opening of Hormuz strait
BBC, 04/08/26
Summary
* Donald Trump says he agrees to a proposed two-week ceasefire between the US and Iran if shipping traffic is allowed to move through the Strait of Hormuz
* Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi says Tehran will agree to the end in fighting "if attacks against Iran are halted"
* Israel says it supports Trump's decision to suspend strikes on Iran, but the two-week ceasefire "does not include Lebanon"
* The US president had set a deadline of 20:00 EDT (01:00 BST) for a deal or else "a whole civilisation will die tonight"
* Pakistan, which has been acting as a mediator, called on Trump to extend his deadline for two weeks, and has invited both sides for talks in Islamabad on Friday
* A deficit in trust between the US and Iran will make these negotiations very difficult, BBC Persian's correspondent in Washington writes
* Oil prices have fallen sharply since the announcement of the ceasefire, now trading well under $100 a barrel
* 1:13 Americans on Trump's 'a whole civilisation will die tonight' warning. 00:01:13, play video Americans on Trump's 'a whole civilisation will die tonight' warning
* 0:40Iranians form human chains at bridges and power plants. 00:00:40, play video Iranians form human chains at bridges and power plants
Edited by Toby Mann and James Chater, with reporting from BBC Persian and teams across the Middle East
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川瘋「最後通牒」的攤牌時刻 - Anthony Zurcher
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請參考：
* Iran threatens Bab al-Mandeb closure: How would that affect world trade?
* Iran's Revolutionary Guards say they targeted petrochemical facilities in the Gulf
Clock ticks on Trump's Iran ultimatum with little sign of breakthrough
Anthony Zurcher, North America correspondent, 04/07/26
President Donald Trump has set deadlines, made demands and issued threats over the course of the five-week joint US-Israeli war against Iran. But seldom have they been this explicit.
The new round of strikes against Iran will be devastating. They will begin at 20:00, Washington DC time on Tuesday (00:00 GMT on Wednesday). Within four hours, every bridge and power plant in the nation will be "decimated".
"Very little is off-limits," Trump said on Monday.
To avoid this fate, according to the president, Iran has to make a deal "that's acceptable to me". A component of the agreement should include "free traffic of oil" through the Strait of Hormuz.
As the final hours tick down, there has been little indication that Iran is ready to agree to Trump's ultimatum. They've rejected a temporary ceasefire and issued their own list of demands, which a US official described as "maximalist".
This places the American president in a delicate position. If there is no agreement, Trump could extend his deadline – for the fourth time in the past three weeks.
But backing away after such detailed threats, punctuated with expletives and dire warnings, could undercut his credibility as the war grinds on.
It's possible Iran, and the rest of the world, could conclude that despite America's military might and tactical skill – readily displayed in this weekend's intricate operation to rescue two downed airmen deep in Iran – it is not negotiating from a clear position of strength.
"We won," Trump insisted during his press conference on Monday afternoon. "They are militarily defeated. The only thing they have is the psychology of: 'Oh, we're going to drop a couple of mines in the water'."
That "psychology" – the ability to deter oil tankers from transiting the Strait of Hormuz with drones, missiles and mines – may be a more potent Iranian asset than the US has been willing to acknowledge.
During Monday's press conference, Trump marveled at American military precision on display in last year's "Midnight Hammer" bombing raid on Iran's nuclear sites, the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro in January and this weekend's rescue mission.
He and his national security team celebrated that most recent effort – which included coordinating hundreds of aircraft and elite military personnel and employing misdirection and technological wizardy. But the effort, while remarkable, was to avoid what Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth acknowledged was a "potential tragedy".
Even if that tragedy was averted, the triumphant rescue underlined the risk American forces still face in Iran. And the president may be learning that American military power has its limits.
"We can bomb the hell out of them," he said. "We can knock them for a loop. But to close the Strait, all you need is one terrorist."
The other option is for Trump to follow through with his threats. On multiple occasions on Monday, he said that was a course he did not want to pursue.
While Trump said that the Iranian people were willing to endure the ongoing US military campaign – and, in fact, welcomed the bombs falling on their cities – he also acknowledged that anything the US destroys now would eventually have to be rebuilt and that the US might ultimately contribute to that rebuilding effort.
"Do I want to destroy their infrastructure? No," he said. "Right now, if we leave today, it will take them 20 years to rebuild their country."
He added that if he followed through with his bombing threats, the rebuilding effort would take a century.
It's not exactly the "stone age" that he has warned Iran would be reduced to, but an ensuing humanitarian crisis – including the regional impact of the "crushing" retaliation that Iran has promised – could be devastating.
Even in this late hour, however, Trump continues to hold out hope of a breakthrough.
"We have an active, willing participant on the other side," he said. "They would like to be able to make a deal. I can't say any more than that."
With the stakes as high as they are, the president's opacity is notable. He has a plan – "every single thing has been thought out by all of us", he said on Monday - but he won't divulge it.
It could be an indication that, behind the scenes, negotiations are farther along than have been publicly acknowledged. Or it could be some combination of bluff and wishful thinking.
"They have till tomorrow," Trump said. "We'll see what happens. I believe they're negotiating in good faith. I guess we'll find out."
相關報導
* Trump threatens to take out Iran in 'one night' if no deal before deadline
* Trump issues expletive-laden threat to Iran over Hormuz Strait blockage
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川瘋的狂怒和咆哮適得其反 -- Catherine Bouris
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果不其然，川瘋/川痞再次食言而肥(請見以下第一個「超連結」。
請參考：
* Trump backs away from seizing Iran's oil: 'Unfortunately, the American people would like to see us come home'
* Trump threatens to take out Iran in 'one night' if no deal before deadline (deadline is set at：01：00 GMT on Tuesday；GMT Greenwich Mean Time；格林威治標準時間；台北時間04/08，08：00)
* Iran rejects latest ceasefire proposal as Trump deadline approaches
* US, Iran study ceasefire plan as Trump's 'hell' warning nears deadline
* Hormuz Traffic Rises to Highest in Weeks
Trump’s Profanity-Filled Easter Post Blows Up in His Face
Catherine Bouris, 04/06/26
President Donald Trump’s early morning Easter Sunday Truth Social tirade has backfired spectacularly.
At 8 a.m. on Sunday, the president posted an expletive-laden rant featuring a warning for Iran that the country would be “living in hell” if it did not open the Strait of Hormuz.
“Tuesday will be Power Plant Day, and Bridge Day, all wrapped up in one, in Iran. There will be nothing like it!!!” Trump, 79, wrote.
“Open the F—n’ Strait, you crazy b-----ds, or you’ll be living in Hell - JUST WATCH!” he continued, before ending with, “Praise be to Allah.”
Trump's Truth Social post from Sunday morning. / Truth Social 川瘋貼文
If the president intended for his incendiary post to calm the markets, it has had the opposite effect, instead sending oil prices even higher on Sunday, CNN reported.
The cost of Brent crude rose 1.4 percent to $110.60 while U.S. crude rose 1.8 percent to $113.60, their highest in over three years.
Gas prices are at their highest since June 2022, having risen by over 38 percent since the war began to a national average of $4.11 on Sunday.
Meanwhile, stocks fell on Sunday after markets were closed Friday, with Dow futures down 0.69 percent, S&P 500 futures down 0.76 percent, and Nasdaq futures down 0.91 percent.
The Daily Beast has contacted the White House for comment.
An Iranian official responded to Trump’s Truth Social post by asserting that the strait will remain closed until the country is “fully compensated” for the damage it has suffered during Trump’s war.
He also dismissed Trump’s threats as a sign that the U.S. has “resorted to obscenities and nonsense out of sheer desperation and anger.”
The renewed threats came less than a week after the president claimed that the U.S. did not need the Strait of Hormuz in his Wednesday address to the nation.
“The United States imports almost no oil through the Hormuz Strait and won’t be taking any in the future. We don’t need it,” Trump said.
The president has repeatedly leveled threats at Iran in an attempt to force it to reopen the strait, including threatening to strike vital infrastructure, despite warnings that such acts could constitute war crimes.
“Once again, the US president openly threatens to destroy infrastructure essential to civilian survival in Iran,” Iran’s mission to the United Nations said on Sunday.
“The international community and all states have legal obligations to prevent such atrocious acts of war crimes. They must act now. Tomorrow is too late.”
On Thursday, dozens of international law experts signed an open letter expressing “profound concern” about violations of international law made by the U.S., Israel, and Iran during the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.
“International law protects from attack objects indispensable to the survival of civilians, and the attacks threatened by Trump, if implemented, could entail war crimes‚” the experts wrote in response to the president’s initial threats against Iran’s power plants.
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川瘋又開始口吐白沫起乩了 -- Hatem Maher/Phil Stewart
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請參考：
* 'Be serious... don't speak every day': Macron criticises Trump approach to Iran war
傻瓜，「轟炸」在把敵人徹底打趴上有個屁用！
我敢打賭：到了美國時間04/06，12:00 pm，川普還是得換上「川『痞』」的面具，再次「賣慫」。
Trump gives Iran 48 hours to make a deal, as hunt goes on for missing US pilot
Hatem Maher/Phil Stewart, 04/04/26
CAIRO/WASHINGTON, April 4 (Reuters) - Iranian and U.S. forces were searching for a missing American pilot on Saturday from one of two warplanes downed over Iran and the Gulf, while President Donald Trump warned Tehran time was running out on his latest deadline for a deal to end the war.
The prospect of a U.S. service member alive and on the run in Iran raised the stakes for Washington as the conflict entered its sixth week with scant prospect of peace talks in sight and polls showing low public support.
With Iran's leadership defiant since the start of the war, its foreign minister left the door open in principle for peace talks with the U.S. via mediation from Pakistan, but gave no sign of Tehran's willingness to bow to Trump's demands.
Officials prioritize rescue efforts for the missing crew member, with both countries focusing on recovery. The U.S. says the search remains dangerous, and military analysts point out the risks involved with operations in contested areas.
"We are deeply grateful to Pakistan for its efforts and have never refused to go to Islamabad. What we care about are the terms of a conclusive and lasting END to the illegal war that is imposed on us," Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi said on X.
MIXED SIGNALS
Trump has sent mixed messages since the conflict began with a U.S.-Israeli bombardment of Iran on February 28, switching between hinting at diplomatic progress to making threats to bomb the Islamic Republic "back to the Stone Ages".
On Saturday, he repeated his threats to intensify attacks on Iran if it failed to reach a deal or open the key Strait of Hormuz waterway.
"Remember when I gave Iran ten days to MAKE A DEAL or OPEN UP THE HORMUZ STRAIT. Time is running out - 48 hours before all Hell will reign (sic) down on them. Glory be to GOD!" he said in a post on Truth Social.
The war has killed thousands, sparked an energy crisis and threatened lasting damage to the world economy. Iran has virtually shut the Strait of Hormuz, which normally carries about a fifth of the world's oil and liquefied natural gas.
Iran attacked an Israel-affiliated vessel with a drone in the strait, setting the ship on fire, Iran's state media said on Saturday, citing the commander of the Revolutionary Guards' navy.
IRAN TOUTS NEW AIR DEFENCE SYSTEMS
The downing of two U.S. warplanes shows the risks still facing U.S. and Israeli aircraft, despite assertions by Trump and his Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth that U.S. forces had total control of the skies over Iran.
Iranian fire brought down a two-seat U.S. F-15E jet, officials in both countries said on Friday, and a U.S. official said search-and-rescue efforts had recovered one of the crew.
Two Black Hawk helicopters engaged in the search for the missing crew member were hit by Iranian fire but made it out of Iranian airspace, the two U.S. officials told Reuters.
Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said it was combing a southwestern area near where the pilot's plane came down, while the regional governor promised a commendation for anyone who captured or killed "forces of the hostile enemy."
In a separate incident, an A-10 Warthog fighter aircraft was hit and crashed over Kuwait, with the pilot ejecting, the U.S. officials said.
Iranians, pummelled by air power since the U.S. and Israel began their attacks, celebrated their success.
The Khatam al-Anbiya joint military command said it used a new air-defence system on Friday, which targeted a U.S. fighter jet, three drones and two cruise missiles.
"The enemy should know that we rely on new air-defence systems built by the young, knowledgeable, and proud people of this country, unveiling them one after another in the field," a Khatam al-Anbiya spokesperson said, according to Iran's state media.
The Revolutionary Guards said they had targeted various areas in Israel in a wave of missiles and drones. Israeli media reported that two warheads from an Iranian cluster missile landed near Israel’s Kirya military headquarters in Tel Aviv.
Later on Saturday, the Israel Defence Forces said they had detected more missiles launched from Iran towards Israel.
The Revolutionary Guards also targeted U.S. HIMARS rocket launcher batteries in Kuwait and Patriot missile batteries in Bahrain, according to a statement read on Iranian state TV.
PETROCHEMICAL ZONE STRUCK IN IRAN
Iranian state media reported air strikes at a petrochemical zone in southwestern Iran, with five people reported injured. They later said a fire there had been extinguished.
A projectile also hit an auxiliary building near the perimeter of Iran's Bushehr nuclear plant, the Tasnim news agency said, killing one person. The operations of the plant were unaffected.
Russia's state nuclear company Rosatom evacuated a further 198 of its staff from the site on Saturday, Russian news agencies reported, in evacuations already planned before the latest incident.
The Israeli military meanwhile said it had carried out "a wave of strikes" on Tehran.
Israel has been waging a parallel campaign against Iran-backed Hezbollah in Lebanon after the militant group fired at Israel in support of Iran. Early on Saturday, Israel's military said it was striking the militants' infrastructure sites in Beirut.
(Reporting by Phil Stewart in Washington, Reuters bureaux; Writing by Clarence Fernandez, Matthias Williams and Alex Richardson; Editing by William Mallard and Sharon Singleton)
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伊朗仍持有戰前半數攻擊武器 - Haley Britzky等
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請參考：
* US fighter jet shot down over Iran, search underway for crew, US officials say
* How to take down a US F-35 over Iran? Chinese engineer’s prophetic tutorial goes viral
* Inside Trump's Search for a Way Out of the Iran War
伊朗降低攻擊次數是明智決定 – 畢竟，「細水長流」嘛。伊朗政府領導人不是傻瓜；戰場上伊朗當然不是財大氣粗美國的對手，只能用「持久戰」拖一天是一天。冀望民意支持度和國際/市場忍耐度來屈山姆大叔之兵。
這篇報導可以說明此文(本欄2026/03/18)和此文的虛妄(該欄2026/04/02)。
US intelligence assesses Iran maintains significant missile launching capability, sources say
Haley Britzky/Natasha Bertrand/Jim Sciutto/al Shalev, CNN, 04/03/26
Roughly half of Iran’s missile launchers are still intact and thousands of one-way attack drones remain in Iran’s arsenal despite the daily pounding by US and Israeli strikes against military targets over the past five weeks, according to recent US intelligence assessments, three sources familiar with the intel told CNN.
“They are still very much poised to wreak absolute havoc throughout the entire region,” one of the sources said of Iran.
The US intelligence assessment total may include launchers that are currently inaccessible, such as those buried underground by strikes but not destroyed.
Thousands of Iranian drones still exist — roughly 50% of the country’s drone capabilities — two of the sources said the intelligence indicated. The intelligence, compiled in recent days, also showed a large percentage of Iran’s coastal defense cruise missiles were intact, the sources said, consistent with the US not focusing its air campaign on coastal military assets though they have been hitting ships. Those missiles serve as a key capability allowing Iran to threaten shipping traffic in the Strait of Hormuz.
Pentagon and CNN sources say Iran’s arsenal survived weeks of coordinated strikes, leaving the region on alert for further escalation. Officials continue to warn that Iran’s military capabilities remain a serious threat and tensions are high.
The intelligence offers a more nuanced picture of Iran’s continuing capabilities compared to sweeping assessments of military victory offered publicly by President Donald Trump and administration officials.
In remarks to the nation on Wednesday evening, Trump said Iran’s “ability to launch missiles and drones is dramatically curtailed, and their weapons factories and rocket launchers are being blown to pieces, very few of them left.”
As of Wednesday, the US has struck more than 12,300 targets inside Iran, according to US Central Command. The sources said the intelligence showed the US military has degraded Iran’s military capabilities, and key senior leaders have been killed in US and Israeli strikes, including Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and Ali Larijani, the head of Iran’s National Security Council.
In addition to the country’s missile launchers, Iran maintains a large number of missiles, according to the intelligence.
In public comments, the Pentagon has pointed to a reduction in the total number of missiles launched by Iran, rather than what has been destroyed. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth said during a press briefing on March 19 that “ballistic missile attacks against our forces, down 90 percent since the start of the conflict, same with one way attack UAVs, think kamikaze drones, down 90 percent.”
In response to questions for this story, White House spokesperson Anna Kelly said that, “anonymous sources desperately want to attack President Trump and demean the incredible work of our United States Military in achieving the goals of Operation Epic Fury.”
“Here are the facts: Iranian ballistic missile and drone attacks are down 90 percent, their navy is wiped out, two-thirds of their production facilities are damaged or destroyed, and the United States and Israel have overwhelming air dominance over Iran,” she said. “The terrorist regime is being decimated militarily and their dismal situation grows bleaker by the day – their only hope is to make a deal with President Trump’s administration and leave behind their nuclear ambitions for good. Otherwise, they will be hit harder than they’ve ever been hit before.”
An administration official added that Iran’s ballistic missiles are being destroyed rapidly.
Israel, countries in the Gulf, and US military personnel have continued to face regular barrages of missile and drone strikes.
Pentagon spokesman Sean Parnell disputed CNN’s reporting, calling it “completely wrong.”
“The United States military has delivered a crippling series of blows to the Iranian regime,” Parnell said. “We are far ahead of schedule on accomplishing our military objectives: destroy Iran’s missile arsenal, annihilate their Navy, destroy their terrorist proxies, and ensure Iran can never obtain a nuclear weapon.”
Israeli military officials put the total number of operational Iranian launchers at a lower number, roughly 20-25%. Israel does not include launchers that have been buried or made inaccessible in caves and tunnels in their count of surviving launchers, said one of the sources familiar with the US’ intelligence assessment and an Israeli source.
On Wednesday, Trump put the timeline for finishing US operations at two to three weeks.
The first source who has reviewed the US intelligence assessment said such a goal was unrealistic, given how much remains on the playing field for Iran to use.
“We can keep f**king them up, I don’t doubt it, but you’re out of your mind if you think this will be done in two weeks,” the source said.
Hegseth said this week in a press briefing that Iran’s firepower is continuing to decrease.
“Yes, they will still shoot some missiles, but we will shoot them down,” he said. “Of note, the last 24 hours saw the lowest number of enemy missiles and drones fired by Iran. They will go underground, but we will find them.”
The ability to go underground is a primary reason why launchers have not been further degraded, two of the sources familiar with the recent assessment told CNN. Iran has long hid its launchers in extensive networks of tunnels and caves — preparing for conflict like this for decades — making them particularly difficult to target. Two of the sources said Iran has had success in shooting and moving the mobile platforms, making it difficult to track the launchers, similar to the challenges the US has had with the Houthis in Yemen, one of Iran’s primary proxy forces.
The US and Israel have increasingly targeted tunnel entrances to those underground facilities and equipment used to try to regain access to them, like bulldozers and other heavy equipment, Annika Ganzeveld, the Middle East Portfolio Manager for the Critical Threats Project at the American Enterprise Institute said.
The recent intelligence assessment also comes as the US has struggled to re-open the Strait of Hormuz, acknowledging privately that it cannot promise to reopen the crucial waterway before ending the war. The coastal cruise missile capabilities could be largely still intact because it hasn’t been the focus of the US military’s campaign, the first source said, instead narrowing its firepower on what can be fired at allies in the region. But those capabilities have also likely retreated underground, making them difficult to find.
And while Iran’s Navy has largely been destroyed, the first source said, the separate naval forces belonging to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps still retain roughly half of its capabilities. The second source said the IRGC still has “hundreds, if not thousands, of small boats and unmanned surface vessels left.”
As of Wednesday, CENTCOM said in a public release that more than 155 Iranian vessels have been damaged or destroyed. But Ganzeveld said it has been unclear when the US says it has destroyed Iranian vessels which Navy they’re referring to.
The IRGC Navy, she said, is largely the force responsible for harassing shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.
“There are certainly things that remain — the proxies, as well as the drones, and Iran recently demonstrated in the past couple of days that it still retains the ability to target shipping in the strait,” Ganzeveld said. “So there are definitely things that remain to be targeted if we want to completely destroy these capabilities.”
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川瘋伊朗戰情匯報之惡習未改 – Will Weissert等
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請參考：
* Oil plunges, stocks soar after Iranian president offers first signs of willingness to end war with US
川瘋的大嘴巴嚇不到人，只會讓跟他一樣瘋狂的伊朗領袖層，堅定「玉石俱焚」意志。
Trump says US forces will 'finish the job' soon in first prime-time speech since starting Iran war
WILL WEISSERT/JON GAMBRELL/ DAVID RISING, 04/01/26
WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump said U.S. forces will “finish the job” in Iran soon as “core strategic objectives are nearing completion,” offering a full-throated defense of the war Wednesday night in his first national address since the conflict began more than a month ago.
Trump used his platform before a wide audience to tout the success of the U.S. operations in Iran and argue that all of Washington’s objectives have so far been met or exceeded. He ticked through a timeline of past American involvement in conflicts and noted that the ongoing war in Iran had lasted 32 days in comparison, seeming to appeal to the public for more time to achieve the mission.
“In these past four weeks our armed forces have delivered swift, decisive, overwhelming victories on the battlefield,” Trump said, saying the U.S. military action had been “so powerful, so brilliant” that “one of the most powerful countries” is “really no longer a threat” — even as Iran kept up its attacks on Israel and Persian Gulf neighbors early Thursday.
Trump spent much of an address that lasted just under 20 minutes repeating many of the same things he said in recent weeks and providing few new details. The speech appeared unlikely to move the needle of public sentiment at a time when polling shows many Americans feel the U.S. military has gone too far in Iran and as gas and oil prices remain high.
“Tonight, I’m pleased to say that these core strategic objectives are nearing completion,” Trump said. He also acknowledged American service members who had been killed and added, “We are going to finish the job, and we’re going to finish it very fast. We’re getting very close.”
He didn’t mention the possibility of sending U.S. ground troops into Iran, nor did he mention NATO, the trans-Atlantic alliance he has railed against for not helping the U.S. secure the critical Strait of Hormuz. He didn’t mention negotiation talks with Iran or bring up his April 6 deadline for Iran to reopen the waterway or face severe retaliation from the U.S.
Trump encourages other countries to go take the Strait
In his speech, Trump seemed to suggest he had ruled out going into Iran to get the enriched uranium, though he has been clear that the country could never have a nuclear weapon.”
“The nuclear sites that we obliterated with the B-2 bombers have been hit so hard that it would take months to get near the nuclear dust,” Trump said Wednesday. "And we have it under intense satellite surveillance and control. If we see them make a move, even a move for it, we’ll hit them with missiles very hard again.”
Trump encouraged countries reliant on oil through the Strait of Hormuz to “build some delayed courage” and go “take it.”
He also said that the fighting would continue for at least a few more weeks.
“We are going to hit them extremely hard over the next two to three weeks. We’re going to bring them back to the Stone Ages, where they belong," Trump said.
Oil rose more than 4% and Asian stocks fell after Trump said in his address that the U.S. will continue to hit Iran very hard.
Trump says ‘we could just take their oil’ before speech
Trump's comments in his address were more measured than some of his previous remarks, including earlier Wednesday at a White House Easter lunch.
Of Iran, he told his assembled guests: “We could just take their oil. But you know, I’m not sure that the people in our country have the patience to do that, which is unfortunate.”
“Yeah, they want to see it end. If we stayed there, I prefer just to take the oil,” Trump said. “We could do it so easily. I would prefer that. But people in the country sort of say: ‘Just win. You’re winning so big. Just win. Come home.’ And I’m OK with that, too, because we have a lot of oil between Venezuela and our oil.”
The media was not permitted to watch the president’s remarks at the lunch, but the White House uploaded video of the speech online before taking it down. The White House did not return requests for comment from The Associated Press on the video and why it was taken down.
In the lunch, the president reiterated some of his complaints about NATO allies for their reluctance to get involved in securing the Strait of Hormuz while suggesting that China, Japan and South Korea could also step up to reopen the waterway.
“Let South Korea, you know, we only have 45,000 soldiers in harm’s way over there, right next to a nuclear force -- let South Korea do it,” Trump said of efforts to reopen the strait. “Let Japan do it. They get 90% of their oil from the strait. Let China do it.”
In a social media post Wednesday morning, Trump wrote that “Iran’s New Regime President” wanted a ceasefire. It wasn’t clear to whom the U.S. president was referring since Iran still has the same president. Iran’s Foreign Ministry spokesman, Esmail Baghaei, called Trump’s claim “false and baseless,” according to a report on Iranian state television.
Hours before Trump’s address, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian posted a lengthy letter in English on his X account appealing to U.S. citizens and stressing that his country had pursued negotiations before the U.S. withdrew from that path. “Exactly which of the American people’s interests are truly being served by this war?” he wrote.
No signs of Iran relinquishing its grip on the Strait of Hormuz
Since the war began on Feb. 28, Trump has offered shifting objectives and repeatedly has said it could be over soon while also threatening to widen the conflict. Thousands of additional U.S. troops are currently heading to the Middle East, and speculation abounds about why. Trump has also threatened to attack Iran’s Kharg Island oil export hub.
Adding to the confusion is what role Israel — which has been bombing Iran alongside the U.S. — might play in any of these scenarios.
Trump has been under growing pressure to end the war that has been pushing up the cost of gasoline, food and other goods. The price of Brent crude, the international standard, is up more than 40% since the start of the war.
Gambrell reported from Dubai, United Arab Emirates. Rising reported from Bangkok. Associated Press writers Seung Min Kim in Washington, Giovanna Dell’Orto in Miami, Farnoush Amiri in New York and Samy Magdy in Cairo contributed to this report.
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葉門乎舍軍投入美以伊戰爭 -- Tim Lister/Nadeen Ebrahim
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* Trump's April 6 deadline looms as Iran vows to 'set fire' to U.S. troops. Here's what's happening on day 30 of the war.
The Iran war has a new front in Yemen. Here’s how it could escalate
Tim Lister/Nadeen Ebrahim, 03/29/26
After a month of threats, Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthi rebels finally entered the Middle East conflict on Saturday, firing two missiles towards Israel. And in recent days they have also warned they could close a key waterway at the southern entrance of the Red Sea – raising the prospect of even greater disruption to global shipping and oil supplies.
Whether the Houthis will extend their attacks to Saudi Arabia or Red Sea shipping remains unclear, but doing so would mark a dramatic escalation of the month-long war.
Who are the Houthis?
The Houthis represent Yemen’s Shia Muslim minority, the Zaidis, and are formally known as Ansar Allah – “Partisans of God.”
They emerged as an armed group in the 1990s and fought a series of rebellions against Yemen’s central government over two decades. After the Arab Spring in 2011, they seized a northern province and later the capital Sanaa, which they still hold, along with most of Yemen’s Red Sea coastline.
Israel directly addressed the Houthi group's move into the Iran conflict and signaled military consequences. The potential threat to the Red Sea could disrupt a key global trade route, which worries the business and shipping world.
In the process they became part of Iran’s “Axis of Resistance” across the region, receiving weapons and missile technology. After Israel’s war with Hamas in Gaza began in October 2023, the Houthis launched missiles against Israel and began targeting shipping in the Red Sea.
The Israelis responded with air-strikes against Houthi infrastructure and killed a number of senior Houthi officials – but not the top leadership.
Why have they joined the war now?
Their initial attempted strikes on Saturday were very limited, and some analysts see them as a symbolic move rather than a full-throated effort to support Iran.
“The truth is, (Israel is) at war with us and in a state of continuous aggression against us,” according to Nasr al-Din Amer, a member of the Houthis’ politburo.
“They have not stopped, nor have they concealed their pursuit of what they call ‘Greater Israel’ and ‘changing the Middle East,’” Amer said in a statement to CNN on Saturday.
The Houthis’ leader, Abdel-Malik Houthi, said on Thursday that Yemenis “repay loyalty with loyalty, and Iran was the only state, officially, that stood with us against the aggression on our country.”
Much of his speech was directed at Saudi Arabia, demanding compensation for the blockade and the long-term damage to Yemen as a result of Riyadh’s military campaign against the Houthis between 2015 and 2022.
Essentially, the Houthis are putting Saudi Arabia on notice while not inviting Saudi retaliation.
“It lets them restart military action without getting pulled into a wider fight with the U.S. or Saudi Arabia,” according to Yemeni analyst Mohammad Basha.
“Their main focus is still the Palestinian cause. By striking Israel, they are telling people in Yemen, their partners in the Iran-backed network, and supporters abroad that their priority has not changed,” Basha wrote on X.
What is Israel saying?
The Israeli military says it is prepared for a multi-front war but has not detailed any plans for retaliation.
“We have to be ready for this becoming a part of this war, and that’s how we’re preparing for it,” Israel Defense Forces spokesman Nadav Shoshani said Sunday.
“We’re taking their word and preparing to defend ourselves for as long as needed from that front as well.”
Is this a boost for Iran?
Not yet. The Houthis’ ability to inflict damage on Israel is marginal. Between 2023 and 2025 they fired nearly 100 missiles and more than 300 drones at Israel. Only one person was killed.
However, were the Houthis to expand their campaign to target Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, it would further expand the conflict. They have previously used missiles and drones against both countries, which are already fending off daily attacks from Iran.
The real boost for Iran would come if the Houthis resume targeting shipping in the Red Sea. They hit more than 100 ships in response to Israel’s military action in Gaza, driving up insurance rates and persuading many major operators to avoid the sea-lane, normally one of the busiest in the world.
With Tehran blocking most shipping from using the Strait of Hormuz, the Iranians and their chief regional ally would control or at least have a massive impact on regional shipping routes – and the flow of oil.
How can they block the Red Sea?
The Houthis control most of Yemen’s Red Sea coast, including the major port of Hodeidah. They have a range of weapons – including drones and anti-ship missiles – that can cause severe damage and even sink merchant ships.
Shipping has to pass through the Bab al-Mandab Strait – which translates as the Gate of Tears – at the southern end of the Red Sea. Just 29 kilometers (18 miles) across at its narrowest point, the navigational challenges would make huge container vessels particularly vulnerable to attack.
On Friday, Mohammed Mansour, deputy Information Minister in the Houthi government, told CNN that closing the Bab al-Mandab Strait “is a viable option, and the consequences will be borne by the American and Israeli aggressors.”
Just how much damage to the global economy would such disruption cause?
With shipping through the Strait of Hormuz severely curtailed over the past month, blocking another maritime chokepoint would cause further economic dislocation.
“Disrupting traffic in the Red Sea, the Bab al Mandab Strait, the Gulf of Aden, and the Arabian Sea creates pressure without crossing a line that could trigger a direct U.S. response,” says Basha.
Nearly 15% of global maritime trade passes the Bab al-Mandab. The previous disruptions to shipping between 2023 and 2025 probably cost some $20 billion a year, according to industry estimates, as ships were re-routed around southern Africa (often extending a voyage by two weeks) or paid higher insurance to use the Red Sea.
Those attacks also caused brief but noticeable spikes in crude prices because of the higher risk premiums.
But during that period there were large global stocks of oil and alternative routes. That’s not the case now.
And there’s an additional hazard. With the Strait of Hormuz blocked to most traffic, Saudi Arabia is routing oil exports through its east-west pipeline to the port of Yanbu on the Red Sea, and tanker traffic there has surged.
The port of Jeddah is also handling far greater volumes of container traffic.
Both would be vulnerable to Houthi drones and missiles.
Even the prospect of renewed Houthi attacks worries large shipping companies such as Maersk, which is currently avoiding the Bab al-Mandab Strait.
“The primary risk that one could see is that the actual conflict itself spreads to a wider geography,” Charles van der Steene, regional managing director of Maersk told CNN earlier this month.
While Jeddah “continues to be a safe option, (but) we need to consider what the alternatives would be,” he added.
While the Houthis may delay any broader escalation, says Basha, “they may be overlooking the longer-term risk. Israel has a pattern of delayed responses that focus on leadership. A decapitation campaign could come sooner or later.”
For more CNN news and newsletters create an account at CNN.com
相關報導
Israel warns Houthis will ‘pay the price’ for entering war
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伊朗攻擊美軍基地偵察機被毀 - Tyler Rogoway
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從戰爭後續發展看，本欄2026/03/18的報導顯然是種自慰式或意淫式體裁。
Images Purportedly Show E-3 Sentry Totally Destroyed From Iranian Strike
Loss of an E-3 would be a major blow for the dwindling fleet of increasingly rickety airframes and would point to other capability and defensive gaps.
Tyler Rogowa, 03/29/26
E-3 sentry seen destroyed after Iranian attack in Saudi Arabia.被毀偵察機照片
Key takeawaysPowered by Yahoo Scout. Yahoo is using AI to generate key points from this article. This means the info may not always match what’s in the article. Reporting mistakes helps us improve the experience.
* Iranian attack on Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia reportedly damaged multiple U.S. military aircraft, including a destroyed E-3 Airborne Warning and Control System (AWACS) aircraft.
* Satellite imagery shows major damage on the base's main apron, indicating an attempt to minimize damage by spreading out aircraft, with at least five tankers also damaged in previous strikes.
* Loss of E-3 Sentry aircraft highlights the U.S. struggle to maintain readiness in its aging fleet, with plans to transition to new technology still years away, raising concerns about the need for hardened airbase infrastructure.
Info is slowly dripping out as to the extent of the Iranian attack on Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia that occurred on March 27th. Multiple U.S. military aircraft are reported to have been damaged. This is beyond the toll on U.S. service members, which sits at 10 injured, some of critically. While high-resolution commercial satellite imagery of the Middle East from U.S. companies remains delayed for weeks, foreign satellite images purport to show major damage on the base’s main apron. Now, photos from ground level appears to show one of the USAF’s prized E-3 Airborne Warning and Control System (AWACS) aircraft totally destroyed.
The images were first posted on the Air Force amn/nco/snco Facebook page and has since spread across social media. The photos show E-3 serial #81-0005’s rear fuselage totally burned out and destroyed. There is debris all around the aircraft. It’s worth noting that a direct strike, while certainly possible here, is often not required to destroy an aircraft. The shrapnel from a nearby impact can and especially if a fire is ignited. The attack reportedly included long-range one-way attack drones and ballistic missiles.
It’s important to note that we cannot confirm the authenticity of the images at this time, but they appear, at least after a cursory examination, to look authentic. This assessment could change and we will update this post if it does.
Second angle. pic.twitter.com/NUupdRkdm9 — OSINTtechnical (@Osinttechnical) March 29, 2026
Third angle. Key elements in all photos match, indicating some authenticity. pic.twitter.com/yrleewuhpR — OSINTtechnical (@Osinttechnical) March 29, 2026
Satellite imagery from prior to when major U.S. commercial providers, specifically Plant Labs, began delaying photos of the Middle East, shows aircraft parked across the main apron and other high-value assets, like the E-3s, parked on isolated taxiways around the airfield. This is clearly an attempt to minimize damage from Iranian long-range weapons by spreading out the aircraft. It’s very possible these aircraft were shuffled around in order to make targeting more challenging.
At least five other tankers were also damaged in a strike on Prince Sultan Air Base earlier in the conflict. The installation, which sits outside of Riyadh, has come under repeated attack. It is a major operating location for American aircraft supporting the war effort.
Satellite imagery from Mar 17 reveals a matching dark spot, confirming strikes hit a hangar on the apron area used by the U.S. Air Force at Prince Sultan Air Base, Saudi Arabia.
Use the slider to compare here: https://t.co/rm0JS4KBzd#SaudiArabia#IranIsraelWar#MiddleEastpic.twitter.com/LHeF9k2zJC — Soar (@SoarAtlas) March 18, 2026
The loss of an E-3 Sentry is a major development. The aircraft are critical for spotting incoming barrages and coordinating the air war. The U.S. sent six to the Middle East prior to the war beginning and additional airborne early assets may be headed that way, if they are not already in theater now. The U.S. only had 16 E-3s remaining, with the rickety fleet nearly cut in half as it struggles to maintain readiness in its old age. With low availability, far fewer than the 16 that remain in service are ready to operate at any given time.
U.S. Air Force Senior Airman Stephen Baker, an E-3 Sentry crew chief, 380th Expeditionary Aircraft Maintenance Squadron, marshals a U.S. Air Force E-3 Sentry Airborne Warning and Control System (AWACS) aircraft on Al Dhafra Air Base, United Arab Emirates, May 19, 2021. (U.S. Air Force photo by Master Sgt. Wolfram M. Stumpf) Master Sgt. Wolfram Stumpf
The USAF wanted to migrate much of the airborne early warning tracking duties to a new space sensing layer, but that technology is still years away from operational maturity. The E-7 Wedgetail was ordered to provide an interim bridge solution to augment the E-3s and eventually take their place until a space sensing layer can take on at least most of the mission. The USAF then tried to cut the E-7 in its last budget and procure a handful of E-2D Hawkeyes as a less expensive interim solution. This bizarre move, which would have led to massive capability gaps at a time of increasing airborne early warning and control demand, has since been heavily disputed by congress and now the USAF’s E-7 program appears that it could be headed back on track. Still, the loss of one of the E-3s in a dwindling fleet, and now a delay in the already late to the party E-7 program, puts the U.S. in an increasingly concerning predicament.
Iran has been somewhat successful at targeting key radar installations around the region that enable America and its allies’ air defenses. The fact that they would target an E-3 should come as absolutely no surprise. As for how they acquired the targeting data, satellite imagery is still available from China and Russia is likely providing them imagery as well. There are many other ways to obtain time critical info like where aircraft are parked on a base that is from far far lower tech sources, including classic human intelligence.
A Cold War era hardened aircraft shelter (HAS). (USAF)
The potential loss of the E-3 and possibly other aircraft in this attack, as well as others that have occurred in the war, on top of very troubling events back here at home, highlight the dire need for hardened airbase infrastructure. The Pentagon continues to drag its feet and downplay the need to invest in hardened aircraft shelters, even as the risk to aircraft on the ground has been made glaringly apparent by recent conflicts. There are signs this could possibly change, even if to a small degree, but there doesn’t seem to be much urgency behind doing so.
It also comes at a time when America’s most capable adversaries are dumping large sums of money into protecting their aircraft on the ground. Even in the Pacific, where a major war could break out with a near-peer competitor that is armed to the teeth with long-range weaponry, these improvements have been nearly non-existent. Only now, after Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar, America’s largest in the region, has been repeatedly attacked during the war with Iran, has the Pentagon budged at exploring hardening some of its infrastructure there.
We will update this post when we find out more.
Tyler Rogoway, Editor-in-Chief, Tyler’s passion is the study of military technology, strategy, and foreign policy and he has fostered a dominant voice on those topics in the defense media space. He was the creator of the hugely popular defense site Foxtrot Alpha before developing The War Zone.
Contact the author: Tyler@twz.com
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中東地區美軍基地嚴重受損 -- Memphis Barker
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請參考：
Iran Accuses U.S. of Using Human Shields After American Soldiers Relocate to Hotels and Offices in the Middle East
American troops forced to withdraw from Middle East bases
Iran’s missile and drone strikes have left some facilities ‘almost uninhabitable’
Memphis Barker, 03/27/26
Iran strikes on US bases LEAD中東地區美軍基地分佈圖
Iranian air strikes have forced American soldiers to evacuate several bases in the Middle East.
Troops are now working from nearby hotels and office spaces, which could endanger both themselves and civilians.
Iran has struck 104 American and regional bases, according to a rough analysis of geolocated strikes by Fabian Hinz, an open-source analyst.
American satellite firms have delayed the release of imagery by at least 14 days, making it hard to assess the damage.
But The New York Times reported that many of the 13 American bases across Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates had become close to uninhabitable as a result of persistent strikes.
Of all the bases, Ali Al Salem in Kuwait has suffered most hits – a total of 23 – according to Mr Hinz. Camp Arifjan and Camp Buehring follow, with 17 and six geolocated strikes respectively.
Satellite imagery from these three bases shows damage to hangars, communications infrastructure, satellite equipment, fuel stores, and – following a strike on Ali Al Salem on Wednesday – a large warehouse.
Iran has hit bases in the UAE 17 times, Bahrain 16 times, Iraq seven times, Qatar six times, Saudi Arabia six times and Jordan twice, according to Mr Hinz’s “conservative” assessment.
A study by the Centre for Strategic and International Studies estimated that attacks in the first days of the war caused at least $800m (£600m) of damage, with hits on an American Thaad (Terminal high altitude area defence) radar in Jordan and other infrastructure elsewhere in the region.
In Saudi Arabia, at the Prince Sultan Air Base, satellite imagery shows a hangar with a pitched roof reduced to rubble.
In Qatar, at Al Udeid Air Base – the largest American base in the Middle East – imagery shows the destruction of multiple antennae and satellite arrays.
In the UAE, at Al Dhafra Air Base, a large hole has been ploughed through a building apparently used to house troops, with a large blast radius of dust.
Iranian sources claimed the attack was carried out by a Khorramshahr-4 missile, the most advanced in Iran’s arsenal.
On Monday, Centcom (Central Command), which is responsible for American forces in the Middle East, put out an urgent call for contractors to deliver transportable hardened bunkers to Jordan.
The Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) has targeted radar and air defence facilities in an attempt to “blind” Washington.
Iran has struck four sites hosting components for the American-made Thaad system, which tracks and intercepts incoming missiles, Mr Hinz said.
An early-warning radar in Qatar and other radar installations across the region were also hit. That may have made it harder to intercept Iranian missiles.
Although the number of Iran’s launches has fallen sharply, more are penetrating US and Israeli air defences – which face acute shortages of interceptor missiles, according to a study published on Wednesday by the Royal United Services Institute think tank.
Kuwait is the country in the region that has been hit most, with 50 confirmed impacts, according to Mr Hinz.
That may reflect its proximity to Iran, but it also has less advanced air defence systems than countries such as the UAE and Qatar.
A drone strike on Port Shuaiba in Kuwait on March 1 killed six American soldiers.
The US has struck 10,000 regime targets in its air campaign, according to an update on Wednesday by Adml Brad Cooper, the commander of Centcom.
“We have damaged or destroyed over two-thirds of Iran’s missile, drone and naval production facilities and shipyards,” he said.
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伊朗拒絕美國方案並坐地起價 – Jon Gambrell等
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請參考：
* Here are Iran’s 5 conditions for ending war after rejecting US ceasefire plan
* Pakistan has conveyed US proposal; Turkey or Pakistan could host talks, senior Iranian official says
* Whiplash on Iran: What's Really Behind the Claims and Counterclaims
這種「搔首弄姿，欲迎還拒」以及「漫天要價，就地還錢」，是任何協商的前奏曲和前置舞步。泡杯濃咖啡，爆盤玉米花；慢慢欣賞一下「瘋子與惡霸」或「混混對潑皮」的戲碼。不過，雙方遲早人模狗樣的坐上談判桌。
Iran dismisses US ceasefire plan, issues counterproposal as strikes land across the Mideast
JON GAMBRELL/DAVID RISING/MUNIR AHMED/AAMER MADHANI, 03/25//26
DUBAI, United Arab Emirates (AP) — Iran on Wednesday dismissed an American plan to pause the war in the Middle East and launched more attacks on Israel and Gulf Arab countries, including an assault that sparked a huge fire at Kuwait International Airport.
Iran's defiance came as Israel launched airstrikes on Tehran and as the United States deployed paratroopers and more Marines to the region.
Iranian state television’s English-language broadcaster, Press TV, quoted an anonymous official as saying Iran rejected America’s ceasefire proposal. Press TV’s report came after Pakistan transmitted the proposal to Iran.
“Iran will end the war when it decides to do so and when its own conditions are met," Press TV quoted the official as saying. The official added Tehran will continue its “heavy blows” across the Mideast.
Earlier, two officials from Pakistan described the 15-point U.S. proposal broadly, saying it addressed sanctions relief, a rollback of Iran’s nuclear program, limits on missiles and reopening the Strait of Hormuz, through which a fifth of the world’s oil is shipped.
An Egyptian official involved in the mediation efforts said the proposal also includes restrictions on Iran’s support for armed groups. The officials spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss details not yet released.
Some of those points were nonstarters in negotiations before the war: Iran has insisted it won’t discuss its ballistic missile program or its support of regional militias, which it views as key to its security. And its ability to control passage through the Strait of Hormuz represents one of its biggest strategic advantages.
Iran’s attacks on regional energy infrastructure along with its restrictions on the strait have sent oil prices skyrocketing and sparked fears of a global energy crisis, in turn putting pressure on the U.S. to find a way to end the chokehold and calm markets.
More US troops are on the way to the Middle East
At least 1,000 troops from the 82nd Airborne Division will be sent to the Mideast in the coming days, three people with knowledge of the plans told The Associated Press. They spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive military plans.
The paratroopers are trained to jump into hostile or contested areas to secure key territory and airfields.
The Pentagon is also in the process of sending about 5,000 more Marines, trained in amphibious assaults, and thousands of sailors to the region.
Diplomatic efforts face major challenges
The 15-point plan now in Iranian hands is “a comprehensive deal” to reach a ceasefire, according to the Egyptian official.
Mediators are pushing for possible in-person talks between the Iranians and the Americans, perhaps as soon as Friday in Pakistan, the Egyptian and Pakistani officials said.
Trump has said the U.S. is “in negotiations right now” and that the participants included special envoy Steve Witkoff, his son-in-law Jared Kushner, Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Vice President JD Vance. He has not disclosed who from Iran they are in contact with, but said "the other side, I can tell you, they’d like to make a deal.”
Press TV, like all of state TV channels controlled by hard-liners, offered its own five-point plan from the official who rejected the US proposal.
It included a halt to killings of its officials, means to make sure no other war is waged against it, reparations for the war, the end of hostilities and Iran’s “exercise of sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz.”
Those measures, particularly reparations and its continued chokehold over the Strait of Hormuz, likely will be unacceptable to the White House as energy supplies worldwide remain affected by the war.
Israeli officials, who have been advocating for Trump to continue the war against Iran, were surprised by the submission of a ceasefire plan, according to a person who was briefed on the contours of the proposal and spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to speak publicly.
Any talks between the U.S. and Iran would face monumental challenges. It’s not clear who in Iran’s government has the authority to negotiate — or would be willing to, as Israel has vowed to continue killing the country’s leaders.
Iran remains highly suspicious of the United States, which twice under the Trump administration has attacked during high-level diplomatic talks, including with the Feb. 28 strikes that started the current war.
“We have a very catastrophic experience with U.S. diplomacy,” Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmail Baghaei told India Today on Tuesday.
Israel launches new strikes on Iran — and also comes under attack
The Israeli military said Wednesday afternoon it had completed several waves of airstrikes in Tehran. The army also said that as part of its strikes a day earlier it targeted an Iranian submarine development center in Isfahan.
“There have been some days when the bombings are so intense you can’t do anything,” a 26-year-old graduate student in Tehran said, adding his friends mostly stayed at home. He spoke on condition of anonymity because of security fears.
Missile alert sirens sounded multiple times in Israel as Iran launched its own attacks.
Drone and rocket fire from the Iran-back Hezbollah militant group continued unabated. Since entering the fighting, the group has fired rockets into northern Israel around the clock each day, disrupting the lives of hundreds of thousands of people.
Iran also kept up the pressure on its Gulf Arab neighbors. Saudi Arabia’s Defense Ministry saying it had destroyed at least eight drones in the kingdom’s oil-rich Eastern Province, and missile alert sirens sounding in Bahrain.
Kuwait said it shot down multiple drones but the General Civil Aviation Authority said one hit a fuel tank at Kuwait International Airport, sparking a fire that sent a huge plume of smoke into the sky.
Iran’s death toll has passed 1,500, its Health Ministry has said. Israel says 20 people have died in the war, including two soldiers in Lebanon. At least 13 U.S. military members have been killed, along with more than a dozen civilians in the occupied West Bank and Gulf Arab states.
Authorities say more than 1,000 people have died in Lebanon, where Israel has targeted the Iran-linked Hezbollah militant group, which has also fired on Israel.
In Iraq, where Iranian-supported militant groups have also entered the conflict, 80 members of the security forces have been killed, a top security adviser, Khalid al-Yaqoubi, said.
Energy prices fall back but remain high
The news of potential negotiations drove down the price of oil. Brent crude oil, the international standard, has neared $120 a barrel during the conflict but was trading below $100 Wednesday. It is still up around 35% from the start of the war.
Reports of efforts to end fighting also buoyed stock markets, with the S&P 500 rising just over 1% in early trading.
Economists and leaders have warned of far-reaching effects if energy prices remain high — from rising prices on food and other basics to higher rates for mortgages and auto loans.
A big driver of the spike in the oil price has been Iran’s stranglehold on the Strait of Hormuz. Iran has allowed a small number of ships through the strait, but has said no ships from the U.S., Israel or countries seen as linked to them can pass.
Asked in the interview with India Today whether Iran was charging ships for passage, Baghaei, the Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson, said “absolutely.” He did not elaborate.
Madhani reported from Washington, Rising from Bangkok and Ahmed from Islamabad. Associated Press writers Samy Magdy in Cairo, Natalie Melzer in Tel Aviv, Israel, Qassim Abdul-Zahra in Baghdad, and E. Eduardo Castillo in Beijing contributed to this report.
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