|
中東風雲錄--開欄文：埃及的加薩重建方案 -- Al Jazeera
|
瀏覽45,067 ｜回應84｜推薦1 |
|
|
|
下文為本欄開欄文。
埃及的加薩重建方案 -- Al Jazeera
What is Egypt’s plan for the reconstruction of Gaza?
Arab League endorses Egyptian proposal that provides alternative to US President Trump’s plan to take over Gaza.
Al Jazeera Staff, 03/04/25
Arab states have adopted Egypt’s Gaza reconstruction plan, providing a potential path forward after Israel’s devastating war on the Palestinian enclave.
Egypt unveiled its plan on Tuesday while hosting an Arab League Summit in its capital Cairo.
The plan offers an alternative to United States President Donald Trump’s suggestion that the Gaza Strip be depopulated to “develop” the enclave, under US control, in what critics have called ethnic cleansing. Under the Egyptian plan, Gaza’s Palestinian population would not be forced to leave the territory.
Trump had insisted that Egypt and Jordan take Palestinians forced out of Gaza by his plan, but that was quickly rejected, and the US has signalled that it is open to hearing what an Arab plan for Gaza’s post-war reconstruction would be.
Speaking at the start of the summit, Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi said that Trump would be able to achieve peace in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
Here’s everything you need to know about the plan, based on Al Jazeera’s own reporting, as well as drafts of the plan reported on by the Reuters news agency and the Egyptian newspaper Al-Ahram.
Play Video 請至原網頁觀看視頻
What does the Egyptian plan call for?
The plan consists of three major stages: Interim measures, reconstruction and governance.
The first stage would last about six months, while the next two phases would take place over a combined four to five years.
The aim is to reconstruct Gaza – which Israel has almost completely destroyed – maintain peace and security and reassert the governance of the Palestinian Authority (PA) in the territory, 17 years after it was kicked out following fighting between Fatah, which dominates the PA, and Hamas.
How does the plan aim to rebuild Gaza?
A six-month interim period would require a committee of Palestinian technocrats – operating under the management of the PA – to clear the rubble from Salah al-Din Street, which is the main north-south highway in the Gaza Strip.
Once the roads are clear, 200,000 temporary housing units would be built to accommodate 1.2 million people and about 60,000 damaged buildings restored.
According to the blueprint, longer-term reconstruction requires an additional four to five years after the interim measures are completed. Over that span, the plan aims to build at least 400,000 permanent homes, as well as rebuilding Gaza’s seaport and international airport.
Gradually, basic provisions such as water, a waste system, telecommunication services and electricity would also be restored.
The plan further calls for the establishment of a Steering and Management Council, which would be a financial fund supporting the interim governing body in Gaza.
In addition, conferences will be held for international donors to provide the necessary funding for reconstruction and long-term development in the Strip.
Who would be in charge of Gaza?
The plan calls for a group of “independent Palestinian technocrats” to manage affairs in Gaza, in effect replacing Hamas.
The technocratic government would be responsible for overseeing humanitarian aid and would pave the way for the PA to administer Gaza, according to el-Sisi.
Speaking at Tuesday’s summit, PA President Mahmoud Abbas said that an election could take place next year if circumstances allowed.
On the security front, Egypt and Jordan have both pledged to train Palestinian police officers and deploy them to Gaza. The two countries have also called on the United Nations Security Council to consider authorising a peacekeeping mission to oversee governance in Gaza until reconstruction is complete.
How much is this going to cost?
Egypt is calling for $53 bn to fund the reconstruction of Gaza, with the money distributed over three phases.
In the first six-month phase it would cost $3bn to clear rubble from Salah al-Din Street, construct temporary housing and restore partially damaged homes.
The second phase would take two years and cost $20bn. The work of rubble removal would continue in this phase, as well as the establishment of utility networks and the building of more housing units.
Phase three would cost $30bn and take two and a half years. It would include completing housing for Gaza’s whole population, establishing the first phase of an industrial zone, building fishing and commercial ports, and building an airport, among other services.
According to the plan, the money will be sourced from a variety of international sources including the UN and international financial organisations as well as foreign and private sector investments.
Is the plan going to work?
There are still a number of variables that could complicate the plan. Perhaps most importantly, it is unclear whether Hamas, Israel or the US will agree to it.
Hamas welcomed the reconstruction plan, and has previously agreed to a technocratic government. But it is less clear if it will accept the return of the PA, which itself would face the perception from its critics that it has returned to Gaza on the back of Israel’s tanks.
Hamas may be willing to discuss its removal from governance, but is adamantly against its disarmament – something the Egyptian plan adopted by the Arab League did not discuss.
Israel has made it clear that this is a red line, and that Hamas will not be allowed to keep its weapons. But Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has also said that he will not allow the PA to return to Gaza.
There is also the question of whether Trump will abandon his idea of a US-controlled “Middle East Riviera” for the Egyptian plan. It is difficult to predict what Trump’s position will be, particularly if Israel signals its opposition to the Egyptian plan.
What has the response been so far?
In response to Egypt’s plan, Israel said that Arab states needed to “break free from past constraints and collaborate to create a future of stability and security in the region”.
Instead, Israel continues to back Trump’s Gaza displacement plan – which echoes a longstanding call from the Israeli far-right to depopulate Gaza.
Egypt called Israel’s response “unacceptable”, with Minister of Foreign Affairs Badr Abdelatty describing the Netanyahu government’s position as “stubborn and extremist”.
Abdelatty said it would be impossible to see peace in the region without an independent Palestinian state. “No single state should be allowed to impose its will on the international community,” he added.
The White House continues to stand by Trump’s plan for Gaza, but said it would welcome collaboration with regional partners – except Hamas.
“While the President stands by his bold vision for a post-war Gaza, he welcomes input from our Arab partners in the region. It’s clear his proposals have driven the region to come to the table rather than allow this issue to devolve into further crisis,” White House National Security Council spokesman Brian Hughes said.
“President Trump has been clear that Hamas cannot continue to govern Gaza,” he added.
相關閱讀：
Arab leaders endorse Egypt’s Gaza reconstruction plan
European leaders back 'realistic' Arab plan for Gaza
For Israel, ceasefire is a continuation of war by other means
The Egyptian Gaza plan: A deadly trap for Israel and the US
The Egyptian plan for postwar Gaza is a good starting point—but it needs changes
本文於 修改第 3 次
|
|
美、伊「和議草案」小評
|
|
|
推薦0 |
|
美、伊「和議草案」小評
|
|
|
推薦1 |
|
美、伊14點「和議草案」內容 – MEE Staff
|
|
|
推薦1 |
|
|
|
Full text of US-Iran deal promises sanctions relief and phased access to frozen funds: Report
US may pull forces out of areas near Iran as part of a final peace deal and commits to supporting a $300bn reconstruction fund, Bloomberg says
MEE staff, 06/16/26
Iran is set to receive sanctions relief for the sale of its oil and related petroleum products as part of a memorandum of understanding with the US that could also unlock $300bn for the redevelopment of the Islamic Republic, according to the text of the agreement circulating in US media.
The details have been reported by several media outlets, but Bloomberg obtained a full draft of the memorandum which appears to usher in sweeping gains for Iran without addressing key US war objectives.
For example, the memorandum cited by Bloomberg does not address the fate of Iran’s enriched uranium, long considered a sticking point in negotiations.
Nor does it mention Iran’s conventional military forces, like its ballistic missile arsenal, which Trump entered the war calling a threat to the US.
The memorandum also says that the ceasefire includes “all fronts, including in Lebanon”, reaffirming a key Iranian demand that is sure to anger US ally Israel.
Below is a summary of the 14 points in the memorandum signed digitally by the US and Iran on Sunday, according to Bloomberg.
A final signing ceremony is expected to take place on Friday in Switzerland. Middle East Eye could not independently verify all the points in the list.
1. The US and Iran, along with their allies, agree to “an immediate and permanent end to the war on all fronts”.
2. The second clause contains a joint commitment to respect for sovereignty and territorial integrity.
3. Iran and the US agree to negotiate a final peace deal over the next 60 days and extend the current ceasefire if needed.
4. The US agreed to lift its naval blockade in the Strait of Hormuz. This section also contains a mention of withdrawing "its [US] forces” from “surrounding areas” within 30 days of the final agreement. It is not clear where the geographic boundaries are.
5. Iran agrees to lift its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and remove any obstacles.
6. The US agrees to “ensure financing of at least $300 billion” for the “rehabilitation and economic development” of Iran. This sum is part of a final agreement that will be implemented within 60 days.
7. The US commits to a phased lifting of all sanctions on Iran, including “resolutions of the United Nations Security Council and the Board of Governors of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), and all unilateral US sanctions, both primary and secondary”. No timeline is given for this process.
8. Iran reiterates that it will not produce a nuclear weapon. This section also says the fate of Iran's enriched uranium and wider nuclear programme will be addressed in a final agreement. It is notable that the ceasefire does not include an immediate demand for Iran not to enrich uranium.
9. Iran promises not to develop its nuclear programme in the next 60 days. “Iran will maintain the status quo on its nuclear program, and the US will not impose new sanctions on Iran or strengthen its forces in the region,” the text adds.
10. The US agrees to issue sanctions waivers for the sale of Iranian oil and petroleum products. The text adds that “All related services, including banking, insurance, transportation, and the like” are included in the waiver.
11. Iran will obtain access to its frozen funds based on the “progress” of negotiations in the next 60 days.
12. An implementation mechanism will be established to oversee any final agreement.
13. The US and Iran will continue the framework for negotiating the final agreement following “commencement of implementation of Articles 4, 5, 10, and 11”.
14. The final peace deal will be approved by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
Middle East Eye delivers independent and unrivalled coverage and analysis of the Middle East, North Africa and beyond. To learn more about republishing this content and the associated fees, please fill out this form. More about MEE can be found here.
相關報導：
* US refused to share Iran deal text with Israel: Report
* Qatar looks to rapidly restart LNG exports once Hormuz reopens: Report
* 'From outlier to trailblazer': How Oman offers a glimpse into the post-war Gulf
本文於 修改第 5 次
|
|
美、伊能維持和平協議嗎？ -- Lara Jakes
|
|
|
推薦1 |
|
|
|
Why the U.S.-Iran Deal Might Work, and Why It Might Not
For all of the cautious optimism surrounding the framework agreement, some of the toughest issues lie ahead, and the deal could still fall apart.
Lara Jakes, 06/15/26
0. 前言
The framework to end the war in Iran pauses nearly four months of hostilities that have killed thousands of people and sent global energy prices soaring. Now comes the hard part.
For all of the cautious optimism that the U.S.-Iran agreement could pave a path to peace, experts remained skeptical that it could survive the next 60-day round of negotiations on a final deal. The terms of the framework have not been released, and it’s possible, even likely, that negotiators on either side have interpreted the tentative agreement differently, analysts said Monday.
Here’s a look at reasons the deal could survive, and why it might not.
1. Why the deal might succeed
* Both sides want the Strait of Hormuz safely reopened to shipping traffic. The vital waterway for oil and gas has been shut down by Iranian attacks and by a U.S. naval blockade that sought to cut off Iranian oil revenue. If the strait reopens, it could calm global financial markets, help Iran’s economy and bring down soaring gas prices in the United States, possibly easing a political headache for President Trump.
* Both sides have burned through weapons. The Pentagon has moved military forces and vast numbers of air defense missiles to the Persian Gulf, where allied countries host American troops. That has potentially left other global hot spots vulnerable, particularly in Europe, where NATO is helping Ukraine defend itself against Russia, and in Taiwan and South Korea, which are worried about aggression from China. While U.S. intelligence assessments indicated as recently as a month ago that Iran retained much of its stockpiles of missiles and launchers, Tehran has launched more than 1,500 missiles and 4,700 drones against Gulf states since February, according to the Institute for National Security Studies in Tel Aviv.
* Mr. Trump is desperate to declare victory. The president has cast himself as a peacemaker, despite launching the war with Iran alongside Israel on Feb. 28. The war has sent his approval ratings to new lows and prompted some Republican lawmakers to break with him as midterm elections loom. James M. Dorsey, a Middle East expert at the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies at Nanyang Technological University in Singapore, said the United States and Iran have gotten to “a point where both sides can declare victory.”
2. Why the deal might fall apart
* Israel does not appear to be on board. After helping to push Mr. Trump to go to war in February, Israel was not directly involved in the U.S. negotiations with Iran. On Sunday, even as the framework appeared to be taking shape, Israel risked upending the talks with its continued strikes in Lebanon against Iran-allied Hezbollah. While Iran and Pakistan, a key mediator, asserted that the framework will end military operations on all fronts, including Lebanon, Israel’s defense minister on Monday indicated that his country’s attacks against Hezbollah would continue as long as Israel considered itself under threat.
* Sanctions and frozen assets may be a sticking point. Iran wants the United States to ease financial sanctions and unlock billions of dollars of its assets that are frozen in foreign banks. It is not clear how or if these issues are addressed in the framework, but Mr. Trump has repeatedly berated former President Barack Obama over a 2015 nuclear deal that gave Iran some respite on both fronts in exchange for curbs on its nuclear program. Mr. Trump withdrew from that deal in his first term.
* Iran may not agree to limits on its nuclear program. Mr. Trump has said he went to war in order to ensure Iran will never develop a nuclear weapon. Iran’s leaders have long insisted that their nuclear program is purely for civilian purposes, and that it has a right to enrich nuclear material under the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty. Negotiators will soon haggle over how long Iran should agree to pause uranium enrichment, at what levels it can enrich uranium in the future and what happens to the highly enriched uranium it already has — all deeply contentious issues.
Nate Swanson, a former U.S. diplomat who is an Iran expert at the Atlantic Council, said that “there will likely be a significant delta” between what Iran and the Trump administration aspire to resolve and what is ultimately achieved in the talks.
Lara Jakes, a Times reporter based in Rome, reports on conflict and diplomacy, with a focus on weapons and the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East. She has been a journalist for more than 30 years.
A version of this article appears in print on June 16, 2026, Section A, Page 9 of the New York edition with the headline: The Variables for the Agreement’s Survival
本文於 修改第 1 次
|
|
美、伊定06/19簽署和議草案 - Parisa Hafezi等
|
|
|
推薦1 |
|
|
|
請參考：
* Vance delays trip to Switzerland to lead new US talks with Iran on its nuclear program (06/19；還真讓我這張烏鴉嘴說中了。)
* How Trump’s Iran Deal Breaks Sharply From Obama’s 2015 JCPOA (06/16)
* Trump heralds Iran deal but questions - and risks - remain
談談打打，扭扭捏捏兩個月後，雙方終於屈服於現實。胡半仙曰：06/19前變卦的機率大概低於20%。
US, Iran reach preliminary agreement to end war, signing set for Friday
Parisa Hafezi/Phil Stewart/Yomna Ehab, 06/15/26
DUBAI/WASHINGTON, June 15 (Reuters) - U.S. and Iranian officials said they had agreed on a framework to end their war, halt the U.S. blockade of Iran and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, a preliminary pact that sent oil prices falling but leaves the fate of Iran's nuclear program to further negotiations.
"The Deal with the Islamic Republic of Iran is now complete," U.S. President Donald Trump wrote on his Truth Social platform around 5:30 p.m. ET local time in Washington (2130 GMT) on Sunday. His post came shortly after Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, whose country has served as a mediator, announced a deal had been struck early on Monday local time.
The memorandum of understanding is scheduled to be officially signed on Friday in Switzerland.
The precise terms were not immediately known. Sharif said in a post on X that the pact called for "the immediate and permanent termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon."
Lebanon has been a sticking point in negotiations, with Israel and Hezbollah ignoring calls from Trump and others to stop their attacks on each other in recent weeks.
In a statement, the secretariat of Iran's Supreme National Security Council said war and military operations on all fronts, including Lebanon, would end permanently starting on Monday night.
Iran's deputy foreign minister, Kazem Gharibabadi, said a more expansive agreement would be negotiated during a 60-day ceasefire period, including sanctions relief for Iran.
The fate of Iran's nuclear program, another thorny issue, will also be addressed in those later talks, sources previously told Reuters.
There was no immediate reaction to the announcement from Israel, which has said it was not party to the U.S.-Iran talks.
STRAIT TO REOPEN
Trump said the Strait of Hormuz, a major shipping route for global oil and gas supplies that Iran has effectively shut down for months, would open on Friday, and that he had ordered the end of the U.S. blockade of Iranian ports.
"Ships of the World, start your engines. Let the oil flow!" Trump wrote.
Oil prices fell on the news. Brent crude futures fell 4% in early trading on Monday, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate slid more than 4.6%. Stock markets in Asia jumped.
Former Biden administration State Department spokesperson Matthew Miller said Trump had made important concessions to Iran to achieve the status quo that existed before he launched the war.
"We have no assurances the nuclear program will ever be addressed, but Iran has shown the world it can take the global economy hostage and get something from the U.S. in return," said Miller.
Thousands of people have been killed, mostly in Iran and Lebanon, since U.S. and Israeli forces first attacked Iran on February 28. Iran has struck Israel and Gulf states hosting U.S. bases and has effectively blockaded the Strait of Hormuz, pushing up global energy prices. U.S. forces have blocked Iranian ports in response.
The Iran war has become a political liability at home for Trump and his fellow Republicans in Congress, with public opinion polls showing Americans deeply frustrated by rising gas prices ahead of November's midterm elections. But Trump has also faced pressure from members of his own party who insist that Iran's nuclear program must be completely shut down.
Republican Senator Lindsey Graham, a leading Iran hawk, praised the deal but said he would be "watching closely" the coming negotiations on Iran's nuclear program.
"Under our law, any nuclear deal with Iran will be sent to Congress for review and a vote," he said. "Congratulations to all in getting us to this point."
During his first term, Trump withdrew the U.S. from a 2015 multilateral Iran deal, negotiated by Democratic President Barack Obama, that lifted sanctions on Tehran in exchange for limits on its nuclear program, including international inspections.
Iran responded by ramping up its enrichment of uranium, producing more than 400 kg (around 900 pounds) of material at close to bomb-grade purity. The eventual fate of that uranium is likely to be a key negotiating point during the upcoming talks.
'A VERY DIFFICULT GUY'
The agreement was sealed despite an Israeli strike on Lebanon on Sunday that drew criticism from both Iran and Trump.
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has differed with Trump over American demands that Israel curb its military action in Lebanon to allow the United States to reach a deal with Iran.
Israel has said it will retain freedom of operations in Lebanon, while Iran has made a full ceasefire there an important component of its demands.
Trump updated Netanyahu on the progress toward a peace deal during a phone call on Sunday, Israel's N12 reported, citing a senior official.
In an interview with the New York Times, Trump called Netanyahu "a very difficult guy" and argued the Israeli leader should thank him for saving Israel from a nuclear-armed Iran.
Leaders outside the Middle East, who have kept a wary eye on the conflict, welcomed the announcement.
In a joint statement, the United Kingdom, Germany, France and Italy said they were prepared to lift sanctions on Iran in response to "clear, verifiable steps" to limit its nuclear program.
"We are clear that toll-free freedom of navigation must now be restored in the Strait of Hormuz," British Prime Minister Keir Starmer said. "Iran must never have a nuclear weapon."
Before the deal was announced, a senior Iranian official told Reuters that, under the terms of the draft, the United States would agree to release $25 billion of frozen Iranian assets. The Trump administration has previously said any release of Iranian money would only take place once Iran has fulfilled certain conditions under a peace deal.
A U.S. official, also speaking before the announcement, said the agreement would ultimately lead to the dismantling of Iran's nuclear program, with its stockpile of highly enriched uranium to be destroyed and removed. The senior Iranian official said the draft deal would allow Iran, which denies seeking a nuclear bomb, to dilute its enriched uranium inside the country.
(Reporting by Reuters bureaus; Writing by Timothy Heritage and Joseph Ax; Editing by Sergio Non, William Mallard, Alex Richardson, Will Dunham, Barbara Lewis and Lincoln Feast.)
Terms and Privacy Policy
Privacy Dashboard
本文於 修改第 6 次
|
|
伊朗：不會在06/14簽訂和議 - Paul Wallace/Arsalan Shahla
|
|
|
推薦0 |
|
|
|
請參考：
* Iran says 'no point' in US talks after Beirut strike, casting doubt on deal
* Trump says deal to end war will be signed on Sunday, Iran questions timing
Iran Signals No Deal Will Be Signed by Trump’s Sunday Timeline
Iran pushed back on US President Donald Trump’s assertion an interim peace deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz would be imminent, as an Israeli strike on Lebanon posed a potential new risk to any agreement.
Paul Wallace/Arsalan Shahla, Bloomberg News, 06/14/26
(Bloomberg) — Iran pushed back on US President Donald Trump’s assertion an interim peace deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz would be imminent, as an Israeli strike on Lebanon posed a potential new risk to any agreement.
The Islamic Republic said nothing had been finalized regarding the deal with the US and that an agreement would not be reached by Trump’s suggested deadline, Iran’s semi-official Fars News Agency reported on Sunday, citing an unidentified official close to the negotiating team. As of Friday, Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei hadn’t agreed to the text, according to a person familiar with the matter who spoke to Bloomberg.
Adding to tensions, Israel’s military hit the Lebanese capital on Sunday, saying it was targeting Hezbollah after the Iranian-backed group fired more projectiles into northern Israel. Three people were killed and 15 injured in the southern suburbs of Beirut, state-run National News Agency reported.
Iran’s top negotiator, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, said there was “no point” in continuing talks if the US lacks the “will and ability” to fulfill its commitments and stop Israel from bombing Lebanon. The Islamic Republic warned that Israeli attacks on Beirut wouldn’t go “unanswered,” according to state media.
Israel’s foreign ministry responded to Ghalibaf, saying Hezbollah had attacked “completely unprovoked” and firing at its territory wouldn’t be tolerated.
Iran launched ballistic missiles at Israel less than a week ago in retaliation for the Jewish state striking Beirut. Iran insists any interim deal with the US includes a ceasefire in Lebanon, a demand Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu says he won’t accept until Hezbollah is disarmed and no longer firing on Israel.
An agreement is meant to see Tehran reopen the strait to commercial vessels and Washington lift a blockade of Iranian ports. The two would extend their ceasefire by around two months and go into further negotiations about curbing Iran’s nuclear program.
“The Deal is scheduled to get signed tomorrow,” Trump said on Truth Social on Saturday, “and immediately after it is signed, the Hormuz Strait is OPEN TO ALL.”
Iranian officials have emphasized there’s been progress and say they are closer to a pact than at any point since the ceasefire started on April 8. Yet they’ve been more cautious than Trump, stating that not all the clauses of what’s likely to be a 14-point document are finalized.
A Qatari delegation of mediators arrived in Tehran on Sunday to continue exchanging messages between Iran and the US regarding the MOU, according to the Iranian ISNA news agency.
While Tehran is likely to reiterate it won’t build nuclear weapons, key sticking points include its demand the US unfreezes tens of billions of dollars of Iranian funds held in countries such as Qatar, and Washington’s push for the Islamic Republic to agree to destroying or diluting its stockpiles of high-enriched uranium.
Reuters, citing an unidentified Iranian official, reported that a draft of the MOU includes the US allowing the release of $25 billion of frozen assets.
Trump, under pressure from Iran hawks in the US, has said that Iran won’t get any money immediately upon an MOU being signed. That’s been echoed by other US officials, who say the Islamic Republic will only benefit financially if it shows it’s sticking to the terms of the deal, including allowing traffic to move freely through the Hormuz strait.
Trump has added that when other components of the deal are settled, the US will “go in and get the Nuclear Dust,” his term for highly enriched uranium, and would destroy it either in Iran or the US.
The two sides have been negotiating via mediators such as Pakistan and Qatar since the truce kicked in. Tensions have remained high and the ceasefire looked close to collapsing this week, with Iran and Israel exchanging fire. The US then blamed Iran for downing an Apache helicopter, which led to clashes between them on Tuesday and Wednesday nights.
Trump said he would hit more military targets on Thursday, before changing plans with his announcement that an agreement with Iran was imminent.
His switch in stance came after Iran privately threatened to end negotiations and escalate its response to any further US strikes, one diplomat familiar with the matter said.
Trump has vacillated dozens of times in recent weeks between saying a deal is near and threatening to return to all-out war against Iran.
He started the conflict in late February when he opted to bomb Iran alongside Israel, saying it was necessary to stop the Islamic Republic building a nuclear weapon. He and Netanyahu also signaled they wanted regime change, ending the Islamic Republic that came to life with Iran’s revolution in 1979.
Although Iran has been battered and several top officials have been killed — including Supreme Leader Khamenei’s predecessor and father, Ali — its forces have caused chaos across the region. They’ve fired thousands of missiles and drones at Israel and US allies such as Qatar and the United Arab Emirates.
Iran also effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz by hitting some ships, sending energy prices soaring. While oil has dropped since late April, with traders anticipating a deal rather than a return to full-blown warfare, it’s still up more than 40% this year at around $85 a barrel.
And time may be running out to keep prices below $100. The US and other nations have drawn down emergency petroleum stockpiles at a record rate to help cap prices. Oil executives have warned those buffers are reaching critical lows.
The jump in fuel costs has pushed up inflation globally, including in the US, hurting Trump and his Republican Party ahead of midterm elections in November.
At the same time, Trump is keen to present any deal as a win and is under pressure from Iran hawks such as Senator Lindsey Graham not to unfreeze any of Tehran’s funds. Many of them have called on him to resume strikes and “finish the job.”
—With assistance from Dan Williams, Sherif Tarek and Eltaf Najafizada.
(Updates with more details on airstrike on Lebanese capital, Fars detail.)
本文於 修改第 1 次
|
|
美國、伊朗即將達成議和 ---- NBC News
|
|
|
推薦1 |
|
|
|
請參考：
* What to know about a possible deal to end the Iran war
* Mediator Pakistan says US and Iran expected to sign initial deal within 24 hours (06/13 19:00)
Pakistan says U.S.-Iran deal text has been reached; Iran holding ‘final’ deliberations
Two Iranian drones were shot down last night, a U.S. official said. Iranian media reported that its military had stopped a tanker from passing through the Strait of Hormuz.
U.S. and Iran appear close to signing agreement after Trump's repeated claims the war is over
NBC News, 06/12/26
* PAKISTAN SAYS DEAL IS CLOSE: Key mediator Pakistan has said a "final, agreed upon text" of a U.S.-Iran deal has been reached, though there was no immediate confirmation from the U.S. or Iran. President Donald Trump earlier pushed back at Iranian reports about the deal's contents.
* IRAN WEIGHS AGREEMENT: Iranian officials said the "final stages" of internal deliberations were underway, as sources tell NBC News the final missing piece is a sign-off from the country's Supreme Leader.
* DRONES SHOT DOWN: Tensions remained high around the Strait of Hormuz where two Iranian drones were shot down last night, a U.S. official said. Iranian media reported that its military had stopped a tanker from passing through the strait.
* THREAT TO KHARG ISLAND: Earlier yesterday, Trump said the U.S. would at some point seize Kharg Island and take “total control” of Iran’s oil and gas industry, although he later pulled back.
Courtney Kube/Mosheh Gains
U.S. Central Command said that Iran launched several drones at commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz, which the U.S. military shot down.
CENTCOM says U.S. downs Iranian drones launched at ships in Strait of Hormuz
"Iran launched multiple one-way attack drones in an attempt to strike commercial ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz," CENTCOM wrote in a post on X. "U.S. forces have downed all of them in recent hours as traffic flow through the strait continues unimpeded. The international trade corridor remains open for transit."
Treasury's Bessent says deal with Iran could be reached in the next few days
Olivia Patel/Betsy Mahoney/Dennis Romero
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that a U.S.-Iran deal could be reached in the next few days and would bring economic relief to the nation.
Speaking with host Laura Ingraham on Fox News, Bessent said the deal could come this weekend or perhaps Monday.
“We believe that he had to take this opportunity to keep Iran from having a nuclear weapon. We will see, maybe as soon as this weekend or Monday, we will get on the other side of this,” Bessent said.
The secretary said a deal will result in lower energy prices for Americans. "I am very confident that the challenging time with gasoline will pass by," Bessent said.
He praised the U.S. economy's resilience and said he believes it will improve. "My message is the underlying fundamentals are excellent," Bessent said, "and we will be on the other side of this soon."
Trump has agreed to release $24 billion of Iran’s frozen assets, military adviser to Iran's supreme leader says
Major Gen. Mohsen Rezaie, the military adviser to Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, said that Trump has agreed to release $24 billion of Iran’s frozen assets, according to a report by the Young Journalists Club, which is affiliated with Iranian state TV.
"Trump has agreed to the release of $24 billion of Iran’s frozen assets, but is unwilling to announce it publicly," Rezaie, who is a former commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, said, according to YJC.
The report did not provide any additional details.
Memorandum of understanding with U.S. could be announced in next few days, Iran's foreign minister says
Babak Dehghanpisheh
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said in an interview with state TV that a memorandum of understanding with the U.S. could be announced in the next few days, according to the state-owned Islamic Republic News Agency.
"We are closer than ever to that point. It could happen within the next 1 or 2 days, or within the next few days," Araghchi said. "I am hopeful."
Iran will maintain control over Strait of Hormuz, Iran's foreign minister says
Babak Dehghanpisheh
Iran will maintain control over the Strait of Hormuz, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said in an interview with state TV, according to the semiofficial Fars news agency.
"Based on Iran’s firm decision, the future of the Strait of Hormuz and the way it is administered will not be the same as in the past," Araghchi said, according to Fars.
He added, "Our sword will remain poised over the Strait of Hormuz indefinitely, and whenever necessary, Iran’s armed forces will intervene."
Araghchi said that Iran and Oman will soon issue a joint statement regarding the administration of the strait.
Araghchi also said that Iran intends to charge a service fee for ships passing through the strait.
"Under international law, it is not possible to levy a toll on passage through the Strait of Hormuz, but charges for services provided will be collected," Araghchi said, according to Fars. "And this will be formalized during the negotiations."
Deal with U.S. will include 'ceasefire on all fronts,' Iran's foreign minister says
Mirna Alsharif/Babak Dehghanpisheh
The deal between the U.S. and Iran, which will initially begin as a memorandum of understanding, will include a ceasefire on all fronts, including in Lebanon, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said in a live interview on state TV, according to the semi-official Fars news agency.
The end of the war also means Israel's withdrawal from Lebanon, Araghchi said, according to the state-owned Islamic Republic News Agency.
It is not clear if Israel will agree to these terms, as Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz previously said that his country will not withdraw from Lebanon, Syria, Gaza or the West Bank.
Another part of the deal is for the U.S. and Iran to respect each other's sovereignty and not meddle in each other's affairs, Araghchi said, according to Fars news, adding that Israel is opposed to the agreement.
Details regarding two key issues — Iran's nuclear program and the lifting of sanctions — will be finalized in the next stage, which will be formal negotiations, Araghchi said in the interview.
"The negotiations are structured in 2 stages. The first stage is writing the memorandum, and the second stage is the start of formal negotiations," Araghchi said, according to Fars. "The nuclear issue and the lifting of sanctions on Iran have been deferred to the second stage, for which a 60-day negotiation period has been envisaged."
He added, "In the second stage of the negotiations, discussions will cover the lifting of sanctions, uranium enrichment, the future status of enriched material stockpiles, and the framework for Iran’s reconstruction fund."
Araghchi also noted that Iran would prefer to keep the enriched uranium within the country.
"From our perspective, the only acceptable method for dealing with the enriched material is to dilute it within Iran," Araghchi said, according to Fars.
Araghchi said that the outcome of the discussions about the memorandum of understanding is "a 14-point memorandum, and once it is finalized, we will explain every single provision of it to the public," according to Fars.
Araghchi said in the interview that the difficulty in reaching agreement on the wording for the memorandum has been highlighted in that it has taken two months to come up with a document that is less than two pages.
The U.S. naval blockade of Iran's ports will be lifted and Iran’s frozen assets will be released after the signing of the memorandum of understanding, Araghchi said in the interview, according to the state-owned Islamic Republic News Agency. Araghchi also said that a reconstruction plan has been included in the agreement to address war-related damage.
本文於 修改第 4 次
|
|
談談打打之美、伊小吵小鬧 – P. Stewart/E. Abouhassira
|
|
|
推薦1 |
|
|
|
請參考：
* The US launches airstrikes on Iran after blaming Tehran for helicopter crash, prompting retaliation (06/10)
* Defying Trump with brief Iran fight, Israel seeks sway over peace talks (06/09)
* Iran’s confidence may soon turn to folly in Trump’s fiasco of a war
* Trump says he would not unfreeze Iran's assets before peace deal is done
US strikes Iranian sites after Iran launches drones in latest Gulf flare-up
Phil Stewart and Eman Abouhassira, 06/07/26
DUBAI/WASHINGTON, June 6 (Reuters) - U.S. forces struck Iranian coastal radar sites on Saturday after shooting down drones launched by Iran toward the Strait of Hormuz, the U.S. military said, in the latest escalation complicating efforts to end the war between the two countries.
The U.S. military believed the four Iranian drones were targeting regional maritime traffic, a U.S. official told Reuters. U.S. Central Command said on X that the U.S. then struck Iran's surveillance sites in Goruk and Qeshm Island, both in the Strait of Hormuz.
Iran's foreign ministry said that the U.S. action broke an April 8 ceasefire and that such repeated violations showed Washington had no intention of reducing tensions. It warned that the United States would bear responsibility for the consequences of its "illegal actions."
Iran's Revolutionary Guard said it had attacked U.S. bases in Kuwait and Bahrain in retaliation for U.S. strikes and fired at four tankers trying to cross the strait without its permission.
Kuwait's army said on Saturday it engaged seven ballistic missiles that passed over residential areas, resulting in material damage but no casualties. In Bahrain, sirens sounded and residents were urged to seek shelter. Kuwait and Bahrain condemned the strikes.
PAKISTANI MINISTER LANDS IN TEHRAN
Iran later said it had hit U.S. bases in both countries with ballistic missiles, but the U.S. military said six missiles were intercepted and a seventh did not reach its target.
The U.S. and Iran have been engaged in largely indirect negotiations for an interim deal to halt the three-month-old war that would leave issues including Iran's nuclear programme to further negotiations.
But a deal has remained elusive while the two sides have periodically skirmished.
Tehran wants access to billions of dollars in oil revenue, waivers on sanctions on crude exports, the lifting of a U.S. blockade on its ports and leverage over the Strait of Hormuz. Iran has effectively blocked the waterway, where about a fifth of global oil traffic transited before the war.
Iranian state media reported that Pakistani Interior Minister Mohsin Naqvi arrived in Tehran on Saturday for talks with Iranian officials including Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi. Pakistan has been mediating talks on an end to the conflict.
Naqvi said he was carrying a "special letter" from his country's army chief and prime minister to Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's semi-official ISNA news agency reported.
U.S. President Donald Trump is facing mounting domestic political pressure due to rising gas prices to bring the unpopular war to an end. He told NBC that while most of Iran's drone and missile manufacturing facilities had been destroyed, the Iranians still had access to about a fifth of their missiles.
"They have some missiles, they have some drones. I would say percentage wise, maybe 21% to 22% of their missiles. It's a lot of missiles, but it's not what it was when we first attacked," Trump told NBC News' "Meet the Press" program, according to excerpts released by the network on Friday.
Asked why Iran's leaders were not more inclined to strike a deal, if they were as desperate as he has portrayed them, Trump said: "Because they are strong. They're proud. There are things they never thought they'd be doing that they're going to have to do, they've got no choice, and it takes a little while."
After the U.S. and Israel launched the war against Iran on February 28, Tehran attacked Gulf states hosting U.S. bases and largely stopped shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
The conflict has driven up oil prices and disrupted supply chains for other goods, including humanitarian aid.
Mohsen Rezaei, an adviser to Iran's supreme leader, told CNN on Friday that a peace deal hinged on the Trump administration unfreezing $24 billion in Iranian assets, and warned that the U.S. would "enter into a dark corridor" if it resumed attacks.
FIGHTING FLARES ACROSS REGION DESPITE CEASEFIRES
In a parallel conflict in Lebanon, two Lebanese army officers and a soldier were killed in an Israeli strike on a military vehicle in south Lebanon, the Lebanese army said. The Israeli military said it was investigating the incident.
Iran has made a ceasefire in Lebanon between Israel and Iran-aligned Hezbollah a condition for any peace deal with Washington.
Lebanon's army said on Saturday its commander, General Rudolf Haykal, left for Pakistan at the invitation of his Pakistani counterpart, without giving further details.
The surprise visit was notable given the insistence by Washington — and by Lebanese leaders including the president — that ceasefire talks for Lebanon remain separate from U.S.-Iran negotiations mediated by Pakistan.
Hezbollah leader Naim Qassem this week rejected a U.S.-brokered pact between Israel and the Lebanese government to halt the fighting in Lebanon. The deal did not provide for an Israeli withdrawal and Hezbollah had not been party to the negotiations.
Israel has said its forces would not withdraw or halt operations in the country amid increasing friction with the U.S.
(Reporting by Reuters bureaus; Additional reporting by Ahmed Tolba in CAIRO; Writing by Aidan Lewis and Nathan Layne; Editing by Cynthia Osterman, Kim Coghill, William Maclean and Andrew Heavens)
本文於 修改第 3 次
|
|
伊朗要求$240億「停火金」 -- Park Si-jin
|
|
|
推薦1 |
|
|
|
請參考：
* The Strait of Hormuz is more open than previously thought as the U.S. shoots down Iranian drones threatening ships and provides ‘naval overwatch’ (06.07)
* Iran supreme leader’s adviser says talks deadlocked over $24 billion and warns of wider war
* Trump says Iran has not agreed to a deal to end the war because ‘they’re strong, they’re proud’
我看川普又要多兩個外號了：「川騎虎」和「川就是不要臉」。
Iran Demands $24 Billion Frozen Funds Release Before US Truce Deal
Half of Frozen Assets Must Be Wired as Condition for MOU 'Gesture of Trust' Prepayment Required Before Talks Begin Truce Deal Likely Delayed; Response Plans to Be Discussed on 27th
Park Si-jin, 05/27/26
Iran has demanded that the United States first wire half of $24 billion (approximately 36 trillion won) in frozen funds as a condition for signing a ceasefire memorandum of understanding (MOU). The demand came as tensions between the two sides escalated again following US military airstrikes on Iranian missile bases in southern Iran.
Al Arabiya reported Thursday, citing diplomatic sources, that Iran has demanded the release of half of its frozen funds as a condition for signing the ceasefire MOU. Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, speaker of Iran's parliament, visited Qatar to discuss measures for releasing the frozen assets.
During negotiations, Iran demanded the release of approximately $24 billion in frozen funds, insisting that $12 billion (approximately 18 trillion won) be paid upfront. Tehran's position is that the remaining half must be wired within 60 days.
Iran has strongly demanded the upfront payment as a "gesture of trust" guaranteeing implementation of the MOU and main negotiations. Fars News Agency reported that Iran's position is that "no negotiations are possible unless the frozen funds are deposited."
Iran's frozen funds held overseas are estimated at approximately $100 billion (approximately 150 trillion won). Qatar holds $6 billion (approximately 9 trillion won) that was wired from South Korea three years ago. "The most serious disagreement surrounding the start of negotiations is the approach to frozen funds," a source said. "The United States tried to back away, but Iran adamantly demanded that the agreed funds be deposited."
The signing of the ceasefire MOU, which had appeared close to conclusion, now seems to be postponed again. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio told reporters after his visit to India that "it could take a few more days to reach a deal." He added, "President Donald Trump has expressed his will to conclude the negotiations. Either we have a good deal or no deal at all."
Regarding the previous day's US military airstrikes on Iranian missile launch bases and a mine-laying vessel near the Strait of Hormuz, Iran's foreign ministry protested that it was "a clear violation of the ceasefire agreement" and "a malicious and untrustworthy act." Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) stated it would "respond resolutely," and Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei also warned that "the United States will no longer have safe military bases in this region." The remarks suggested the possibility of strikes on US military bases in the Middle East.
President Trump will hold a cabinet meeting on the 27th to discuss measures in response to Iran. The meeting was originally scheduled to be held at Camp David but will now take place at the White House due to inclement weather, Trump announced through Truth Social. On June 8 last year, Trump discussed military options against Iran with top security advisers and military generals at Camp David, then launched the "Midnight Hammer" operation on the 21st, striking three Iranian nuclear facilities.
Meanwhile, the United States denied reports that it had resumed the "Freedom Project" to escort merchant ships through the Strait of Hormuz. In contrast, Iran's Revolutionary Guard claimed that within 24 hours, 25 vessels including oil tankers and container ships had passed through the strait with permission. The Revolutionary Guard stated that "smart control" of the Strait of Hormuz is being exercised and warned that violators would face "harsh strikes."
本文於 修改第 2 次
|
|
伊戰撤軍決議的法律層面分析 – J. FitzGerald/K. Epstein
|
|
|
推薦1 |
|
|
|
請參考：
* Iran ‘fires warning missiles’ at US destroyers (06/06)
* Latest Analysis: War with Iran
* Rebuilding U.S. Missile Inventory: A Multiyear Project
Trump hits back at 'unpatriotic' vote after House rebukes him over Iran
James FitzGerald/Kayla Epstein, 06/04/26
US President Donald Trump has hit back at lawmakers who voted to send him a rebuke over the war in Iran, calling them "unpatriotic".
On Wednesday, the US House of Representatives passed a measure seeking to halt Trump from taking further military action amid growing opposition to the war.
In a post on Truth Social, the president wrote: "Yesterday, in a meaningless vote, the House voted, 4 bad Republicans and all of the Dumocrats, to limit my War Powers, right in the middle of my final negotiations to end the War with the Islamic Republic of Iran. Who would do such an unpatriotic thing."
It is unclear how much legal force the House's measure will have. The White House has dismissed its merits.
It has also described the move as an unconstitutional attempt to restrict presidential power.
The vote, which passed 215-208, was to adopt the war powers resolution, which would require Trump to withdraw US forces or seek congressional approval for the conflict.
The road to actual enforcement would involve the legislation clearing several thorny political, procedural, and legal hurdles.
Nonetheless, the vote sent an unusually blunt message from Congress to the White House.
"There's a political impact, because a majority of one House of the Congress have gone on record, in an actual vote, that the US armed forces need to be withdrawn from hostilities in the Persian Gulf," said Michael Glennon, a professor of constitutional and international law at Tufts University.
"Congress is in effect saying: now, we really, really, really, really think this is unlawful, and you need to get out," Glennon said.
The measure considered was a concurrent resolution -- meaning that if an identical version is also passed by the Republican-controlled US Senate, it would not require the president's signature.
And even if that did occur, it could face a legal challenge from Trump.
Meanwhile, if the Senate opts to tweak the language, it becomes what is known as a joint resolution - which would require Trump's signature. The president would likely veto it, and Congress does not have enough votes to override him.
Trump's post on Thursday morning went on to say: "The Democrats are fueled by Trump Derangement Syndrome. They would rather have our Country fail than give me another, of many, victories.
"The four Republicans, that's a whole other story - They're GRANDSTANDERS! They should be ashamed of themselves."
This was the fourth attempt by the House to rein in Trump's war powers. The Senate advanced a similar resolution in May but has yet to hold a full floor vote.
Some of Trump's critics in Congress argue that Trump is already in violation of the War Powers Resolution. That federal law prohibits the president from deploying troops for military action for more than 60 days, without Congressional approval. Trump has passed the 60-day deadline, but his administration has argued that the restriction is unconstitutional.
Despite being seen as largely symbolic, the passage of Wednesday's resolution adds to the pressure on the White House to find an end to the war, as petrol prices have spiked and public opposition to the war has increased.
Sixty-four percent of registered voters believed Trump was wrong to go to war with Iran, compared to 34% who believed he made the right call, a New York Times/Siena poll taken in May suggested.
The poll suggested that support for Trump's decision was divided along partisan lines; 93% of Democrats believed Trump was wrong, while 70% of Republicans believed Trump was correct. However, 73% of independent voters - often a bellwether group in national elections - opposed the war, polling indicated.
The vote also marked the latest sign of division within Trump's Republican Party, coming just days after a revolt by conservatives in Congress led his administration to pull back plans for a $1.8b "anti-weaponization" fund for political allies.
The four Republicans who attracted Trump's ire were Thomas Massie, Brian Fitzpatrick, Tom Barrett, and Warren Davidson, who joined a united front of Democrats. Democrat Jared Golden of Maine, who had previously voted against similar measures, gave his support this time.
"Congress alone declares war, that's something certainly we need to be protective of," Barrett, a Republican from Michigan, said. Asked if he was worried about retribution from Trump for his vote, he said: "I vote my conscience for what I think is right and willing to accept that."
本文於 修改第 3 次
|
|
|
本城市首頁
看回應文章
等級：8
