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摩爾多瓦共和國大選揭曉 -- Paul Kirby
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摩爾多瓦共和國現任總統珊杜女士蟬連。但該國未來目前正在烏克蘭國境決戰中。
Pro-EU leader wins Moldova election despite alleged Russian meddling
Paul Kirby, Europe digital editor, 11/04/24
Moldova's pro-EU President Maia Sandu has claimed a second term after a tense election run-off seen as a choice between Europe and Russia.
The Moldovan Central Electoral Commission confirmed Sandu's victory on Monday morning.
Sandu won 55% of the vote, according to preliminary results, and in a late-night speech on Sunday she promised to be president for all Moldovans.
Her rival Alexandr Stoianoglo, who was backed by the pro-Russian Party of Socialists, had called for a closer relationship with Moscow.
During the day the president's national security adviser said there had been "massive interference" from Russia in Moldova's electoral process that had "high potential to distort the outcome".
Russia had already denied meddling in the vote, which came a week after another key Eastern European election in Georgia, whose president said it had been a "Russian special operation".
Stoianoglo, who was fired as prosecutor general by Sandu, has denied being pro-Kremlin.
In a joint statement congratulating Sandu on her re-election, the European Commission and the EU's top diplomat Josep Borrell said there had been "unprecedented interference by Russia".
As polls closed, both Sandu, 52, and her rival thanked voters, with Stoianoglo speaking in Russian as well as Romanian. Although Romanian is Moldova's main language, Russian is widely spoken because of its Soviet past.
Turnout at 54% was high, especially among expat voters at polling stations abroad.
Stoianoglo took an initial lead on the night and was the more successful candidate in Moldova itself with more than 51% of the vote. Sandu won in the capital Chisinau, and she was completely dominant among expat voters.
As she overtook her challenger late on Sunday night, there was cheering at her campaign headquarters and chants of "victory".
In a hoarse voice she praised her compatriots for saving Moldova and giving "a lesson in democracy, worthy of being written in history books".
Then, moving into Russian, she said: "I have heard your voice – both those who supported me and those who voted for Mr. Stoianoglo. In our choice for a dignified future, no-one lost... we need to stand united."
Maia Sandu’s foreign policy adviser, Olga Rosca, told the BBC she was proud of the result.
Asked whether she was surprised that Stoianoglo had won in Moldova itself, she said the vote in Moldova and abroad should be seen as one and the same: “We never divide people into Moldovans at home and expatriates - we see Moldovans as one family.”
With elections coming next year she said the president had “clearly indicated she has heard the mood for change. On several occasions between the [two presidential] votes she said the fight against corruption must be intensified and justice reform must be accelerated – she’s committed to this work”.
The final result will be declared on Monday.
EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen congratulated Sandu, saying "it takes a rare kind of strength to overcome the challenges you've faced in this election.
"I'm glad to continue working with you towards a European future for Moldova and its people," her message on X said.
Casting his ballot, Alexandr Stoianoglo had promised to be an "apolitical president", and that he had voted for "a Moldova that should develop in harmony with both the West and the East".
Stoianoglo polled particularly well in rural areas and the south, while Sandu was ahead in the cities and with young voters.
Alexandr Stoianoglo has denied being a pro-Kremlin candidate
After casting her ballot, Sandu had warned of "thieves" who sought to buy their vote and their country.
Presidential national security adviser Stanislav Secrieru said Russia had organised buses and large charter flights to bring voters to polling stations.
Bomb scares had briefly disrupted voting in Moldova, at UK polling stations in Liverpool and Northampton and at Frankfurt and Kaiserslautern in Germany, he added.
Moldovan expats queued to vote in big numbers in Moscow and many other cities
A Soviet republic for 51 years, Moldova is flanked by Ukraine and Romania and one of Europe's poorest countries. It has a population of 2.5 million and an expat population of 1.2 million.
Moldova's authorities have long warned that a fugitive oligarch called Ilan Shor has spent $39m (£30m) trying to buy the election for Moscow with handouts to 138,000 Moldovans.
Shor, who is based in Moscow, denies wrongdoing but did promise cash payments to anyone prepared to back his call for a "firm No" to the EU.
Commentators and politicians had warned that a Stoianoglo victory could radically change the political landscape in the Danube and Black Sea region, not because he was some kind of "Trojan horse", but rather because Russia has thrown its weight behind him.
There were queues at polling stations in Moscow, Italy and among voters from a mainly Russian-speaking breakaway region of Transnistria, who had to cross the River Dniester into Moldovan-controlled territory to vote. Transnistria is home to a Russian military base and a huge arms depot.
Moldova's election commission said it was aware of reports of organised and illegal transports of voters by air and land in Russia, Belarus, Azerbaijan and Turkey, and appealed to the public to report further violations.
Although Sandu had easily won the first round of the vote, several candidates swung behind Stoianoglo, although the third-placed candidate refused to back either of the two.
The first round coincided with a nail-biting referendum on backing a change to the constitution embracing the commitment to join the EU.
In the end the vote passed by a tiny margin in favour, and Maia Sandu said there had been clear evidence of attempts to buy 300,000 votes.
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喬志亞共和國國會選舉：執政黨獲勝 -- Nini Gabritchidze
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喬志亞共和國現任執政黨在國會選舉獲勝。歐、俄相鬥，代理人勝負參半(見開欄文)。正所謂：「幾家歡樂幾家愁」。
Official Results of 2024 Vote: What They Show
Nini Gabritchidze Send an email, 10/27/24
With over 99.97% of precincts counted, official results published by the Central Election Commission show the ruling Georgian Dream party winning parliamentary elections with 53.92% of the vote, while the combined share of four opposition coalitions that passed the election threshold totals 37.78%.
The October 26 vote followed months of Georgian Dream’s anti-democratic and anti-Western drift and the official results come as a shock to many pro-opposition voters who expected GD to have lost support. Georgian Dream campaigned by fearmongering about “war”, instrumentalizing homophobia, and threatening with the return of United National Movement rule.
The polling in about 90% of precincts was conducted electronically, meaning that precincts featured electronic technologies to verify the voters and count votes.
Most of the opposition refuses to accept the results and vows to protect the vote, while local observers point to a “large-scale”, complex rigging scheme and international observers talk about flaws before and during the polling day. Violations noted by local and international observers include a pre-election climate of fear and intimidation of civil society, including the passage of the Foreign Agents Law, reports of vote-buying, violations of voter privacy, physical altercations, and controversial changes to election administration rules prior to the vote.
The voter turnout by 8 p.m. was around 59%, some three percent higher than in previous elections, but somewhat lower than the 2012 landmark race that brought Georgian Dream to power. While the opposition expected a higher turnout to be in its favor, the official results showed a drastically different picture.
Trends in CEC Official Data
According to official data, Georgian Dream won comfortably in most regions of Georgia but lost or was relatively close to losing in major cities.
GD had its strongest lead in the southern regions of Samtkhe-Javakheti (over 87% in Ninotsminda and Akhalkalaki districts) and Kvemo Kartli (between 67% and 82% in most districts). These include remote and ethnic minority-settled constituencies that have been traditional strongholds of Georgia’s ruling parties. However, the GD lost in Rustavi, the central city of Kvemo Kartli, about 20 km from Tbilisi, where it received 41.4% of votes.
CEC results show that the ruling party also secured confident victories in the mountainous regions of Svaneti (over 70% support) and Racha-Lechkhumi (over 60%), as well as Guria and Adjara regions.
Georgian Dream lost the Georgian capital to the opposition, receiving about 42% of the vote against the combined 46% of four opposition alliances plus 5.3% of the libertarian Girchi.
GD vs combined share of four major opposition forces in major cities, according to CEC results
CEC data show close races in other large cities, such as Kutaisi (Imereti), Poti (Samegrelo), and Batumi (Adjara), where Georgian Dream finished below 50% but received more votes than the four pro-Western opposition coalitions. GD finished with 48% in opposition-run Tsalenjikha (Samegrelo), which is also more than the share of four opposition alliances combined.
The ruling party won the rest of Samegrelo’s districts, three years after it had conceded some of the municipal councils there to the opposition in the 2021 local elections. However, the Georgian Dream lost dramatically to the opposition in the overseas districts, where the ruling party received only 15% of the emigrant vote.
2020 vs 2024 Vote
According to official data, Georgian Dream secured 1,118,836 real votes, about 191,000 more than in the previous, 2020 parliamentary elections. The Unity – to Save Georgia alliance, led by the United National Movement, the former ruling party, on the other hand, received 210,895 votes (10.16%), less than half as many as in 2020, when UNM alone received 523,127 votes. This is partly explainable as the party ceded some of its leadership and voters to a new alliance, the Coalition for Change, which received 229,006 votes (11.04%). However, the combined total of the UNM-led alliance and the Coalition for Change is still 83,226 votes less than UNM’s 2020 result.
The Strong Georgia alliance, led by Lelo for Georgia, came out stronger than Lelo’s 2020 results, garnering 182,891 votes (8.81%) presumably due to the inclusion of several smaller forces in the coalition. It is the first time that the For Georgia party, led by former Prime Minister Giorgi Gakharia, has participated in a parliamentary race. The party received 161,250 votes (7.77%).
The official results show the Georgian Dream’s share slightly lower compared to the Gorbi exit polls commissioned by pro-government Imedi TV, while the official results are in dramatic contrast to the exit polls conducted by HarrisX (for pro-opposition Mtavari Arkhi) Edison Research (for opposition-leaning Formula-TV), with the latter being known traditionally as most accurate in election-day polling. Both HarrisX and Edison Research had projected the opposition as winners.
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