|
法國國會選舉非官方結果 -- CBS
|
瀏覽3,034 ｜回應12｜推薦1 |
|
|
|
都鬆了口氣。
請參見：《馬克洪總統：當代馬夏維里》、《《馬克洪總統：當代馬夏維里》讀後》、和《5個等著上位的西方政客》。
French leftists coalition projected to win most seats in pivotal legislative elections
CBS, 07/07/24
An unusually high turnout of voters spelled the end of the French far right's dream of taking power in the legislature.
A coalition on the left that came together unexpectedly ahead of France's snap election won the most parliamentary seats in the vote, according to early projections. The surprising result put President Emmanuel Macron's centrist alliance in second and the far right dropped to third place.
With no party having the outright majority, France is likely heading to a coalition government, plunging France into political and economic turmoil.
Final results are not expected until late Sunday or early Monday in the highly volatile snap election, which was called just four weeks ago in a huge gamble for Macron.
The deeply unpopular president took a huge gamble in dissolving parliament and calling for the elections after his centrists were trounced in European elections on June 9.
The snap elections in this nuclear-armed nation will influence the war in Ukraine, global diplomacy and Europe's economic stability, and they're almost certain to undercut Macron for the remaining three years of his presidency.
It does not appear to have paid off for the deeply unpopular president, whose alliance has lost control of parliament, according to the projections. Marine Le Pen's far right greatly increased the number of seats it holds, meanwhile, but fell far short of expectations.
France now faces the prospect of weeks of political machinations to determine who will be prime minister and lead the National Assembly. And Macron faces the prospect of leading the country alongside a prime minister opposed to most of his domestic policies.
French leftist leader Jean-Luc Mélenchon called the projections an "immense relief for a majority of people in our country" and he demanded the resignation of the prime minister. Mélenchon is the most prominent of the leftist leaders who unexpectedly came together ahead of the two-round elections.
The projections, if confirmed by official counts, will spell intense uncertainty for a pillar of the European Union and its second-largest economy, with no clarity about who might partner with Macron as prime minister in governing France. He faces the prospect of leading the country alongside a prime minister opposed to most of his domestic policies.
The polling projections are projections based on the actual vote count in select constituencies.
A hung parliament with no single bloc coming close to getting the 289 seats needed for an absolute majority in the National Assembly, the more powerful of France's two legislative chambers, would be unknown territory for modern France.
Unlike other countries in Europe that are more accustomed to coalition governments, France doesn't have a tradition of lawmakers from rival political camps coming together to form a working majority.
Voters at a Paris polling station were acutely aware of the far-reaching consequences for France and beyond.
"The individual freedoms, tolerance and respect for others is what at stake today," said Thomas Bertrand, a 45-year-old voter who works in advertising.
Racism and antisemitism have marred the electoral campaign, along with Russian cybercampaigns, and more than 50 candidates reported being physically attacked — highly unusual for France. The government deployed 30,000 police on voting day.
The heightened tensions come while France is celebrating a very special summer: Paris is about to host exceptionally ambitious Olympic Games, the national soccer team reached the semifinal of the Euro 2024 championship, and the Tour de France is racing around the country alongside the Olympic torch.
Reflecting the high stakes, people turned out in large numbers not normally seen for a legislative election, after decades of deepening voter apathy for such votes and, for a growing number of French people, politics in general. As of 5 p.m. local time, turnout was at 59.7%, according to France's Interior Ministry, the highest at that time in the voting day since 1981. During the first round, the nearly 67% turnout was the highest since 1997.
Pierre Lubin, a 45-year-old business manager, was worried about whether the elections would produce an effective government.
"This is a concern for us," Lubin said. "Will it be a technical government or a coalition government made up of (various) political forces?"
No matter what happens, Macron's centrist camp will be forced to share power. Many of his alliances' candidates lost in the first round or withdrew, meaning it doesn't have enough people running to come anywhere close to the majority he had in 2017 when he was was first elected president, or the plurality he got in the 2022 legislative vote.
Both would be unprecedented for modern France, and make it more difficult for the European Union's No. 2 economy to make bold decisions on arming Ukraine, reforming labor laws or reducing its huge deficit. Financial markets have been jittery since Macron surprised even his closest allies in June by announcing snap elections after the National Rally won the most seats for France in European Parliament elections.
Regardless of what happens, Macron said he won't step down and will stay president until his term ends in 2027.
Many French voters, especially in small towns and rural areas, are frustrated with low incomes and a Paris political leadership seen as elitist and unconcerned with workers' day-to-day struggles. National Rally has connected with those voters, often by blaming immigration for France's problems, and has built up broad and deep support over the past decade.
Le Pen has softened many of the party's positions — she no longer calls for quitting NATO and the EU — to make it more electable. But the party's core far-right values remain. It wants a referendum on whether being born in France is enough to merit citizenship, to curb the rights of dual citizens, and to give police more freedom to use weapons.
With the uncertain outcome looming over the high-stakes elections, Valerie Dodeman, a 55-year-old legal expert said she is pessimistic about the future of France.
"No matter what happens, I think this election will leave people disgruntled on all sides," Dodeman said.
本文於 修改第 3 次
|
|
國民聯盟為什麼贏不了這次國會選舉-John Leicester
|
|
|
推薦1 |
|
|
|
一般來說，各國選民都有相當水準；美國或許是個例外。只是關鍵時刻還需要候選人以大局為重；可惜那年台灣出了個宋楚瑜；今年美國有一個近於癡呆的拜登。
The far right seemed to have a lock on France's legislative elections. Here's why it didn't win
JOHN LEICESTER, 07/09/24
PARIS (AP) — Seemingly so close, and yet still so far away.
French far-right leader Marine Le Pen looked to be nearer to power than ever last week after her National Rally party, strengthened by new allies, triumphed in the opening round of legislative elections. Its first place wasn't a hole-in- one but looked like an impressive position to possibly win or get close to an absolute parliamentary majority in the decisive runoff.
But what Le Pen hoped would be a watershed victory turned into another setback. Although her party won more National Assembly seats than ever, it yet again hit a wall of voters who don't believe the National Rally should govern France or has shed its links to racism, antisemitism and the country's still painful World War II past of collaboration with Nazi Germany.
“The tide is rising,” Le Pen said. “It did not rise high enough this time.”
France's ‘Republican front’ again blocks Le Pen's way
This was by no means the first time that French voters and the far-right's political rivals maneuvered strategically between voting rounds to block its path in a runoff.
The same thing happened most notably to Le Pen's father, Jean-Marie Le Pen, in the presidential elections of 2002. The fiery ex-paratrooper, a co-founder of what was then called the National Front, which initially included Nazi-era collaborators, had multiple convictions for antisemitic hate speech, having repeatedly described the Holocaust's gas chambers as “a detail" of WWII history.
Yet he stunned France and its partners in Europe and beyond by advancing from the election's first round into the winner-takes-all runoff against Jacques Chirac. There, horrified French voters massively said, “Non!” They overwhelming rejected Le Pen, with even leftists voting to put Chirac, a conservative, in the presidential Elysee Palace.
That so-called “Republican front," the process of French voters temporarily putting their political allegiances aside solely to keep the far right from power, has worked repeatedly since. It helped defeat Marine Le Pen in two presidential runoffs, in 2017 and 2022, losing to Emmanuel Macron in both, and again blocked her party's path to hoped-for victory in the legislative runoffs this weekend.
Macron's narrower but still comfortable victory in 2022 and a breakthrough for Le Pen's by-then rebranded National Rally in follow-up legislative elections, where it won an unprecedented 89 seats, were both interpreted as signals that the “Republican front” was starting to crack and that it might just be a question of time before it gives way completely.
But it functioned with surprising effectiveness Sunday and in the week leading up to the decisive vote. A coalition of left-wing parties that banded together for these elections to counter the far-right surge and Macron's centrist alliance withdrew dozens of candidates who advanced to round two but did not look like winning.
The strategy helped concentrate votes on remaining candidates in head-to-head runoff contests against far-right opponents, contributing to defeats for hundreds of them. The National Rally and its allies won 104 runoffs — fewer than 1-in-4 of those they contested and way short of their expectations.
Their total of 143 first- and second-round victories still gives the National Rally an unprecedented presence in the 577-seat National Assembly. But it's still only the third-largest bloc, behind the leftist coalition and Macron's alliance, in the new and hung parliament where none came close to an absolute majority.
Jordan Bardella, Le Pen's 28-year-old protégé who she'd been hoping to install as prime minister, grumbled that "the alliance of dishonor” between the National Rally's rivals kept it from power.
National Rally spokesman Laurent Jacobelli spoke of “a democratic hold-up."
Pollster Brice Teinturier said the “Republican front" was “even more powerful” than had been anticipated, showing that despite Le Pen's yearslong efforts to sanitize the image of her party, it still “causes fear, worry that has mobilized people.”
“They repel more than they attract,” said French analyst François Heisbourg, who specializes in defense and security questions at the International Institute for Strategic Studies.
"And the closer they get to the goal, the more the repelling factor weighs in."
Voters react against National Rally ‘casting errors’
The National Rally ran a polished campaign heading into the elections, toning down its platform and rhetoric and pushing social-media heavyweight Bardella to the fore.
But scrutiny of the party's candidates by French media and concerned citizens raised embarrassing questions about their suitability to potentially serve as lawmakers.
After Ludivine Daoudi qualified for round two, winning nearly 20% of the vote in her Normandy district in the first round, the National Rally announced it was withdrawing her when a photo of her wearing a Nazi officer’s cap, with a swastika, emerged on social media.
Some candidates struggled to answer elementary policy questions. French media background checks on others found that one woman once held a town employee hostage at gunpoint and that another appeared ineligible to serve as a lawmaker because he was subject to a court-ordered guardianship.
Others faced scrutiny for right-wing extremist affiliations and unsavory comments. The National Rally stuck by a candidate who'd reportedly once tweeted that “gas brought justice to the victims of the Shoah,” saying his post was taken out of context.
“We made some mistakes, we acknowledge it,” said National Rally lawmaker Bruno Clavet, who won his seat in northern France outright in round one.
"We made some casting errors, regional party officials did not do their job properly,” he said.
AP journalist Diane Jeantet in Paris contributed to this report.
本文於 修改第 3 次
|
|
法國國會選舉之各方反應 --- 路透社
|
|
|
推薦1 |
|
|
|
France election: political leaders react to upset result
Reuters, 07/08/24
PARIS (Reuters) -Following are reactions to the upset results of France's parliamentary election on Sunday. The country was on course for a hung parliament with the left-wing New Popular Front (NFP) coming first, ahead of President Emmanuel Macron's centrists and the far-right National Rally (RN).
PRIME MINISTER GABRIEL ATTAL
"Tonight, the (political) extremes have no absolute majority, thanks to our determination and the strength of our values. We (centrists) have three times more MPs than were predicted at the start of this campaign.
"Being prime minister was the honour of my life. This evening the political group that I represent no longer has a majority and tomorrow morning I will submit my resignation to the president."
JORDAN BARDELLA, FAR-RIGHT NATIONAL RALLY PARTY
"I say tonight with gravity that depriving millions of French people of the possibility of seeing their ideas brought to power will never be a viable destiny for France.
"Tonight, by deliberately trying to paralyze our institutions, Emmanuel Macron has not simply pushed the country towards uncertainty and instability, he has deprived the French people of any response to their day-to-day difficulties for many months to come.
"In the midst of a purchasing power crisis, with insecurity and disorder hitting the country hard, France is deprived of a majority, of a government to act, and therefore of a clear course to turn France around."
JEAN-LUC MELENCHON, HARD-LEFT FRANCE UNBOWED PARTY
"The will of the people must be strictly respected. No arrangement would be acceptable. The defeat of the president and his coalition is clearly confirmed. The president must accept his defeat.
"The prime minister must go. The president must invite the New Popular Front to govern."
FRANCOIS HOLLANDE, FORMER SOCIALIST PRESIDENT
"The New Popular Front must realise what it has to do today. It is the strongest party in the National Assembly. It does not have an absolute majority. As I speak, it has a relative majority."
RAPHAEL GLUCKSMANN, SOCIALIST PARTY
"We're ahead, but we're in a divided parliament ... so we're going to have to act like grown-ups.
"We're going to have to talk, to discuss, to engage in dialogue ... The balance of power has shifted in parliament ... and there's going to be a fundamental change of political culture."
OLIVIER FAURE, SOCIALIST PARTY
"We have to do our utmost to reunite the country. The RN had made the choice of dividing French citizens from one another. We must put the country back on a clear path and the New Popular Front must take the lead in this new chapter of our history."
EDOUARD PHILIPPE, FORMER PRIME MINISTER AND LEADER OF CENTRIST HORIZONS PARTY
"We're going to have to listen to the country, look the world and reality in the face, and work hard to propose a coherent, solid project to the French people.
“This work, I'm ready to say, cannot be the work of a single man or a small group of experts, it must bring together the widest possible range of intelligence and experience.
"The credibility of our country could be damaged by this and the centrist political forces must without compromise make an agreement to stabilize politics but without France Unbowed and the RN."
POLISH PRIME MINISTER DONALD TUSK
"In Paris enthusiasm, in Moscow disappointment, in Kyiv relief. Enough to be happy in Warsaw."
PAOLO GENTILONI, EUROPEAN COMMISSIONER FOR ECONOMY
"Vive la Republique!"
NILS SCHMID, MEMBER OF GERMAN PARLIAMENT AND FOREIGN POLICY SPOKESPERSON FOR SPD PARTY IN THE BUNDESTAG
"The worst has been avoided... The president is politically weakened, even if he retains a central role in view of the unclear majority situation. Forming a government will be complicated."
(Compiled by Estelle Shirbon;Editing by Frances Kerry and Emelia Sithole-Matarise)
本文於 修改第 1 次
|
|
|
本城市首頁
看回應文章
等級：8
