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亓官先生
胡卜凱

相對於社會學和心理學,我對政治學的興趣開始得比較晚。一方面從1415歲開始,我主要想了解的問題在倫理學;另一方面,我和大多數人一樣,性向上急功近利;對政治學的興趣始於軍事學。

大學一年級前後我讀了徐訏先生的《回到個人主義與自由主義》,印象深刻35歲以前,我在聖荷西大學附近舊書攤上,買了常常被其他學者介紹和引用的《君王論》和《政府論》,但大概都只讀了1/41/3。不過,馬克思的政治經濟學批判我倒是讀得非常仔細,此書也構成我對政治的基本理解。當然,之後偶而也會涉獵一些政治學方面的書籍,但為數不多。

2002年以前,除了以上四本經典名著之外,我對政治/政治學的了解,大部分來自新聞報導和報紙/期刊上的政治評論。2001年我退休以後開使在網上漫遊由於在不同論壇上經常和其他網友就政治理論與實際議題進行討論,我不時有「書到用時方恨少」的感慨。於是我開始花較多時間閱讀「政治學」領域的書籍

我對「政治」的「定義以及對「民主政治」的詮釋,都是根據以往30多年對政治實務的觀察,以及這段時間對政治理論的領悟,綜合兩者而形成。

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目的現實論和方法現實論 ---- Francis Fukuyama
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下文中各節序號和子標題均為編者所加。此外,某些段落字數冗長,讀起來吃力;我根據「一段一個主題」原則,把它們分為幾個小段落。

How realism gets the world profoundly wrong

There’s a better version than the one you studied in poli-sci.

Francis Fukuyama, 09/10/26

0. 
前言

If you take a university-level course in international relations these days, you will be taught that there are several frameworks for understanding how international politics works: liberalism, realism, neorealism, constructivism and the like. Realism has gotten
fresh attention since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, in particular through the writing and advocacy of University of Chicago professor John Mearsheimer and the work of places such as the Quincy Institute.

1. 
目的現實論

There are in fact two types of realism, a “realism of means” and a “realism of ends.” I have known Mearsheimer since we were graduate students, and he has built his career around the latter. Mearsheimer’s realism is seen as a counterpoint to the democratic messianism said to have been infecting American foreign policy over the years, in which the United States has allegedly tried to reshape the world in its own liberal-democratic image through the use of force. But this kind of realism cannot account for why the U.S. behaves the way it does — and it is, in certain respects, profoundly wrong.

In the realism of ends, all states are said to pursue national interest, defined in terms of power and security. They may dress up this drive in the elevated language of democracy or human rights, but ultimately they all seek the same thing: maximization of their power.

This type of realism sees the international system as anarchic, with no overall sovereign or common set of rules to regulate state behavior. Hence one state’s search for security inevitably threatens the security of others; peace emerges only because a balance of power deters any one state from overreaching. States in the international system are like billiard balls. You cannot look inside them to see their goals; what you can know is their mass, velocity and position on the table.

2. 
目的現實論盲點

Realism of ends has always struck me as reductionist and oversimplified. In that respect, it is like the rational utility maximizer model of neoclassical economics that reduces all behavior to the pursuit of material gain.

Of course power and relative international position matter, but nation-states are complex actors whose behavior is intimately connected to the domestic politics taking place inside them.

National interest” is not a fixed characteristic, any more than is “utility” in economic theory. National interest can be defined in a variety of ways, often reflecting a country’s governing values.

The United States has always seen the promotion of liberal democracy as part of its national identity. It has never pursued this goal single-mindedly and has consequently opened itself up to charges of hypocrisy.

But it has often mobilized its own people to sacrifice and international involvement to support a liberal and democratic world order. If the U.S. were simply trying to maximize its power, it would not act this way. In this regard, the realism of ends gets the world wrong.

3. 
方法現實論

I subscribe instead to a realism of means. I believe that liberal values and power shape the United States’ role in the world, while being realistic about both the extent to which the U.S. can prioritize democracy and the means by which such a goal could be achieved.

Even if America’s national purpose is to assure the survival of democracy and human rights abroad, this cannot be done without power. That power can be economic, social or cultural, but what really matters is military power.

Authoritarian leaders such as Adolf Hitler or Russian president Vladimir Putin can be stopped only by military means. Russia has violated countless human rights laws and norms in its invasion of Ukraine, but the one thing that will bring an end to these violations is defeat on the battlefield.

Diplomacy needs to be backed by force or the threat of force. It is not the case that all wars end by negotiation — many conclude with a decisive victory of one side over the other.

Consider the federal government’s victory over the Confederacy in the Civil War, or the Allied defeat of Germany and Japan in World War II. The only things that were negotiated in these cases were the terms of surrender. You may not favor the victorious side, but this kind of settlement tends to be much more durable than those in which evenly matched rivals come to a diplomatic settlement.

Henry Kissinger shared a Nobel Prize for negotiating the end to the Vietnam War, but
the accord was violated the moment the Vietnamese Communists felt they could defeat South Vietnam on the battlefield.

The realism of means, however, does not dictate the ends a state seeks. During the 1991 Gulf War, the United States intervened to uphold the principle of
state sovereignty. It sought neither the broad goal of bringing democracy to the Persian Gulf nor the narrower one of access to oil. It used violent means to achieve this goal.

But the realism of means is not necessarily a formula for militarism or aggression; rather, it often implies that a great power must show restraint in its pursuit of objectives, however defined.

4. 
方法現實論案例

The fundamental problem with the Iraq War, which began with the U.S. invasion of Iraq in March 2003, was that the George W. Bush administration’s goals
had broadened to regime change. Its immediate objective was the elimination of Iraq’s supposed stockpile of weapons of mass destruction, and policymakers believed this could not be done as long as Saddam Hussein remained in power. But the U.S. did not have the power to create a stable, friendly regime in Saddam’s place.

When no such weapons were found, the administration turned to democracy promotion to justify what was becoming a bloody and costly debacle. Bush’s second inaugural address presented a soaring vision of a world transformed by universal democracy and laid the geopolitical problems of the Middle East at the doorstep of Arab dictatorships.

This rhetoric was a profound mistake: It led people around the world to believe that military force would be the primary instrument for spreading democracy and that American aims in that regard were universal and unlimited.

The United States struggled mightily to stabilize post-Saddam Iraq and was not remotely able to bring about this more expansive end. A realism of means might have accepted a democratic Middle East as a very long-term objective, but it would have abjured the use of raw military power to bring this about in the short run.

5. 
結論

No matter how much American foreign policy may be caricatured as overly idealistic, the country’s rhetorical commitment to a liberal international order and support for democracy around the world has provided a principled basis for continuing involvement in international affairs.

It has focused U.S. attention on abuses of power abroad that are actually susceptible to U.S. influence. It has also facilitated democratic transitions in places such as Chile, the Philippines and South Korea.

Whereas a realism of ends wishes to disregard ideals altogether, a realism of means guides American principles to where they may actually bear fruit.


Francis Fukuyama is the author of “The End of History and the Last Man” and, most recently, “
In the Realm of the Last Man: A Memoir,” from which this article is adapted.

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系統層次的虛無論 -- Prasoon Jadon
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這位傑登先生所描述的現象跟無論」沒有半毛錢關係;提出「道家」和康德的名號,大概想藉此掩飾什麼吧。如果他連「無論」都在胡扯,應該入不了「道家」和康德哲學的門檻。

Systematic Nihilism: When a Society Stops Believing in Change

Prasoon Jadon, 07/27/26

Yesterday, I was reading about nihilism. For those who are unfamiliar with it, nihilism is a philosophical perspective that questions whether life has any inherent meaning, purpose, or value. While there are different forms of nihilism, many people associate it with the belief that life is ultimately meaningless.

As I read about it, I felt somewhat depressed. I have previously written essays on Taoism, Kant, and my own philosophical ideas, but today I want to examine nihilism from a broader social and political perspective.

I want to explore what happens when an entire society begins to believe that its political system is meaningless. For this discussion, I will call this idea “systematic nihilism.

Imagine a country where a political party is elected into power. During its first term, it works hard and gains public support. However, after being re-elected, it begins to neglect the needs of the people. Propaganda increases, social divisions deepen, and conflicts between religious groups are encouraged. Over time, citizens become frustrated and lose faith in the political system. Eventually, many begin to think, “Nothing is going to change. The system is meaningless. We cannot do anything.”

What happens next?

If people truly believe that the system is meaningless, they may stop participating in it. They may stop voting because they no longer believe their votes matter. Trust is one of the foundations of modern society. Political institutions, laws, and governments function because people collectively believe in them and agree to follow them.

Unlike mountains or rivers, political systems are human creations. They exist because people accept and support them. When that support disappears, the system begins to weaken. Citizens disengage from public life, political participation declines, and many young people seek opportunities elsewhere. As more people lose faith, the pillars that hold the system together start to crumble.

This is what I mean by systematic nihilism: not the belief that life is meaningless, but the belief that social and political systems are incapable of improvement. When enough people adopt this mindset, a society risks stagnation and decline.

However, it would be incorrect to say that nihilism itself is always dangerous. The real danger arises when disbelief turns into complete apathy. A society can survive criticism, skepticism, and even cynicism, but it struggles to survive when its citizens no longer believe that change is possible.

Therefore, the greatest threat is not nihilism alone. It is the loss of collective faith in the possibility of reform. Once people stop believing that their actions matter, participation declines, institutions weaken, and democracy itself is placed at risk.


Written by Prasoon Jadon

Writing about technology, society, and the human mind—through code, philosophy, and art. 

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伊朗內部爭奪資源分配權之爭 - Mostafa Salem
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所謂的「強硬派」其實是:一群自認為有「資格」或「功勞」分到多幾根骨頭,但沒有拿到自己認為該有份額的人。「強硬」云云只是這些人拿來掩飾或「正當化」個人「貪婪欲」的羊頭。

同理,「溫和派」其實是:一群拿到甜頭而又了解「見好就收」這個「硬道理」的聰明人。

拙作
美、伊「和議草案」小評》(該2026/06/18貼文第2.3-1)小節)已經略有提及

Iran’s hardliners warn of a ‘coup’ as US truce comes under pressure

Mostafa Salem, 07/18/26

As Iran’s President Masoud Pezeshkian walked alongside the coffin of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in Tehran last week, some of the black-clad mourners surrounding him chanted not in tribute to the late leader, but directly at him – “death to the compromiser.”

Not far from that site, Abbas Araghchi, Iran’s top diplomat who negotiated a ceasefire with the Trump administration and lifted some sanctions on the Islamic Republic, was forced to flee the funeral after a mob pelted him with rocks amid death chants accusing him
of being a “traitorous sellout.”

The hostility directed at top officials
during the funeral reflects a theory that has been gaining traction within the Islamic Republic’s most radical factions for months: that Iran’s wartime leaders who negotiated and signed the agreement with Washington are staging a soft coup against the Islamic Republic and its revolutionary ideals while the new supreme leader remains largely invisible for fear of his life – or, as some have suggested, because he is incapacitated.

The
hardline factions that attended the funeral in large numbers believe that instead of avenging Khamenei’s killing, Iranian officials have surrendered by signing an agreement that defies the orders of Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, the late leader’s son and successor. But Khamenei has remained hidden from public view, neither addressing the nation directly nor visibly asserting his authority, even as officials negotiate or govern in his name.

Hardliners have accused Iran’s visible leadership – those running and representing the country as Khamenei remains in hiding – of plotting to consolidate power by suspending parliament, defying his orders in negotiations and attempting to disperse the nightly street rallies that had become a potent power base for fundamentalists.

“Warning to the people of Iran: Is a coup on the way??” Mahmoud Nabavian, an outspoken radical lawmaker, asked on X days
before Khamenei’s funeral.

“In these moments of farewell to the martyred Imam (Khamenei), we raise the banner of vengeance for his blood and stand firm against the coup,” he wrote days later.

In Mojtaba’s absence, chief negotiator
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, Pezeshkian  and Araghchi have become the most visible faces in charge of post-war Iran. Without access to the new supreme leader, hardliners who are unhappy with their performance have instead accused them of plotting a coup, Arash Azizi, a US-based Iran expert and author of the book “What Iranians Want,” told CNN.

“Mojtaba’s continued absence means that they don’t have access to him and also that Ghalibaf and allies are effectively in charge of the country… the ultra-hardliners have thus accused Ghalibaf and Pezeshkian of plotting a ‘coup’ against Mojtaba,” Azizi said.

‘Us,
the blade and your throat’

Despite widespread calls for wartime unity across Iran, the weeklong grand funeral for Khamenei, killed in late February in Israeli airstrikes coordinated with the United States, became a powerful showcase for the Islamic Republic’s most hardline supporters. They used the occasion to amplify demands to avenge their leader through renewed war with Washington and to declare their rejection of any agreement with Trump.

Their wish now appears to have been fulfilled.
A fragile ceasefire between Iran and the US all but collapsed this week after the Revolutionary Guards launched attacks on shipping in the Strait of Hormuz to assert control over the waterway. That prompted retaliatory strikes by Washington and fresh demands by Iranian hardliners to scrap the truce.

In the weeks before hostilities broke out, hardliners turned their fury on the leaders who signed the deal with the US.

“Mr President, if the leader’s conditions are not fulfilled, then it will be us, the blade and your throat,” Mohammad Ali Bakhshi,
a security-linked “Maddah” – or religious singer who is loyal to the Iranian regime – warned Pezeshkian during a ceremony. “We will bring hell upon you.”

The open threat to kill the president was widely criticized, but Bakhshi is not known to have faced any legal repercussions.

Other officials under hardline scrutiny include
Iran’s chief negotiator with the US, Ghalibaf, a former Revolutionary Guard commander with deep political experience whose credentials enabled him to step up and take charge during the war, emerging as the regime’s de-facto lead operator with broad acceptability.

“They are trying to elevate the role of the Supreme Council for National Security while diminishing the role of the supreme leader and parliament,” Kamran Ghazanfari, a hardline parliamentarian, said in a video statement early July, referring
to the council now deciding the country’s most sensitive wartime affairs. “This is the political coup they have designed and are carrying out step by step.”

Sidelining the radicals

On Tuesday, Nabavian, the hardline lawmaker who fiercely opposes the agreement and has been one of the leading voices warning of a “coup,” was removed from his position on the parliament’s National Security Commission, along with another parliamentarian critical of the deal.

Nabavian, who was part of Iran’s negotiating delegation before turning against the talks and attempted to derail the agreement by leaking the text to the media before it was signed last month, claimed that Iran’s negotiating team were defying the supreme leader’s red lines in their talks with the US. CNN could not reach Nabavian for comment.

He and others echo the views of “Jebhe-ye Paydari” (the Endurance Front) whose hardline members are often described by observers as “Super Revolutionaries.” They see themselves as the guardians of the values of the 1979 revolution that overthrew the pro-Western monarch and established an Islamic theocracy.

Experts say Iran’s visible leaders are actively trying to marginalize them.

“We’re seeing Ghalibaf exerting influence to sideline these hardline elements,” Hamidreza Azizi, a visiting fellow at the German Institute for International and Security Affairs, told CNN. “They are too costly for the system and they’re bringing their rivalries out in the open especially as the situation in Iran becomes unstable.”

Their numbers are small, but they hold influential positions across the country, including in parliament and at the national broadcaster IRIB, which launched its own campaigns against the president.

It’s unclear how much support the group commands, but one of its most prominent figures –
former national security chief Saeed Jalili – garnered more than 13 million votes in the 2024 elections, finishing second. Iran’s population is around 93 million.

Over the months of war and diplomacy with Iran, Trump has repeatedly described the Islamic Republic as “seriously fractured,” arguing that internal divisions have hindered any agreement. Yet despite the visible splits between the new leaders and the hardliners, observers say the regime remains unified around a core objective of ending the war on terms that deliver sanctions relief and preserve Tehran’s control over the Strait of Hormuz.

Still, Khamenei’s continued absence, his conditional support for the truce, the growing empowerment of the Revolutionary Guards, and the massive attendance at his father’s funeral have emboldened hardliners who instead are now pushing their own aggressive agenda to continue the war with the US and Israel.

“My suggestion is that we go to one of the US bases in the region, where there are hundreds, maybe thousands of these American terrorists,” former Iranian foreign minister and hardline figure Manouchehr Mottaki said in a televised interview on Wednesday. “It would be enough if we take 100 soldiers and bring them back to Iran.”


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美國政治:民主制?共和制? - Barbara Clark Smith
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A democracy or a republic? History shows that some Americans are asking the wrong question

Barbara Clark Smith, 05/04/26

As the nation observes its 250th birthday, historians can help settle one present-day dispute: Is the United States a democracy or a republic?

For years,
advocates have argued the point.

Yet the question itself is misleading. It assumes that the categories constructed by political theorists neatly describe actual practice.

As
a historian of early America, I know this nation has always been unwieldy, its institutions hammered out from conflicting ideals and the pragmatic lessons of lived experience. Just as Britain today is both a monarchy and a democracy, so the U.S. has always been a hybrid.

Ideals of both republicanism and democracy have shaped the nation. To understand how requires a history lesson.

No purity

James Madison’s essay, known as Federalist X, was published under the pseudonym ‘Publius’ in the New York Daily Advertiser on Nov. 22, 1787.
Library of Congress

Let’s start with a famous definition. Here is the often-quoted
Father of the Constitution,” James Madison, urging Americans to ratify the new frame of government proposed by the Constitutional Convention in 1787.

In
Federalist essay No. 10, Madison distinguished two sorts of governments for his readers.

One was a “pure democracy,” which he described as “a society consisting of a small number of citizens, who assemble and administer the government in person.” A New England town meeting might qualify for this definition, where voters assembled to choose town officers and approve local bylaws.

The other type of government was a “republic,” defined as “
a government in which the scheme of representation takes place” – meaning where the people’s chosen representatives made governing decisions for them.

That seems cut and dried. Surely no one thought the entire population of 13 states could work like a town meeting.

But Madison here was saying only that the possibility of a “pure” democracy was impractical. He was by no means banishing all democratic ideas and institutions.

As the French theorist Montesquieu had noted, republics were of varying sorts. Some republics were aristocratic, controlled by a relative few who were set above the rest. Other republics were democratic, engaging many more in the ongoing affairs of government.

What was at stake in the U.S. in 1787 wasn’t a “pure” democracy nor a “pure” republic. The issue was how aristocratic – and how democratic – the American scheme of representation would be.

Who would be represented – the many or the few?

‘Actual’ representation

America had never been the home of an aristocracy in the British sense. Besides, the Revolution had discredited the very idea of hereditary power.
There would be no House of Lords, filled with titled men born into political power and a special set of legal privileges denied to ordinary people. The people alone would be sovereign, and all authority to govern derived, directly or indirectly, from them.

Even so, the problem of aristocracy remained. After all, it had been the lower house of Parliament – the House of Commons, not of Lords – that had
sparked the imperial debate when it tried to tax and legislate for the Colonists.

Not nobility, members of the Commons still formed a remote and ambitious elite. None was elected by American voters or
even necessarily informed about the Colonists’ lives. Apologists for Parliament claimed that the Commons “virtually” represented the Colonies anyway.

But the Colonists watched the
Commons ignore American grievances while favoring private interests – East India Company shareholders, for example – that served wealthy British gentlemen such as themselves.

Many concluded that the members of the House of Commons did not “actually” represent either the poor of Britain or the
growing population of the continental Colonies.

In contrast, “
patriot” Americans pointed to the legislative assemblies established in each colony soon after its founding.

Needing to attract British settlers, and following the British model, each colony
established an elected house of the legislature to provide a check to governors and upper houses that were appointed by the king or a wealthy Colonial proprietor.

Law and custom required that delegates to these assemblies live among their constituents. Although they were men of some fortune and standing in their districts, assemblymen might plausibly “
actually represent” their lesser neighbors.

In the lead-up to the Revolution, patriots used new measures to ensure their representatives’ fidelity: They called for vigilant popular oversight of government decision, publicized those decisions in the press, wrote constituent instructions for legislators and winnowed out noncompliant officeholders at election time.

Individual and collective liberties

With independence, 
Americans created a patchwork of new, representative state governments. South Carolina empowered its wealthy planter elite by setting a high property-holding requirement for voters and a higher one for officeholders. Pennsylvania and Vermont adopted unprecedentedly democratic systems that allowed a large proportion of the white male population to participate in government.

By 1787, some Americans thought there was
too much popular democracy – too much power given to nonelite members of society, especially within state governments.

The Constitution adopted restraints on democracy –
a Senate appointed by state legislatures, an electoral college that put the choice of president at a remove from the people, a supremacy clause that allowed national laws to supersede, or contravene, state laws.

At the same time, a commitment to democracy was also evident in the U.S. frame of government.

Founder James Madison, frustrated when pushed to define the U.S. government, said the ordinary ‘political vocabulary’ fell short.
Painting by Gilbert Stuart, National Gallery

The Constitution set
no property requirements for federal officeholders. It left suffrage requirements up to individual states, some of which already extended the vote to all male taxpayers.

Equally important, the ratification process produced a consensus
that a bill of rights was necessary to protect ordinary people’s rights and liberties from government overreach.

These first 10 amendments would
defend individual rights but also collective rights of the people, such as their right to assemble, to petition the government or even to change it.

The Bill of Rights also
protected a free press. It ensured that ordinary free men would still serve in armed militias when their state needed protection. And they would still sit on grand and petit juries to enforce the law or prevent its overreach.

These were the sorts of institutions that the
lawyer John Adams called “democratical.”

More and better democracy

Within a few decades, the common phrase for the American system became “democracy.”

Madison had been inconsistent in how he used the term. In the 1790s and 1800s he called himself a “
Democratic Republican,” in opposition to the allegedly aristocratic party, the Federalists.
Decades later, Madison was frustrated when pushed to define the U.S. government more precisely. Ordinary “political vocabulary” fell short, he wrote. The American system was “so unexampled in its origin, so complex in its structure, and
so peculiar in some of its features” that it was best understood as something new.

How aristocratic? How democratic? The question of 1787 has returned repeatedly to face Americans.

Elites with aristocratic aspirations have repeatedly tried to build permanent governing hierarchies. American history is partly the story of these contests – Free-Soilers against a slaveholding elite, reformers against wealthy “barons” of the Gilded Age, critics of inequality against billionaires who shape government policies today. In such cases, Americans have often turned to more and better democracy, their necessary resource for pressing their political leaders to actually represent the people.

Following Madison’s advice, Americans today can refuse to be misled into describing the U.S. in a single, inadequate term.

They might prize both of these historic commitments: to a republic that insists on the people’s right to be represented rather than ruled, and to a democracy that ensures that ordinary people might collectively make it so.



Barbara Clark Smith
, Curator, Division of Political History, Smithsonian Institution

Disclosure statement

Barbara Clark Smith does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.


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*
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*
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*
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*
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*
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*
James Madison
*
Federalist Papers

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中國「政治文化」懶人包 ---- J. S. H. Riley
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用這麼大的課題來標示800字文章,下文作者還真是「不怕風大閃了舌頭」。另一方面,從全文最後一段可以看得出:他大概有兩把刷子(該欄開欄文第0.2小節)

Guide to Understanding Chinese Political Culture


Imperial and Communist Systems

Jonathan Stephen Harry Riley, 03/09/26

The people of China have no history of democracy; they have only ever known absolute monarchy and a bureaucratic state, which plays a big part in why Western Communism works very well with the norms of Chinese political culture.

China is a political entity that has existed since at least 221 BC, when the Qin dynasty first unified China, and existed previously during the
Warring States period  from 476 BC to 221 BC.

From 1046 BC to 256 BC, the Zhou dynasty ruled China, but their rule was primarily symbolic.

221 BC was considered the start of a unified China, partly because the Zhou dynasty was in disorder as it lost power and granted political independence and large territories to other noble families within its empire.

Also, territories that had been given saw the expansion of the Chinese empire beyond the borders of the original Zhou China.

Also, during that period, Chinese culture continued to develop.

As a result, culture did not experience the same kind of collapse and destruction as the Western Roman Empire, which was destroyed in 476 A.D.

The
Roman Republic and Empire existed from 510 BC to 476 AD.

China and its civilisation have a historical, political culture, philosophy, and language that have been developed and have continued for at least 3000 years, if not more, according to Chinese legends.

This affects Chinese political culture because it was developed and strongly influenced by two key philosophies.

These are Chinese Legalism and Confucianism, both developed during China’s Warring States period.

These two philosophies on how to govern a state and what constitutes a strong and capable ruler are vital reasons why China’s current communist system has been so widely accepted.

The communist system in China and the old imperial system have many similarities.

China Dynasties Wikimedia China Dynasties Wikimedia
中國歷朝疆域演變動畫圖

Legalism and Confucianism

Confucianism developed from what was later called the Hundred Schools of Thought, from which the teachings of the Chinese philosopher Confucius were taught from 551 BC to 479 BC.

Confucius considered himself a transmitter of cultural values inherited from the Xia dynasty (2070 BC to 1600 BC).

Confucianism has evolved drastically over the last 2000 years.

The philosophy advocates a ruler who leads by example and rules through benevolence, which is charity, ability, and kindness in their decisions.

Confucianism also advocates a strong central government, the idea that central authority should not be challenged, and that the leader should be a father figure, making Chinese political power incredibly paternalistic.

The definition of
Paternalism is making all the decisions for the people you govern, employ, or are responsible for, so they cannot or do not have to make their own decisions.

China’s next great and longest-living philosophy, besides Confucianism, was Legalism, which was the foundation of China’s imperial system from 221 BC until the final collapse of the imperial system during the 1911 Chinese revolution, which saw the last of China’s dynasties.

China’s last dynasty was the Qing dynasty, which ruled China from 1644 A.D. to 1911 A.D.

Legalism was established as the dominant governing philosophy of China by the 
Qin dynasty, which briefly ruled from 221 BC to 206 BC and advocated it.

The philosophy o
Legalism has survived China’s imperial period and remains highly influential within the Chinese state, alongside Confucianism, to the present day.

Chinese Legalism is a philosophical belief that human beings are more inclined to do wrong than right because they are motivated entirely by self-interest and require strict laws to control their impulses. The philosopher Han Feizi developed it in the Qin State from 280 BC to 233 BC.

Communist China

China’s two leading political traditions and philosophies regarding government and how to run society are highly compatible with the philosophy of communism and the state-led command economy, in which the state must influence every Chinese person’s day-to-day life.

Here is the definition of a
command economy, or state-planned economy: a type of economic system in which the distribution of goods and services, and the investment, production, and allocation of capital goods, take place according to economic plans that are either economy-wide or limited to a category of goods and services.

In the philosophy of Legalism, for the state to prosper, the People within that state must be suppressed for the betterment of the state’s survival and the overall happiness of the society.

In Confucianism, the state is paternalistic, making it highly compatible with Chinese communism, as is Legalism.

All three views are that power comes from a central authority figure that must be obeyed.

However, it’s important to note that, in Confucius’s philosophy, if a ruler governs poorly or is tyrannical, though that is not clearly defined in the Confucian tradition, then the People within that state have the right to rebel against evil rulers.


Written by Jonathan Stephen Harry Riley

I have been writing from 2014 to the present day; my writing is focused on history, politics, culture, geopolitics and other related topics.

Published in The Geopolitical Economist

In The Global geopolitics, truth is one, but the wise interpret it differently.— Here, we interpret these diversions

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現代社會基礎之間的內在矛盾 - Benjamin Cain
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這位「哲學」博士偏見之深,知識之淺,以及隨兩者而來的思考之短,相當令我吃驚他居然自認為有能力批判「現代社會」,大概因為肯恩博士本人正是他所了解「現代社會」的產物吧。


The Poison Pills of Liberal Institutions

Science, capitalism, democracy, and the liberal arts may not be sustainable

Benjamin Cain, 11/28/25

0. 
前言 (編者補增以下各節「子標題」為原文所有,僅序號為編者補增)

The gods guaranteed the ancients that their way of life would endure or at least earn them supernatural rewards. Godless societies must labour without even the illusion of such mythic guarantees.

There are four main institutions of world-historic modernity: science, capitalism, democracy, and the liberal arts (freedom of thought in public places). Ironically, each of them threatens to undermine the secular humanist convictions that inspired the break from medieval social norms in Western Europe.

Modernists overcame the slump of the Middle Ages and retrieved an optimistic, Greco-Roman view of the civilized adventure. Contrary to medieval Christendom’s fatalism regarding our ability to solve our problems without praying to God for miracles or salvation in the afterlife, early modern thinkers and artists sought earthly progress based on human reason, liberty, and (eventually) empathy.

Unleash scientific testing, competitive markets, the majority opinion of the lower classes, and the neoshamanic insights of elite artistic commentators, and you’d have a society that improves itself instead of stagnating and settling for the animalistic social structure of the dominance hierarchy (the monarchical, feudalistic, patriarchal, theocratic, imperialist, slave-driving, mass-benighted society so beloved by conservatives, or closeted authoritarians).

Obviously, that modern ethos works since that part of Europe and its colonies advanced, according to numerous objective measures. Yet the sustainability of those advances is doubtful. At least, we may be poised for another Renaissance, a rethinking of the modern project, one that addresses the downside of modern institutions.

1.  Science versus humanism

Science works by objectifying its subject matter. Yet the more we objectify, the more we’re liable to lose our humanity, which is to say the esteem for our subjective side. Our bodies are physical objects, but our minds, personalities, rights, and cultures are nebulous abstractions.

If we exist solely as material things in a natural environment that’s full of them, why assume we alone have the right to terraform nature? Why assume that civilization is an improvement on the cosmic wilderness? Why assume there’s any such thing as right or wrong, or progress? We may have the ability to change the wilderness, but that wouldn’t be the same as a right or an improvement unless values were built into nature’s physical foundations, which would be contrary to strict scientific explanations.

Scientists uncovered nature’s godlessness, impersonality, amorality, and monstrous absurdity, which made for the Enlightenment. That secular enlightenment revolutionized Western philosophy, overthrew Church dogma, and slew God in the Nietzschean sense of reducing Christianity to a mere private concern in the Global North (or in all modernized societies that grappled with scientific discoveries and the humanist ethos).

But how we should apply that enlightened perspective is far from clear. What liberal societies do, in practice, is leave the decision-making to the free markets and elections. We’re supposed to let the majority decide instead of imposing top-down, elite plans since we assume that centralized power is corrupting in the long run. As we’ll soon see, though, bottom-up decision-making in free societies can be plenty corrupting too.

In any case, scientific objectification is antithetical to the lingering anthropocentrism in the secular humanist self-image that provides the rationale for the liberal, progressive lifestyle and its capitalist markets and political elections.

2.  Parasitic capitalism


Capitalism was a classic liberal invention that was supposed to free the lower classes from bondage or peasant penury. Along with the men who had ruled Europe for centuries, women, minorities, and outsiders would be free to compete, innovate, earn a profit, and thus live as independent masters of their private domain. In medieval Europe, the lower levels of the Great Chain of Being owed fealty to the higher levels. Women served men, peasants served their lords, foreigners served Christians, heretics served priests, the king served the pope, humans served angels and demons, and the Church served God.

Modernity undercut all of that theological malarky and authoritarian prejudice with cold, hard philosophy and science. Reason demolished the faith-based, dogmatic mythos of so-called Christianity, a religion that had sold out its founding apocalypticism for centuries to secure a profane, terrestrial hegemony.

And indeed, capitalists innovated and privatized great fortunes. Economies grew, and trust formed between borrowers and lenders. Corporations launched, solved practical problems, satisfied desires left and right, and elevated living standards in these same modernized societies.

Yet laissez-faire capitalism proved parasitic, as it conflicted with the other modern institutions. Far from liberating everyone, capitalism turned into a neofeudal system that concentrated wealth in a minority of monopolies that were able to consolidate their power and normalize their fraud by sabotaging democratic initiatives for social reform.

The greedy pursuit of wealth can easily overcome the scientific devotion to objectivity and progress, the democratic faith in the majority opinion, and the artist’s neoshamanic commitment to self-exploration and personal enlightenment. A consumerist monoculture developed to promote the capitalist’s pursuit of wealth and domination, and this monoculture is arguably corrosive and unsustainable.

For one thing, consumerism threatens the biosphere, but it also preserves the clash between the new nobility (the billionaires and coastal elites) and the peasants (the indebted service providers whose jobs are precarious since they’re potentially automated by machines or pseudo-AI).

3.  Liberal democracy succumbs to populist demagoguery

Functional democracy requires the humanist education of the whole society so that the majority’s judgment would deserve respect. You could count on many heads as being superior to one only if the majority learned how to avoid groupthink, demagoguery, and other cognitive fallacies and biases to which we’re prone.

As capitalism widened economic inequality in many modern societies (excepting the social democratic ones of northern Europe), education systems, too, became highly unequal since different systems arose to cater to a different neofeudal caste. The wealthy have their private, expensive schools, while the relatively poor majority was saddled with inferior schools run by bungling bureaucrats. As the ancient Greeks understood, democracies would then be vulnerable to demagogues or populists who would seek tyrannical power on behalf of a duped majority that no longer deserved to be heard, let alone obeyed.

The most egregious example of this downfall is Trumpism in the United States, but Freedom House has tracked a global decline of democracy throughout the first two decades of the twenty-first century.

Most voters are cynical about politicians, not just because of deficits in the education systems, but because common sense alerts us to governmental dysfunctions caused largely by parasitic capitalism. We feel we must distrust our politicians to counter their implicit loathing of us, their constituents. If politicians don’t loathe voters, why do the former constantly lie to the latter? Why do politicians condescend to everyone with flagrantly fallacious propaganda in political campaigns? Why do they typically embroil themselves in corrupt schemes and scandals?

But the electorate’s distrust is corrosive, and it may be inevitable in free societies.

The Scandinavian democracies have avoided the worst corruptions of capitalism and democracy because their ethos is barbaric (in a non-pejorative sense) rather than strictly secular humanistic. Northern Europe applies its Viking, egalitarian, neo-hunter-gatherer sensibilities to check the temptations of individualism. So those social democracies found a balance between modern individualism and something like Chinese pragmatic collectivism.

Still, that means that those happier societies aren’t fully free. They’re freer in the positive sense, given Isaiah Berlin’s distinction between positive and negative liberties. (They’re free to fulfill their potential, rather than being free from state coercion.) The welfare state empowers egalitarian social democrats and collectivists to avoid the alienating disgrace of losing in a ruthless capitalist competition for private gain. But the price is that those in welfare states must compromise their liberties and trust in their authorities. They must monitor and reform their institutions to avoid the promotion of unsuitable leaders (demagogues and sociopathic fraudsters). They must enlighten themselves so they view prison for criminals as more rehabilitative than retributive.

Is that enlightenment replicable on a larger scale? Is it compatible with mass immigration and cultural mixing? Can the Viking ethos be imported, or are we each stuck with our respective cultural backgrounds?

4.  The neoshamanic artist’s cries in the echo chamber

Finally, freedom of thought in the arts was supposed to revitalize mass culture, allowing for a smooth transition between countercultural insights and mainstream cooptation. Not everyone can excel in the creative arts, and in the Middle Ages, Western artists were more like craftspeople because they were confined to applying Church dogmas.

By contrast, liberated artists were condemned to confront the alienating human existential condition without the benefit of a social support system. Romantic artists recognized the downside of creative freedom, as they envisioned themselves as puny sublimators of nature’s sublime horrors.

Thus, modern art was effectively neoshamanic. Recall the prehistoric shaman who explored the unconscious mind with psychedelic trances, freed from evolved conventions. The shaman transcended the animal life cycle with drugs or other measures that blasted to smithereens the primitive cognitive safeguards to behold the influx of the enlightened imagination. Shamans had to digest their authentic promptings, sublimate them with myths, and apply them to the task of spiritually guiding a band of fellow hunter-gatherers.

The stereotypical modern artist was in a similar situation, which had its disadvantages and advantages. Again, these free-thinking artists would have to face the ground-level alienation that afflicts everyone who recognizes they’re anomalous people immersed in a wild, impersonal domain.

What thwarts the neoshamanic quest in late-modern societies is that capitalistic, neoliberal monoculture. Consumerism lends itself to the Big Tech development of social media that elevates algorithms and ends up trivializing digital content. We lose respect not just for politicians but artists when artists must labour like hamsters on a treadmill. Authentic artists would devote themselves to creative greatness and eschew the business sensibilities. This means artists should accommodate themselves to the fact that they’ll likely fail in mainstream terms. By excelling in uncompromising self-exploration, shamans, too, would have been next to helpless in completing mundane tasks, such as knitting garments or hunting animals.

But when artists are swept up by neoliberal promises and find themselves competing on social media for minuscule slivers of attention in a stream of trivial content, artists lose their mojo. Indeed, when faux AI remixes that content and out-creates human artists, artists are liable to be overcome with alienation and loathing for the extraverted, Philistine culture that predominates in this late-modern technosphere.

In this narcissistic free-for-all of consumption, we feed ourselves exactly what we want, so we stop learning by challenging ourselves. We enter our echo chambers and ignore or demonize those who confine themselves to rival silos. High technology becomes a “black mirror,” to use the name of Charlie Brooker’s dramatizations of this predicament.

What is the neoshamanic task when humanism itself is kaput, thanks to the rise of Big Tech corporate psychopaths and their impersonal AI avatars? What’s the point of criticizing a thoroughly corrupt society that can’t reform itself? In that context, the artist graduates to the prophetic status of doomsayer.

5.  Enlightenment and the curse of freedom

I don’t have a crystal ball to foresee the future. I don’t know whether these problems are fixable or we’re likely to address them at all or well. What does seem beyond dispute is that liberal societies have these systemic problems. Liberalism was no panacea, and it’s hard to live well as a secular humanist.

The reason it’s hard is that modernity only ever condemns us to be free. We’re free to face reality without delusions, including the collective ones that amounted to the civilized cultural norms for thousands of years all around the world, from ancient Sumer to the late Middle Ages in Europe.

There’s no guarantee that liberated people will find a way to live well as relatively enlightened beings. Even if enlightenment could be democratized, this transhuman state of realistic recognition may not be compatible with the liberal’s preoccupation with personal happiness, contrary to Eastern and Western religious propaganda.

Rational, human-generated enlightenment might be a curse rather than a blessing, or at least a mix of benefits and disadvantages. Probably, true enlightenment is a countercultural affliction for elite minorities, as the majority succumbs to distractions and bastardized co-optations, such as populist demagoguery or faux AI-generated content.

Miserere hominem liberatum. Solus deus realitatem tolerare potest.

Pity the liberated man. Only a god can tolerate reality.

Further reading

Why We Protect Society from the Ravages of Capitalism
Why We Can’t Imagine the End of Capitalism
How We Hide the Conflict Between Capitalism and Technological Progress
Democracies in Decline, on
Freedom House


Written by Benjamin Cain

Ph.D. in philosophy / Knowledge condemns. Art redeems. /https://benjamincain.substack.com/https://ko-fi.com/benjamincain/ benjamincain8@gmailDOTcom

Published in Philosophy Today

Philosophy Today is dedicated to current philosophy, logic, and thought. 

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當共產主義成為唯一的選項 -- Slavoj Žižek
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請參考

伊朗的水荒危機 -- Adi Wolfson(該欄2025/12/15)
Iran’s Water Crisis Is a Warning to Other Countries

並請參見齊澤克教授在此文所表達的觀點(該欄12/10/25貼文)。齊澤克教授倒是相當的「一以貫之」:這兩篇文章表現了他同樣的兩個思考盲點。我會在《《齊澤克對談:「一切量子說評論》一文中一併討論它們(尚未完成)

When Communism Is the Only Option

Slavoj Žižek, 12/10/25

Iran's flailing response to a nationally destabilizing water crisis should be a warning to everyone. As more societies push up against planetary boundaries, they will confront threats to their very survival, and responses that once seemed drastic or utopian will begin to look like common sense.

LJUBLJANA – Where, in today’s world, do all our antagonisms and struggles for survival converge? Is there a singular point that embodies our universal predicament? It is not Gaza, Ukraine, Sudan, or the scam centers in the north of Myanmar. It is Tehran.

The Iranian capital is counting down to a “
day zero” when it will simply run out of water. Nor is it alone. Most of Iran is hurtling toward “water bankruptcy,” when demand will permanently exceed the natural supply. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian is now talking about moving the capital and mandating the evacuation of the population (nearly ten million).

The crisis reflects several factors. The immediate cause is a severe six-year drought. Even in the rainy season, Iran has received almost no rain. Moreover, water-intensive agriculture and subsidization of water and energy have
overdrawn the country’s aquifers and depleted its groundwater supplies.

Then, there is the concentration of economic activity and employment in major urban centers, particularly Tehran, which has further strained water resources. The loss of groundwater has been so severe that parts of the Tehran plateau
are sinking. Even if the rains do return, less will be stored as groundwater than in the past, because the physical space for it has contracted.

Since the sinking now underway is not uniformly distributed, the entire water and sewage system of Tehran is falling apart. Gas is leaking into the open air from broken underground channels.

Iran’s leaders have known about this problem for decades but always postponed any serious attempt to deal with it. Instead, the regime allocated resources to its nuclear program, foreign proxies like Hamas, the Houthis, and Hezbollah, and military production, keeping the armed forces well-equipped and building the drones that Russia has been using to bomb Ukrainian cities.

Worse, now that the crisis has come to a head, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps has created a “
water mafia.” Lakes and rivers that have survived for thousands of years are being drained to supply water to whoever can afford it. The average household in Tehran is spending 10% of its income on water, and many people are going without baths and other basic hygiene while the regime directly profits from the crisis.

But why has this old and ongoing problem suddenly become a global news story? Is it because the West wants to set the stage for another Israeli/American attack (this time under the guise of yet another humanitarian intervention)? Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has already cynically exploited the situation,
telling Iranians that if they rise up against the regime, Israel will send specialists to address the water shortages.

Aside from organizing mass prayers for rain, the regime has adopted the
dubious strategy of spraying large amounts of chemical salts into the atmosphere. But rather than reliably inducing rain, such “cloud seeding” threatens to kill off vegetation and make breathing more difficult. People are increasingly staying home, and Iranian society is beginning to unravel.

As for the plan to move the capital, Pezeshkian’s statements have been rather ambiguous. Is he talking about the bulk of the population, or just the government administration? If it is the second option, what will happen to the millions of people left behind? If it is the first, the effort would take years and impose an unsustainable financial burden on the state – all without solving the fundamental problem.

Not surprisingly, tens of thousands of people in Tehran have begun to panic. Highways north of the city are jammed with cars trying to make their way to the Caspian Sea region, where there may still be enough water. But what would happen if these thousands of evacuees became millions? Turkey is the obvious first destination, followed by Europe. But what about the wealthy Arab states in the Gulf region? Why aren’t Iran’s immediate neighbors expected to provide more help?

Although the water crisis follows from a specific mix of natural causes and policy errors, Iran is not alone. Neighboring Afghanistan, for example, is pursuing large-scale irrigation projects to route water toward Kabul, which is also
heading for water bankruptcy. Such projects are not without controversy, because they can have implications for water supplies elsewhere, including across borders. That is why Egypt, whose survival depends on the Nile River, objects so strenuously to Ethiopian dam projects.

What is to be done? While I don’t have any concrete proposals, the general solution seems clear: the world is going to need some form of communism. I don’t mean anything like 20th-century “actually existing socialism,” but rather something more obvious and elementary.

Neither authoritarian states nor multiparty democracies nor grassroots self-organization can address problems like those confronting Iran. When we are facing threats to our very survival as a civilized community, the only choice is to proclaim a large-scale emergency, which implies a de facto state of war – not against another state, but against those in one’s own country who are responsible for the crisis.

A state of emergency should not abolish markets and nationalize everything; but it should assert public control and regulate those areas of social life that have a direct bearing on the cause of the emergency. In this case, that means controlling the distribution of water. In Iran, the “water mafia” should have been crushed immediately.

The state power (which can move the fastest) must then be complemented by locally organized acts of solidarity, together with much stronger forms of international cooperation. Utopian? Not at all. The real utopia is believing that we can survive without such measures.


Slavoj Žižek, Professor of Philosophy at the European Graduate School, is the author, most recently, of Christian Atheism: How to Be a Real Materialist (Bloomsbury Academic, 2024).

Joseph E. Stiglitz & Andrew Kosenko explain why it is in Europe's interest to mobilize frozen Russian assets to ensure Ukraine's survival.

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「萬能政府」概念是個神話 -- Andreas Wesemann
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衛撒門先生這篇大作長達3,000多字但他沒有分節,讀起來有些費勁。我讀過之後,由於此文能夠做為我多年來想法的「反面教材」,我打算寫篇評論。於是做了分節、加上子標題、和標示段落序號這些動作;以便於指涉。如有誤解或誤導之處,還請指正。

索引

Gray,John
格瑞教授
Hobbes, Thomas霍布士;衛撒門先生大作標題有他《政府論》原名中的海怪」一詞;這是象徵性的修辭用法。
Schmitt, Carl席彌特博士(1888 – 1985)

It's time to dismantle the Leviathan

Technocratic, bureaucratic politics have failed

Andreas Wesemann, 11/19/25

Editor’s Notess
For more than half a century, Western democracies trusted in a rules-based, technocratic machine to deliver stability and fairness. But the Great Financial Crisis revealed the limits of government by algorithm and exposed a deeper crisis of legitimacy at the heart of the liberal state. Drawing on Carl Schmitt’s unsettling account of sovereignty, author of After the Leviathan, Andreas Wesemann argues that Britain’s malaise lies not in weak leaders but in an over-centralized State-as-Computer, and that its renewal requires a radical redistribution of power rather than the search for a new strongman.

0. 
前言電腦模式的政府

1

After the Second World War, the European members of the Allied coalition embarked on a project of cooperation and integration to ensure that no single nation could again dominate the continent. This would yield economic benefits, but it also required a far greater codification of the “rules of the game” -- a dense web of laws, regulations, and guidelines designed to insulate states and their citizens from the whims of political personalities. The unconstrained powers of the
European dictators were never to be possible again; they would be replaced by the quasi-automatons of the legislative and administrative state. In parallel, governments expanded their control over economic life. The logic was simple: if centralized coordination had worked in war, why not in peace? Britain joined this wider project of codification and control, though with characteristic ambivalence when it came to European integration. Out of this architecture of rules and institutions emerged what might be called the State-as-Computer: a machine designed to replace human judgment with coded procedures.

2

Meanwhile, the United States followed a similar path, even though it emerged from the Second World War as the largest, richest, and most powerful nation on earth. Its pre-eminence made it indispensable to the network of international agreements and institutions born of this new cooperative spirit. While that allowed America to leave a deep imprint on how the rules were written and enforced, it nevertheless subscribed to the same rules-based order embraced by Europe and the United Kingdom. After all, the United States shared the same conviction: cooperation requires rules. Laws and institutions were to replace individuals as the leading protagonists on both the national and international stage. After the slaughter of millions at the hands of a few deranged but effective dictators, the semi-automatic, if somewhat legalistic, computer of governance may well have seemed a welcome substitute for the uncontrollable explosions of emotional strongmen. That these law- and rule-making institutions often operated out of sight was, perhaps, part of their virtue.

1. 
回顧政治演變

3

In the first decades after 1945, with the memory of carnage still fresh, the new order performed admirably. Economic growth was strong, internal peace held, and international cooperation flourished. Gradually, however, dissenting voices emerged: students at the Sorbonne, civil rights activists in San Francisco, and a new generation in Berlin angered by the persistence of former Nazis in government and industry. Economic growth, too, began to slow as the command-and-control model of post-war management reached diminishing returns -- just as a handful of oil-rich nations imposed their own rules on their European and American customers.

4

In response, much of the world -- this time including China, albeit very much on its own terms -- embarked on a process of “liberalization” intended to revive growth and roll back the frontiers of the State. The effort was partly successful: growth recovered from the malaise of the 1970s, though not dramatically, except in China, whose economy suddenly took flight. Many societies felt re-energized by the new freedoms and rewarded the architects of this shift with repeated re-elections. Financial deregulation -- arguably the most consequential reform of the era -- unleashed a surge in capital creation and deployment, fueling expansion in the sectors that produced and managed capital: banks, investment firms, and other financial intermediaries. With so much new money in circulation, debt inevitably rose as well. That this was, in effect, a mortgage on the future was well understood in specialist circles but seldom acknowledged in public.

5

What did not change was the State’s self-conception as the creator and arbiter of laws and regulations. As economies expanded and the State withdrew from direct production and provision, the demand for rules and guidance governing those who replaced it grew exponentially. Individuals and corporations were liberated from some forms of control -- able to move capital freely across borders or to compete with what used to be State monopolies -- but over time they became enmeshed in an ever-denser legal and regulatory web. More opportunities appeared on one side of the ledger, but more rules on the other. For a while, this trade-off was tolerable: the private sector’s capacity to create money through the fractional-reserve banking system made regulatory burdens manageable, and, in any case, many of these interventions, whatever their intent, tended to protect, even strengthen, the market position of incumbents.

2. 
自由主義的理想與破產

6

Beautifully and coherently, this project of liberalization could now be taken global. If individuals and companies were to operate freely at home, why not also abroad? Free trade had a long and respected intellectual lineage, had flourished a century earlier, and promised mutual benefit to both sides of every exchange -- importers and exporters, consumers and producers alike. It also appealed to those whose moral calculus was shaped by concern for the world’s poor, for free trade seemed uniquely effective at raising global welfare even if it could cause some dislocation at home. For a time, it could be a zero-downside project that united economic reason with moral virtue.

7

Yet liberalization required rules. To sustain global commerce, trading standards had to be defined and enforced by national and international regulatory institutions, each backed by state authority. In this way, the regulatory state expanded even as markets were freed. Combined with the rise of the personal computer, the idea of the State as a vast, ultra-sophisticated computer -- able to monitor, analyse, and orchestrate thousands of activities across the globe -- became eminently plausible. What could such a machine not do? As the Soviet model of organization collapsed and China’s apparent embrace of liberalization gathered pace, optimism -- sometimes super-optimism -- seemed entirely reasonable, even amid stock-market crashes and acts of terror. The State as Computer, it was thought, could make everyone rich and happy.

8

There was another feature of the State-as-Computer that made it so attractive and its prospects so promising: everyone could believe they were equal and would be treated equally. A computer, after all, does not distinguish between you and me; it simply reads inputs and produces outputs according to its code. As long as everyone was entered into the machine in the same way, regardless of circumstance, the State would deliver fair and reasonable decisions. Nor was it necessary to know much about the countless sub-computers and the people operating them -- there were still many, for such a vast system of centralized rule-making, information management, and decision-making demands enormous resources -- as long as one could trust that the overall machine was properly coded and competently run. And by the early 2000s, who was seriously inclined to doubt that it was?

3. 
席彌特的「唯權力論政治哲學

9

And then the Great Financial Crisis happened.

If the post-war State had become a computer, perhaps
Carl Schmitt was the thinker who best understood its limits.

Schmitt, the German legal and political theorist, has enjoyed a modest renaissance among English readers over the past quarter-century. His style, by the standards of early twentieth-century German academic prose, is relatively clear. That he joined the Nazi Party in 1933 and remained antisemitic throughout his life is well known, but it seems to weigh little on his current reputation. Although never exonerated after the war, he was released without charge by the Allies on the grounds that his role in the Reich had been minor. Once the leading German political thinker of the interwar years, Schmitt had by 1936 already fallen out of favor with the regime -- by some accounts, only Hermann Göring’s intervention spared him a harsher, perhaps fatal, reckoning. However, soon he could resume his writing and lecture tours. The main consequence of his brief post-war internment was the sale of his library: the books had been seized by US Army Counterintelligence and later returned, though marked with U.S. occupation requisition stamps – a treatment Schmitt regarded as expropriation. He therefore sold them.

10

Schmitt’s initial revival coincided with the debate over how America should respond to the attacks of 9/11, and over the scope and limits of executive authority. A great admirer of Thomas Hobbes, Schmitt argued in his 1932 The Concept of the Political that politics depends on a distinction between friend and enemy: a boundary of exclusion that recognizes conflict as an essential, identity-forming feature of political life (a view shared by Machiavelli in some form). For Schmitt, this friend–enemy opposition was primarily domestic and, in principle, peaceful -- an acknowledgement of difference rather than a call to annihilation, since the “enemy” was still understood as fully human, merely an opponent. Yet t
he concept lent itself to international application, and it resurfaced prominently during the “war on terror,”  when the very humanity of the enemy was sometimes brought into question.

11

Schmitt’s renewed popularity in this century also owes much to his scepticism about liberalism. He regarded liberal constitutionalism -- a discursive political order built on the belief that detailed, prescriptive laws can apply equally to all, including the institutions of the state -- as romantic nonsense. As he put it in The Concept of the Political:

Liberalism […] has neither advanced a positive theory of state nor on its own discovered how to reform the state, but has attempted only to tie the political to the ethical and to subjugate it to economics. It has produced a doctrine of the separation and balance of powers, i.e. a system of checks and controls of state and government. This cannot be characterized as either a theory of state or a basic political principle.

12

Schmitt therefore dismissed those who devoted their lives to constructing an “objective theory of law” without designating those whom the law authorizes to enforce it.
For Schmitt, effective political action required decisions, not endless debate. No system of rules could anticipate every contingency. True power -- true sovereignty -- was revealed in the exceptions to those rules, in the unpredictable events that demanded an individual response. Hence his famous postulate in Political Theology, written in 1922: “Sovereign is he who decides on the exception,” a modus operandi brought to life by the frequent use of the exceptional powers granted to the President of the German Reich under Article 48 of the Weimar constitution.

13

In other words, it was futile to construct a theory of sovereignty -- a theory of the state -- upon abstract laws without reference to real people:Sovereignty of law means only the sovereignty of men who draw up and administer this law.” Politics, for Schmitt, is made by people, not by the fictions of legal personality. The sovereign is a real individual who decides, and in doing so, embodies the state itself. The liberal faith that politics can be reduced to government by algorithm, as we might say today, is precisely what Schmitt sought to expose as an illusion at the heart of modern liberalism.

14

This is also an apt diagnosis of the crisis of legitimacy that has plagued many Western states since the Great Financial Crisis -- Britain foremost among them. That crisis exposed the failure of the post-war model of the State as Computer. Centralised, formulaic, impersonal, and legalistic, the Computer could not cope with the complexity, ingenuity, and diversity of human life. Events since have only deepened the problem, as the State doubled down on its program -- intensifying regulatory and legal interventions in an effort to repair and optimize the software without ever reconsidering the hardware. Other factors have been at play, in particular the comprehensive destruction of the old centralized system of production and consumption of news and information. It is hardly surprising, therefore, that efforts to mend a dysfunctional machine have failed to halt the erosion of trust in the institutions of the State.

4. 
「萬能政府」 -- 神話與真相

15

Schmitt’s own life illustrates the flaw in his theory and the danger of conflating the sovereign with a person -- if you back the wrong person, you can be in real trouble very quickly. His focus on decisiveness also led him to abandon any belief in the desirability of a pluralistic democracy: too much debate with no action. Invariably, he ended up with a system of government consisting of one person. It was probably the inevitable intellectual destination of an intelligent, highly conservative and also very Catholic German who somewhat enviously looked at the singular source of power -- sovereignty -- in the Holy Church. In this view, autonomy within the law rests with the state alone. Individual autonomy has no real place here. Hegel wins, Kant loses. Embedded in this view is a distinctly reactionary preference for an authoritarian order that today many will describe as “realist”. It is certainly very undemocratic. It also carries a kind of epistemological hubris -- confidence that the “dictator” would not merely make decisions but make the right ones. In the later Schmitt there is, pace Hobbes, a sense that whatever decisions the leader makes are rendered “right” by the very fact of their occurrence -- what he called the “normative power of the factual” in Political Theology.

16

It is clearly unwise to personalize the State too much. We do not want to be ruled by Kings, and we prefer State actions to be constrained by fundamental rules because our conviction -- surely the correct one -- is that individuals, and their right to be left alone, rank prior to any rights of the State. The institutional architecture of modern states, therefore, combines checks and balances with focal centers of power – a necessarily intricate jigsaw that, in the United States, Donald Trump is currently trying to pull apart. But Schmitt also reminds us that too little personalization of the State can be equally problematic: government by algorithm risks being both ineffective and dehumanizing. A State without humans is inhuman and, in the long run, unlikely to endure. How can this be achieved without ending up with a king?

17

When I listen to critics of the “dysfunctional British state,” I’m often struck by their confidence in the very structure they condemn. They seem to believe that, if only different people -- better civil servants, smarter politicians, perhaps themselves -- were in charge, the ship could be steered back on course. Instead, they find themselves surrounded by enemies and a “hostile state.” This, then, situates Schmitt’s “exception” squarely in the present, providing a rationale for increasingly drastic, unitary, quasi- dictatorial interventions that not only suspend many constitutional arrangements but also centralize an already extremely centralized State -- culminating in the cushioned office of one person from which executive orders spill out like ticker tape. This series of decisive actions is then to endow people with that longed-for “sense of purpose”, all via the great leader… One suspects these people may have read rather too much Carl Schmitt. The same can probably be said of those
Silicon Valley tech entrepreneurs who are reinventing themselves as political philosophers.

5. 
結論 -- 浴火重生之路

18

Surely, the better path is to reconfigure the original Computer that has been the cause of so many of the problems that are still afflicting the modern state, and in particular the British State. The United Kingdom requires not more central control but less: a radical redistribution of authority to reduce the distance between the people operating the computer and those operated by it, making the State more personal, more immediate, more responsive as a result. The dysfunction, if that’s what it is, stems from the concentration of fiscal and administrative power in Whitehall and the myth that a handful of mandarins and ministers can steer a society of 70 million through complex global currents. If legalistic ultra-centralization has been the problem, how can it also be the solution? Reform should begin by decentralizing decision-making, funding, and accountability -- granting smaller “mini-states” genuine fiscal autonomy and allowing experimentation in service provision, regulation, and taxation. The task of the center -- call it the “maxi-state” -- should be to provide reinsurance capital to these mini-states and manage certain extreme risks and investment programs that most likely benefit from the economies of scale of a centralized organization.

19

Decentralization of this kind would require a reconfiguration of Parliament to make it more legitimate and more representative. This can be achieved by making the House of Commons the sole chamber -- will anyone really mourn the passing of the House of Lords? -- and by introducing an electoral system that combines first-past-the-post and proportional systems, giving each citizen in effect two votes, one as residents of a “mini-state,” one as citizens of the United Kingdom, the “maxi-state.”

20

Alongside these structural reforms, the British State should reconsider its essential purpose -- and focus on doing a few things really well: building a world-class education system, an integrated health & social care insurance framework, and a national investment initiative forming the basis of an expanded retirement program, all supported by more hypothecated funding. Centralized regulation by computer should give way to more bespoke self-insurance structures in which firms take over primary regulatory responsibilities and are on the hook via industry-wide mutual guarantee schemes. The banking system, after the abolition of State-backed deposit insurance, would be an obvious candidate for this.

21

This State would be smaller yet more legitimate, with power more decentralized but also more personal. Decisions could be made at many levels rather than in a single centre. Schmitt need not worry: decisive sovereignty would persist, only in plural form and many layers. There is every reason to believe that such a State could be highly effective -- and numerous examples, Switzerland among them, show that it already is.

22

When we look back at the history of the (Western) world since 1945, we see that a system of governance that worked well for a time gradually ceased to do so. This should not be too surprising -- complex systems are, well, complex, and to remain effective they must keep pace with the ever-evolving complexity of their environment. That is no easy task, and probably an impossible one for social organizations such as the State. But a need for reform, even radical change, does not mean that the end of the world is at hand. Critics of liberalism often engage in a kind of competitive gloomerism. John Gray wrote in
The New Statesman recently: “If what Hobbes called ‘commodious living’ cannot be reinvented by a strong state, our future will be a war of all against all, fought out not between individuals but identity groups -- a life that might not be solitary or necessarily short, but will be nasty, brutish and certainly poor.” Yet what is to be done? Too often these critics stop short of that essential question – why go beyond Hobbes’ famous and beguiling line? It carries a certain aesthetic of destruction that is undeniably appealing, but not constructive.

23

History, however, offers many examples of radical state transformation achieved in times of peace: Norway after 1814, Japan after 1868, Turkey after 1923, Singapore in the mid-1960s, Greece and Iceland more recently. Reprogramming the State’s hardware is no small task -- but unlike the old Computer, this one might have more human, and more humane, features. And it is achievable without being preceded by a war of all against all.


Andreas Wesemann is the author of After the Leviathan: A vision for a Future State. His previous books include Chronicle of a Downfall and The Abolition of Deposit Insurance.

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Aron, Raymond阿宏(法語發音),阿倫(英語發音)

Getting Real About Realism

A brief discussion regarding theories of international relations.

Daniel J. Mahoney, 10/12/23

Among both the intellectual and political conservative worlds there is widespread frustration with “forever wars,” or ideological crusades to promotedemocracy,” and the danger of “an escalation to the extremes” (as Clausewitz famously put it) implicit in our undeclared war with Russia. There is opposition to the foreign policy of the Biden Administration and its aggressive spread of a woke imperium—where LGBTQIA+ ideology and support for abortion-on-demand are prerequisites for belonging to the newly redefined democratic world. One also finds strong opposition to the “conservative” promoters of aggressive American power projection. The old conservative establishment is under attack.

Neoconservatism, for example, once stood for a proud and principled defense of the American republic, tied to realism about the hard choices that had to be made in a dangerous and contentious world. No friends of utopian illusions, the original neoconservatives preferred authoritarian regimes in South Korea and South Vietnam to their implacable totalitarian opponents to the north, and the imperfect regime of an ally such as the Shah of Iran to the fanaticism and unalloyed anti-Americanism proffered by the Shah’s most influential critics. The first neoconservatives were thus sharply critical of Jimmy Carter-style human rights promotion as a tenet of American foreign policy.

But at the end of the Cold War, Irving Kristol, the neoconservative par excellence, even called for the abolition of NATO, whose goal of preserving Western liberty during a civilizational emergency had been admirably achieved. President Reagan’s U.N. Ambassador Jeane Kirkpatrick, who intrepidly stood up to her country’s communist and Third-World enemies, called in Making War to Keep Peace for the United States to become a “normal country” by ceasing the effort to be a global hegemon or hyper-power. But a new generation of soi-disant neoconservatives” continued to look abroad for dragons to slay. For them, any act of prudent restraint was immediately stigmatized as “appeasement.” They invoked “Munich 1938” as ritualistically as the neo-pacifist Left saw “another Vietnam” in any vigorous defense of America’s vital interests. Even the prostrate Russia of the nineties, wracked by economic collapse, lawlessness, and unprecedented levels of corruption, was seen as a permanent danger. “Eternal Russia,” and not communist totalitarianism, for them was the real foe in the Cold War.

After 9/11, the very real threat of Islamist extremism was said to justify a Third or Fourth World War, with “Islamofascism” taking the place of Nazism and Communism as the new primary ideological foe. By a sleight of hand, “democracy promotion” was militarized at the service of bringing human rights and “democratic peace” first to the Arab Islamic Middle East, and then the rest of the world. There was more than a whiff of utopianism (and messianism) in George W. Bush’s 2005 Second Inaugural Address, with its declaration and conviction that love of liberty was the dominant impulse of the human soul in every time and place. To suggest, as some did, that Monrovia and Baghdad were hardly good candidates for democratic transformation made one an unprincipled foreign policy “realist” (at best), or a racist (at worst). This giddy democratic euphoria did its best to pass for the face of conservatism in the post-communist world.

Meanwhile, democratic nation-building proceeded in an Afghanistan that barely resembled a modern nation, and NATO began moving inexorably to the east, a shift already begun under the Clinton Administration. After the ill-advised Russian intervention in South Ossetia in August 2008, the Bush Administration declared its intention to expand NATO to include Ukraine and Georgia. The thought that Russia had national interests of its own, and that it was the West that was moving east and not the other way around, was considered almost treasonous in elite foreign policy circles. In these circumstances, conservatives wary of “democratic triumphalism” began reconsidering the tradition of statecraft called foreign policy realism.

Meanwhile, neoconservatism radicalized even further, with many of its proponents promoting “progressive democracy” at home and abroad. The active encouragement and not-so-covert support for the Maidan Revolution in Ukraine in 2014 against a corrupt but elected government tilted Ukrainian politics heavily against its Russophone population and in the direction of Russophobic Galician nationalists from Ukraine’s east, and set the stage for the disasters that followed. A delicate balance was undone. This reckless interventionism was promoted and defended by the likes of Bill Kristol, Anne Applebaum, Robert Kagan, John McCain, and of course Victoria Nuland, the left-neoconservative who did so much to shape American policy toward Russia and Ukraine then and now.

While many prudent conservatives were ready to reconsider the virtues of foreign policy realism, some prominent conservative voices and venues saw, and continue to see, any departure from unrelieved hostility to post-communist Russia and support for limitless expansion of NATO as a dangerous departure from “Reaganism.” They simply assume that Reagan, a principled anti-totalitarian, would see in an authoritarian but non-ideological Russia a “revolutionary” state (in Henry Kissinger’s words from A World Restored) that aimed to upend the entire international system. The facts, however, do not justify that judgment.

After February 2022, the Russians could have destroyed Kiev in two weeks as the Germans did to Warsaw in September 1939. They did not do so because their aim was never to conquer Ukraine tout court. Only by falsely identifying Putin with Alexander Dugin’s “Eurasianist” imperialism rooted in Heideggerian fascism, by defining him as a mixture of Hitler and Stalin, and by ignoring important features of the post-communist Russian state (especially its aversion to Leninism and communist ideology), could Russia, weak demographically and far from powerful militarily, be turned into the permanent enemy of the human race.

It is true that Putin’s Russia is less free than it used to be, though it is much freer than the old Soviet Union. And there is a growing atmosphere of brutality that does not bode well for the future of the country. Putin has stayed in power for too long, thus crowding out the kind of political life that exists even in a moderately authoritarian regime. But, despite all this, Russia is hardly a revolutionary state. For instance, she is well disposed to Israel. She has no interest in restoring an empire in the east of Europe to replace the old Warsaw Pact, but she does have a palpable interest in preventing a Ukraine with NATO troops and nuclear weapons on her borders. One is hardly an “apologist” for recognizing this elementary point.

I therefore largely welcome (“two cheers”) the realist turn in conservative thought about statecraft and foreign affairs. Realism has always been a corrective, often a necessary one, to legalistic, moralistic, and utopian illusions. But it should be remembered that realism as a theory leaves much to be desired. Realists simplify the motives of statesmen, seeing rationality at work only in the calculation of forces and the judicious balancing of power, militarily and otherwise. This is to foreshorten our understanding of politics and statesmanship. Raymond Aron noted in his 1961 classic Peace and War (a book that Leo Strauss judged the greatest 20th century work on the subject) that realists tended to treat power or power politics as both an end and a means of foreign policy, thus ignoringglory” and “ideas” as legitimate “goals of foreign policy.” Realism has always been more prescriptive than descriptive, despite its scientific pretensions.

There are other difficulties. In his 1951 classic In Defense of the National Interest, Hans J. Morgenthau, the most influential of the classical realists, took aim at the idea that a radical change of regime could do much to change the “national interest” of countries such as France, Germany, and Russia. To Aron, this dogmatic insistence made no sense. To recognize that all political communities calculate forces and work to maintain a reasonable balance of power congruent to a nation’s interests does not mean “that national interest might, can, or should be defined apart from the internal regime, the aspirations characteristic of the different classes, the political ideal of the state: the collectivity does not always change objectives when it changes its constitution, historical idea, or ruling elite. But how can the political units maintain, through revolutions, the same ambitions, and the same methods?”

Later in the same work, Aron wisely writes that “true realism…consists in recognizing the action of ideologies upon diplomatic-strategic-conduct. In our epoch, instead of repeating that all states, no matter what their institutions, have ‘the same kind of foreign policy,’ we should insist upon the truth that is more complementary than contradictory: no one understands the diplomatic strategy of a state if it does not understand its regime, if he has not studied the philosophy of those who govern it. To lay down as a rule that the heads of the Bolshevik party conceive the national interests of their state as did all other rulers of Russia is to doom oneself to misunderstanding the practices and ambitions of the Soviet Union.” Likewise, to see Russia today as a neo-Bolshevik state (in a country where Solzhenitsyn’s The Gulag Archipelago is required reading in public schools) or that “eternal Russia” is inevitably despotic, expansionist, and a sworn enemy of the civilized world, is to substitute ideology for the concrete study of diplomatic-strategic conduct. By separate but converging paths, both the old realism and the new neoconservatism obscure reality in the name of holding on to old antipathies and misplaced theoretical categories. Both obscure far more than they reveal.

What of the newer school of academic “structural realists”? Alas, their account of statecraft and state behavior is even more abstract and reified than the “realism” of Morgenthau’s type. They are not interested in the motives—generous, self-seeking, grasping, or measured—that constitute a (more or less) unchanging human nature,as even the old realists were. The nature of regimes—their ends and purposes, their animating principles—are of no interest to them. Domestic structure, as Kissinger called it, is for them arbitrarily separated from the conduct of foreign policy. In their new book, How States Think: The Rationality of Foreign Policy, John J. Mearsheimer and Sebastian Rosato identify rationality with a single-minded attentiveness to the “structural” relations that define international relations. But is any real statesman or diplomat concerned with “structural forces” alone? Because of this strained foreign policy rationalism devoid of all ethical criteria, Mearsheimer and Rosato find rationality at work in Japan’s imperialist quest for economic autarky in the late 1930s, in Hitler Germany’s aggressive efforts to rebuff Soviet Russia and the Western democracies to its east and west, and even in the French political class’s lame response to the German threat post-Munich! Even Neville Chamberlain, for a time, is neatly placed in the camp of the structural realists.

This is all terribly strained and finally incredible. Mearsheimer and Rosato convey little of the arrogance, brutality, and racism that led to the Rape of Nanking in 1937, the ideological fanaticism that informed Nazi foreign policy deliberations from 1933 on, or the decadence and defeatism that contributed to France’s summary collapse and dishonorable choice for an armistice in June 1940. This approach is, strictly speaking, unbelievable. One can add that Mearsheimer’s truncated criteria for “realism”—centered exclusively on “structural” considerations like the balls darting around in a billiard game—cannot fathom why Americans might care deeply about the fate of Israel in a particularly treacherous part of the world. For structural realists, Israel is just too small and too vulnerable to be of true geopolitical signifance.

Yet Mearsheimer gets one thing right: his single-minded attention to structural relations allows him to discern that Ukraine’s entry into NATO was a red line for the entire Russian political elite, including the liberal and anti-Putin opposition. American ambassador William Burns made clear in a memorandum from 2008, quoted in How States Think, that he could find no responsible person in Russia “who views Ukraine in NATO as anything other than a direct challenge to Russia’s interests…I can conceive of no grand package that would allow the Russians to swallow this pill quietly.” The structural realists get the big picture wrong. But freed as they are from the post-political moralism of contemporary Western elites, they are still able to recognize rock-bottom national interests that would be non-negotiable for any political community. That is not everything, but it is something.

Let us give the final word to the wise and discerning Raymond Aron. Like realists old and new, he was suspicious of abstract moralism in foreign policy. In Peace and War, he took aim at the Kellogg-Briand Pact of 1928 which vainly attempted to outlaw war once and for all. Aron acerbically wrote about this effort that, “Anyone imagining he was guaranteeing peace by outlawing war was like a doctor imagining he was curing diseases by declaring them contrary to the aspirations of humanity.” An anti-totalitarian thinker of the first order, Aron was sensitive to the inescapable moral dimensions of the Cold War while opposing a crusading spirit in foreign policy. Rather than calling himself a realist, which came with a crusading spirit of its own, Aron defended a “morality of prudence” against a unilateral “morality of struggle”—which was in truth a false realism—and a “morality of law” that too readily collapsed into utopia. The morality of prudence that he advocated and embodied does not eschew high principle, nor does it ignore that a statesman has a moral and political obligation to calculate forces for the sake of the freedom and independence of his country and the cause of civilization. But, Aron added, this complex morality of prudence “satisfies completely neither the moralists nor the vulgar disciples of Machiavelli.” Here we see an approach that can get us beyond the sterile opposition between realism and idealism, and that can look at statecraft from the perspective of the responsible statesman.

In the concluding paragraphs of his other great work on international relations, Clausewitz: Philosopher of War (1976 for the original French edition), Aron took “run-of-the-mill professors” to task for lacking “a sense of history and tragedy.” They go back and forth between bloodless realism and the Wilsonian “crusade for peace,” with many even succumbing to the “great illusion” that men and states could once and for all say “goodbye to arms.” Aron strikingly concluded that “as a Frenchmen of Jewish origin,” he could never “forget that France owes her liberation to the strength of her allies and Israel owes her existence to arms and the chance of survival to her resolution, and, if need be, to American willingness to fight?”

Now, that is true realism, indeed.


Daniel J. Mahoney
 is a Senior Fellow at the Claremont Institute and professor emeritus at Assumption University. He has written widely on French politics and political thought and has also written extensively on Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn and the moral grounds of opposition to totalitarianism. His latest books are The Statesman as Thinker: Portraits of Greatness, Courage, and Moderation and Recovering Politics, Civilization, and the Soul: Essays on Pierre Manent and Roger Scruton.

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或許在爾虞我詐風雲詭譎,面前喊領導、背後捅刀子的共產黨權力鬥爭世界,擺出凜然不苟言笑的模樣,才是生存之道。看來,「臉部肌肉控制」也是「統御領導」這門學問的必修課程之一。

The White House has shared images of Xi Jinping that most Chinese don’t see at home

Chris Lau, CNN, 11/04/25

Xi Jinping is not known for his easy smiles. China’s most powerful Communist leader in decades has built a reputation reinforced by state media during his 12-year rule as a serious and steady hand.

But images released by the White House show a different side of Xi – and one not apparent in images published at home.

Xi attended the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit in South Korea, where he met US President Donald Trump for a bilateral meeting at Gimhae Air Base in Busan.

All eyes were on how the leaders of the world’s two biggest economies would sort out their differences on a range of topics from soybeans and fentanyl to rare earth minerals and high-end computer chips.

But aside from the hard-hitting diplomacy, photographs released by the White House captured a rare candid moment between the two leaders.

In a room filled with suited diplomats, Trump was seen in one image with his arm stretched across the negotiation table to show Xi a piece of paper. Whatever was written or printed on the paper remains unknown.

In another image, the Chinese leader appears to grin with his eyes shut, with Foreign Minister Wang Yi laughing by his side. It’s unclear if the images were arranged in chronological order.

Two days later, Xi was caught on camera cracking a joke when he exchanged gifts with South Korea’s President Lee Jae Myung, according to a Reuters video.

Lee first presented Xi with a wooden board for the chess game Go. Then, the Chinese leader gave Lee and his wife two 
China-made Xiaomi phones, which an official said came with displays made in South Korea, home to electronic giants Samsung and LG.

Lee then jokingly asked: “How is the communication security?” drawing laughter from the room.

Xi, who was also laughing at this point, replied: “You can check if there’s a backdoor.”

A backdoor risk refers to a hidden method of accessing a users’ device without them knowing. The issue has prompted a raft of allegations between China and other countries.

Beijing has recently expressed concerns over a US proposal to have advanced chips sold abroad fitted with tracking, a suggestion that prompted 
US chipmaker Nvidia to say its chips had no “backdoors.” Meanwhile, numerous Western countries have raised cybersecurity concerns regarding certain China-made devices.

The two off-the-cuff moments from Xi contrast with his carefully crafted image at home, where he was recently shown 
presiding over a military parade in a Mao suit, an outfit associated with Mao Zedong, Communist China’s founding father.

Before his meeting with Trump, he chaired a party 
plenum, delivering speeches in a stoic demonstration of his tight control over China’s political apparatus.

Not all Chinese leaders projected such a tightly constructed image.

Xi’s predecessor Jiang Zemin, who served as president between 1993 and 2003, was known for his flamboyant personality, cosmopolitan flair and willingness to show off his language skills and interact with journalists.

However, Xi has charted a different course. Along with curbing freedom of expression in China, he has maintained strict control of his image and the flow of information. Elite politics has become so opaque under his rule that pundits look for any clue for China’s direction – from parsing Xi’s words for their real meaning to assessing the 
color of his hair.

Xi’s more relaxed international appearances in South Korea barely made it to China’s tightly controlled internet. Censors often remove any coverage of Xi that deviates from the official narrative in the country, where most Western news websites and social media platforms are banned.

Footage and images showing Xi’s light-hearted exchanges with his US and South Korean counterparts were nowhere to be found on two of the country’s most popular social media platforms: Douyin, China’s version of TikTok, and Xiaohongshu.

A few posts by Chinese-language news outlets based outside of China that reported Xi’s gift exchange with South Korea’s Lee were available on X-like platform Weibo.

The posts only displayed a few users’ comments despite hundreds of messages. Among the reactions that survived, one user posted a thumbs up emoji and another left a smiling face.


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